Welcome to Brazil Tariff News and Tracker, where we break down the latest U.S. trade moves hitting Brazilian exports. President Trump's aggressive tariff strategy has zeroed in on Brazil with a steep 50% rate on key goods like coffee, orange juice, beef, and even Embraer regional airliners, according to Associated Press reporting on the announcement this week. This escalation, up from an initial 10% in April, stems from political tensions over Brazil's Supreme Court trials of former President Jair Bolsonaro and actions against U.S. social media firms, as detailed in Food Manufacturing's coverage.
JD Supra outlines how Trump's administration, since January 2025, has ramped up Section 232 tariffs to 50% on steel, aluminum, and copper from most countries, including Brazil, with no special exemptions listed for Brazilian imports unlike deals with the UK or EU. Executive Order 14323, issued July 30 and analyzed by ESG University, declared Brazil's policies a national emergency, paving the way for these measures and a further 40% add-on announced in November on specified goods.
The fallout is stark for U.S. consumers. Brazil supplies massive volumes of orange juice—about 3 billion liters yearly—with no domestic alternative, warns the Brazilian association for citrus juice exporters via AP. Coffee exporters at Cecafé predict job losses and higher breakfast costs stateside, while beef groups note Brazil's role in keeping U.S. prices low during shortages. Embraer, with 60% of revenue U.S.-tied per XP analysts, is scrambling for relief on zero-tariff aeronautics.
Brazil's President Lula downplays the blow, telling Xinhua that 2025 ends well despite the hikes and a U.S. trade surplus history exceeding $410 billion over 15 years. Negotiations continue, with Brazil pushing ethanol access while the U.S. eyes sugar markets, per the Ministry of Agriculture.
Soybeans offer a silver lining: Conab forecasts Brazil's exports surging to 112 million metric tons in MY 2025-26, favored by China's lower 3% duty versus 13% on U.S. beans, as S&P Global reports. Yet overall, U.S. Customs has raked in over $200 billion in tariffs since January, per Mondaq's tracker.
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