Influence through Absence in U.S. Counterinsurgency Interventions? Coercing Local Allies through Threats to Withdraw

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Conflict & Terrorism Studies with Wisdom

Wisdom Iyekekpolo

16 episodes

1 week ago

This podcast is on Conflict and Terrorism Studies. It discusses and reviews articles and books published by researchers in this Political Science and International Relations subdiscipline.

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This podcast is on Conflict and Terrorism Studies. It discusses and reviews articles and books published by researchers in this Political Science and International Relations subdiscipline.

Courses

Education

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Influence through Absence in U.S. Counterinsurgency Interventions? Coercing Local Allies through Threats to Withdraw - Dr Barbara Elias

Conflict & Terrorism Studies with Wisdom

17 minutes 2 seconds

4 years ago

Influence through Absence in U.S. Counterinsurgency Interventions? Coercing Local Allies through Threats to Withdraw - Dr Barbara Elias

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ABSTRACT

In counterinsurgency, U.S. officials often feel trapped by a local ally who appears unable to survive the departure of U.S. forces. Advocates for withdrawal argue that only a deadline to depart will induce local governments to accept greater burdens, while critics of this position argue that plans to withdraw embolden insurgents. We argue instead that American leaders gain leverage from U.S. public opinion favouring withdrawal. Analysis of 200+ U.S. demands of local allied governments in Vietnam and Iraq suggests that public pressure for withdrawal is associated with greater local compliance, but that formal U.S. withdrawal plans does not motivate compliance. - Dr Barbara Elias