Markets witnessed a euphoric upmove in broader markets especially the midcap and small-cap segment despite USDINR crossing above 83 and Brent trading above 90$. A similar euphoric phase in the midcap and small-cap phase was witnessed in 2008 when the monthly RSI displayed V-divergence from the overbought zone and prices followed with a steep decline.
Currently, Brent crude prices have crossed a crucial hurdle of 90$ and should force short covering to 107$ in next few days. For Nifty 50 , watch for 19432 in the spot market for reopening short positions. The underperformance of Nifty 50 compared to broader markets is a matter of major concern as Nifty 50 derivates are often used to structure short positions before a massive decline.
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