Markets activity remained tilted towards large cap with Sensex moving closer to its all-time peak despite India VIX posting gains. After yesterday’s up move India VIX has moved closer to breakout and a move above 12 should be seen as a major sign of strong Put option accumulation in markets and an initial leg of unwinding may be faced by high beta counters especially midcaps and small caps.
An immediate upside projection of India VIX is seen at 14 on a move above 12. For Sensex, crucial levels to be watched would be 67619 on a closing basis as most of the time major tops are formed in the area of earlier peaks and in Nifty terms reversal to be confirmed on a close below 19830. Markets are unlikely to sustain higher levels if India VIX keeps on a steady rise and would be seen as a major sign of a bull trap.
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