The 2020 elections saw enormous changes in how campaigns were conducted and how people voted. This is the first presidential election after the height of COVID-19. Will this be an election in which — as someone has said before — the more things change, the more they stay the same?

We have a rematch at the top of the ticket. Both candidates are unpopular, and it will be a close race. Voting patterns have altered among some voters, and states have changed rules governing registering and voting. There is a significant third-party vote, as of now, although it seems to be reducing in size. Double negative voters are also substantial in size once again, and segments of the base don’t seem to be performing as expected.

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