When the West is most distracted, does China seize the moment? From the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis to Nine Eleven, from the Iraq War to pandemics, from Crimea to the Gaza war — again and again, Beijing’s biggest foreign policy and domestic policy moves seem to land when Western attention is elsewhere. In this episode of Global Risk Profile, we: * Lay out the facts — a 30-year timeline of Western shocks and China’s actions. * Extract the geopolitics patterns — nine recurring dynamics, from distraction windows to domestic consolidation. * Offer an interpretation — why this rhythm matters today, and what to watch for next. We also acknowledge the limits: not every example fits. Some were coincidence, some reactive, some defensive. But the repetition is striking. The question is whether we’ll recognize the rhyme in time to prepare. 🔔 Subscribe for more episodes where we connect the dots between today’s headlines and tomorrow’s global risks. Content: 00:00 Introduction 00:58 The Facts 06:42 Patterns We Observe 11:24 Not Everything Fits 12:09 Interpretation 15:07 Closing #GlobalRiskProfile #China #Geopolitics #Patterns #History