Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.
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Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.
Lecture J2 (2025-11-06): Estimation of Absolute Performance, Part II (Terminating Systems/Transient Simulations)
IEE 475: Simulating Stochastic Systems
1 week ago
Lecture J2 (2025-11-06): Estimation of Absolute Performance, Part II (Terminating Systems/Transient Simulations)
In this lecture, we review estimating absolute performance from simulation, with focus on choosing the number of necessary replications of transient simulations of terminating systems. The lecture starts by overviewing point estimation, bias, and different types of point estimators. This includes an overview of quantile estimation and how to use quantile estimation to use simulations as null-hypothesis-prediction generators. We the introduce interval estimation with confidence intervals and prediction intervals. Confidence intervals, which are visualizations of t-tests, provide an alternative way to choose the number of required replications without doing a formal power analysis.
IEE 475: Simulating Stochastic Systems
Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.