Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.
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Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.
Lecture J3 (2025-11-13): Estimation of Absolute Performance, Part III (Non-Terminating Systems/Steady-State Simulations)
IEE 475: Simulating Stochastic Systems
1 week ago
Lecture J3 (2025-11-13): Estimation of Absolute Performance, Part III (Non-Terminating Systems/Steady-State Simulations)
In this lecture, we start by further reviewing confidence intervals (where they come from and what they mean) and prediction intervals and then use them to motivate a simpler way to determine how many replications are needed in a simulation study (focusing first on transient simulations of terminating systems). We then shift our attention to steady-state simulations of non-terminating systems and the issue of initialization bias. We discuss different methods of "warming up" a steady-state simulation to reduce initialization bias and then merge that discussion with the prior discussion on how to choose the number of replications. In the next lecture, we'll finish up with a discussion of the method of "batch means" in steady-state simulations.
IEE 475: Simulating Stochastic Systems
Archived lectures from IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic System) given by Ted Pavlic at Arizona State University. A course on discrete event system simulation focused on Industrial Engineering undergraduate students or others learning to use good simulation methodologies.