And just how likely is an invasion?

Tensions over Taiwan have recently escalated from tough talk to increased military activity, most notably with China showcasing its growing military strength in a clear display of the power it could bring to bear on the island it sees as a breakaway province.

China has long made reunification with Taiwan one of its long-term goals, ideally without the need for the use of force - but with sentiment in Taiwan increasingly turning towards independence, US-China relations deteriorating, and the ‘One China Policy’ seemingly under threat, there is concern that rather than continue to exert cultural, diplomatic and economic pressure to achieve that aim, it may instead turn to its growing military might to take the island by force.

Such a concern might have been unthinkable not too long ago - but we will take a look at the Chinese military advancements that mean even US officials are now warning that China could take Taiwan militarily in the next six years.

Intelligence Fusion's assessment is based on our day-to-day monitoring of the security landscape in Taiwan. If you'd like to take a closer look at the intelligence that supports our analysis, get access to a 14-day free trial: https://hubs.ly/H0nk-FG0

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