Markets looked weak… then one thing changed: stocks started reacting well to good news again. In this episode, Matt Caruso and Jason Shapiro break down the AI-led reversal, why Micron’s reaction mattered, and how to manage risk when a move starts in after-hours and confirms the next day.
They also compare two very different approaches:
Matt’s “news + momentum” playbook (build size as the market confirms it)
Jason’s “news failure / turnpicking” playbook (fade crowded trades when the market rejects the story)
Plus: why the current backdrop (AI + liquidity + rate cuts) may be one of the most bullish setups we’ve seen—and why you still need the market to confirm your thesis before leaning in.
Key topics covered:
What a market “tone change” looks like in real time
How to trade a news-driven move without getting chopped up
Relative strength: why leaders matter most during drawdowns
Why seasonal/tax narratives rarely produce edge
What Jason watches next (positioning/COT + market reaction)
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