Crude oil continues to hover near sixty dollars a barrel as the market digests OPEC’s decision to hold production steady, rising inventories, and signs of softening global demand. Daniel Pavilonis, Senior Market Strategist, breaks down what is driving the current mild surplus backdrop, why the front month keeps gravitating toward the sixty dollar level, and how a flat forward curve reflects tempered long-term expectations.
He also digs into the latest EIA data, China’s slower manufacturing activity, and the technical setup pointing to contained downside momentum — including what a break below fifty five could mean. Daniel highlights the key catalysts to watch from OPEC signals and capacity audits to macro trends, geopolitics, and yield movements shaping the narrative heading into 2026