A new LucidTalk poll, published in the Belfast Telegraph, has shaken up the political landscape in Northern Ireland.

• Sinn Féin continues to lead with 26% of the vote.
• The DUP trail at 17%.
• The big story: the TUV surge to 13%, potentially threatening DUP seats.
• Alliance slips to 12%, with questions over Naomi Long’s leadership.
• The SDLP and UUP both sit at 11%, raising big questions about unionist unity and Mike Nesbitt’s future.

In this deep-dive discussion, we break down:

👉 Why the TUV is gaining ground

👉 Whether the DUP can claw back support before 2027

👉 Naomi Long’s collapse in approval among unionists

👉 The SDLP’s slow recovery under Claire Hanna

👉 Gavin Robinson’s future as a DUP leader

👉 Why some are calling for a DUP–UUP merger

We also look at the lessons from 1998, when fringe unionist parties cut through, and what this poll tells us about the road to the next Assembly elections.

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🚨 What do YOU think of the latest poll?

• Will the TUV hold their surge or fade?
• Can the DUP recover by 2027?
• Is Naomi Long’s time up as Alliance leader?

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