In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
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In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
A Jittery Market, A Clear Signal: Lower Rates Ahead?
Supply Chain Secrets
27 minutes
1 month ago
A Jittery Market, A Clear Signal: Lower Rates Ahead?
Rates are up, down, and sideways depending on origin, equipment, and trade lane — but beneath the noise, a clear forward signal is emerging: 2026 contract levels look set to decline. Lars and Caroline walk through the extreme pricing divergence across Asia and why the Trans-Pacific feels like multiple markets stitched together. Here’s what we break down this week: The $25 drop vs. $700 jump in 20-foot rates depending on originWhy the Trans-Pacific is splitting into multiple micro-marketsSouth...
Supply Chain Secrets
In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
