In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
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In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
Unsettled Seas: China Tariffs, Rate Shifts, and the Return of Pirates
Supply Chain Secrets
18 minutes
2 months ago
Unsettled Seas: China Tariffs, Rate Shifts, and the Return of Pirates
Container shipping just won’t sit still. This week, Caroline Weaver and Lars Jensen unpack the latest volatility across global trades — from Pacific spot rates showing strange regional “vibrations,” to a 20–30% capacity surge on the transatlantic that’s pushing rates to decade lows. They also break down the temporary pause in the U.S.–China trade war — what it really means for importers heading into 2026 — and why a new uptick in Somali piracy adds one more layer of complexity to an already u...
Supply Chain Secrets
In this 2025 year-end review, Caroline, Lars, and Don Davis reflect on a year defined by tariff whiplash, uneven demand, and persistent gaps between quoted vs. paid spot rates. They also look ahead to 2026, where the base case remains continued volatility—with the Red Sea/Suez question, shifting capacity, and geopolitics keeping markets on edge. Key themes covered: Why 2025 ended “mixed”: SCFI up while paid, loaded spot rates stayed unevenHow tariffs reshaped shipper behavior toward more just...
