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The Uncertainty E.D.G.E.
Sam Sivarajan
62 episodes
4 hours ago

The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. Podcast explores what judgment looks like in practice when certainty is impossible.

I am a judgment guide. I help people act when the stakes are real, tradeoffs are unavoidable, and certainty isn’t coming. My value is not tactical insights, prediction, or optimization. It is guiding people to build their capacity for judgment under uncertainty.

Each episode examines a real decision moment—where real outcomes, real people, and real tradeoffs were at stake. Rather than focusing on outcomes or hindsight explanations, the conversations stay close to the decision itself: what could not be known at the time, what pressures were present, and how judgment was exercised without guarantees.

This is not a podcast about best practices, leadership slogans, or forecasting the future. It is about how people responsible for consequential decisions actually decide when responsibility can’t be delegated and waiting for clarity is itself a risk.

The podcast is for people accountable for decisions that matter—often without full control or authority—who must act with clarity and judgment when certainty is impossible.

Listeners might be interested in The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. newsletter as well. Check out at www.theuncertaintyedge.com. Hosted by Sam Sivarajan.

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Management
Business
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All content for The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. is the property of Sam Sivarajan and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.

The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. Podcast explores what judgment looks like in practice when certainty is impossible.

I am a judgment guide. I help people act when the stakes are real, tradeoffs are unavoidable, and certainty isn’t coming. My value is not tactical insights, prediction, or optimization. It is guiding people to build their capacity for judgment under uncertainty.

Each episode examines a real decision moment—where real outcomes, real people, and real tradeoffs were at stake. Rather than focusing on outcomes or hindsight explanations, the conversations stay close to the decision itself: what could not be known at the time, what pressures were present, and how judgment was exercised without guarantees.

This is not a podcast about best practices, leadership slogans, or forecasting the future. It is about how people responsible for consequential decisions actually decide when responsibility can’t be delegated and waiting for clarity is itself a risk.

The podcast is for people accountable for decisions that matter—often without full control or authority—who must act with clarity and judgment when certainty is impossible.

Listeners might be interested in The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. newsletter as well. Check out at www.theuncertaintyedge.com. Hosted by Sam Sivarajan.

Show more...
Management
Business
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Why Demographics Fail: Building Fast Friends at Scale Through Values with David Allison
The Uncertainty E.D.G.E.
53 minutes 56 seconds
6 months ago
Why Demographics Fail: Building Fast Friends at Scale Through Values with David Allison

Episode Overview

In this episode of The Future-Ready Advisor, host Sam Sivarajan sits down with David Allison, founder of Value Graphics Research Company and author of The Death of Demographics. David challenges traditional assumptions about consumer behavior and reveals why demographics are only 10% accurate in predicting client behavior.

This conversation explores the shift from demographic analysis to values-driven insights, uncovering how understanding client values can transform advisor-client relationships. David shares groundbreaking research, including his surprising Fox News vs CNN study, and provides practical tools for financial advisors to build deeper trust and create "fast friends at scale" with their clients.

Key Quote

"Demographics are only 10% accurate. People only do things that align with their values." — David Allison

Key Takeaways

  • Demographics provide only superficial understanding - they're 10% accurate in predicting behavior and essentially large-scale stereotyping
  • Values are the true drivers of decision-making - there are only 56 core values that influence all human behavior
  • Asking the right questions reveals true values - avoid asking directly about values; use secondary lines of questioning about daily life and decisions
  • Shared values can bridge political and cultural divides - even opposing groups like Fox News and CNN viewers share core values like family
  • The three-legged stool approach works best - combine demographics, psychographics, and value graphics for complete client understanding

Sound Bites

  • "There's only 56 values that drive every decision people make."
  • "You can't connect if you're always performing based on demographic assumptions."
  • "Don't judge a book by its cover - demographics are incredibly misleading."
  • "Values-driven investing can finally become a reality instead of a wish and a dream."
  • "Human behavior is now measurable and mappable, not just a guess."

Topics Discussed

01:05 - The Shift from Demographics to Values: David's Origin Story 04:02 - Understanding Human Behavior and Decision Making

09:31 - The Value Graphics Database: 56 Core Values Explained 18:03 - The Fox News and CNN Study: Finding Common Ground 25:44 - The Challenge of Identifying True Values Through Secondary Questioning 34:09 - Building Fast Friends at Scale Through Shared Values 40:31 - Integrating Value Graphics with Traditional CRM Data

Resources Mentioned

  • David Allison's Book: The Death of Demographics
  • Learn more about David Allison: LinkedIn Profile
  • Value Graphics Research: valuegraphics.com
  • Speaking and Consulting: David Allison, Inc.

Stay Connected with The Future-Ready Advisor

  • Subscribe on your favorite podcast platform to never miss an episode.
  • Join the conversation on LinkedIn - share your thoughts and connect with other forward-thinking advisors.
  • Explore more insights on Sam's website.

The Uncertainty E.D.G.E.

The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. Podcast explores what judgment looks like in practice when certainty is impossible.

I am a judgment guide. I help people act when the stakes are real, tradeoffs are unavoidable, and certainty isn’t coming. My value is not tactical insights, prediction, or optimization. It is guiding people to build their capacity for judgment under uncertainty.

Each episode examines a real decision moment—where real outcomes, real people, and real tradeoffs were at stake. Rather than focusing on outcomes or hindsight explanations, the conversations stay close to the decision itself: what could not be known at the time, what pressures were present, and how judgment was exercised without guarantees.

This is not a podcast about best practices, leadership slogans, or forecasting the future. It is about how people responsible for consequential decisions actually decide when responsibility can’t be delegated and waiting for clarity is itself a risk.

The podcast is for people accountable for decisions that matter—often without full control or authority—who must act with clarity and judgment when certainty is impossible.

Listeners might be interested in The Uncertainty E.D.G.E. newsletter as well. Check out at www.theuncertaintyedge.com. Hosted by Sam Sivarajan.