This week we dive into the explosive rise of prediction markets — how they’ve gone from a niche Web3 toy to a serious layer of global, event-driven financial infrastructure, with over $27B in volume this year and a single-week all-time high of $2.3B.

- How prediction markets actually work and why “skin in the game” often beats traditional polls  

- The 2025 boom: CZ’s Wyzee Labs, Opinion’s meteoric growth, and Predict.fun’s capital-efficient, yield-generating model  

- The regulated vs. decentralized split: Polymarket vs. Kalshi and CDNA, tax treatment, access, and the growing regulatory spotlight  

- The central paradox: why irrational “takers” keep overpaying, and what the maker–taker dynamic reveals about human bias and market inefficiency  

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