The Friday session closed Green with the S&P 500 and Dow hitting record highs. Here is why: Investors are betting on a "low-hire, low-fire" economy following a mixed jobs report that keeps Fed easing on the table. 🚀 Winners: Energy, Materials, and Nuclear (VST, OKLO). 📉 Losers: Automotive (GM) and overextended AI names (NVDA). Monday’s pre-market is critical as Wall Street braces for a Supreme Court ruling on tariff policy. Watch the 10-year yield—if it breaks 4.25%, this thin-volume rally could evaporate.

Here is the trade setup for the Friday open.

🚀 Defense Pivot: LMT & LHX

📉 EV Writedown: GM

⛏️ Merger Risk: RIO

🌿 Growth Spike: TLRY

✈️ Resilient Demand: DAL

🔔 Key Levels: S&P 500 Pivot: 6,952 (R1: 6,973 — S1: 6,913). Nasdaq Pivot: 25,514 (R1: 25,833 — S1: 25,450).

Watch the 10Y Yield at 4.20% as the ultimate pain trade indicator.

Here is the trade setup for the Thursday open. Markets are stuck in a liquidity trap as tech lags and Intel defends its moat. 🚀 Stocks to Watch: Intel (INTC), Tesla (TSLA), Valero (VLO), and Pfizer (PFE). 📉 Key Levels: S&P 500 Pivot at 5,945 and Nasdaq-100 Pivot at 21,150. S&P Support/Resistance: 5,910 / 5,980. Nasdaq Support/Resistance: 20,980 / 21,280.

The Wednesday session closed mixed but mostly flat, masking a high-frequency churn and a low-conviction fade. Despite intraday record highs, institutional sellers used the strength to exit positions ahead of tomorrow's macro data.

✅ The Scoreboard:

☑‑ S&P 500: +0.08%

☑‑ Dow Jones: +0.15% (Reversal from All-Time Highs)

☑‑ Nasdaq: -0.12%

☑‑ Energy: ✅ Lead (+1.2%)

☑‑ Technology: ❌ Laggard (-0.9%)

⌒ The Look Ahead:

Tomorrow’s PPI print is the ultimate test for the market. It will either cement the soft-landing narrative or trigger a violent repricing of Q1 interest rate expectations. ⌒⌒ Stay tactical. ⌒⌒

Here is the trade setup for the Wednesday open. 📉 Markets are pinned as institutional desks price in protection ahead of the JOLTS data.

🚀 Stocks to Watch: 🍎 AAPL, 🐺 WOLF, 💊 NVO, 💾 SNDK, and 🛢️ CVX.

🔔 Key Levels: 📊 S&P 500 (/ES): Support 6,825 / Resistance 6,895. 💻 Nasdaq (/NQ): Support 24,420 / Resistance 24,850. 📉 AAPL: Support 252.00 / Resistance 268.00. ⚡ WOLF: Support 18.20 / Resistance 21.50. ⚠️ Watch the 10Y yield at 4.20%—it is the ultimate gravity check for high-multiple tech.

The Tuesday session closed mixed with a slight green bias. Here is why: A tug-of-war between AI euphoria at CES and geopolitical shockwaves in Venezuela created a choppy, low-conviction mess. While the indices hit records, the internals suggest a 'rotation of exhaustion.'

🚀 Sector Winner: Energy (+2.5%) surging on the Venezuela turnaround trade.

📉 Sector Laggard: Consumer Discretionary (-1.4%) on dismal 2026 automotive forecasts.

🔔 The Look Ahead: Watch the ADP Employment print tomorrow at 8:15 AM to see if the labor market is finally decoupling from GDP.

Here is the trade setup for the Tuesday open.

Markets are digesting the geopolitical reset in Venezuela and the kickoff of CES 2026. While energy stocks are ripping, tech faces a critical yield headwind.

Stocks to Watch:

🚀 CVX - Up 5.1% on Orinoco Belt reconstruction narrative

🚀 VLO - Ripping 9.2% on refining volatility

💻 NVDA - Testing the $195 overhead resistance

🍎 AAPL - MacBook SE leaks and M5 silicon focus

🚗 TSLA - Pivoting to a robotics and physical AI narrative

Key Levels to Watch:

🔔 S&P 500 (/ES): Support 6,882 | Resistance 6,935

🔔 Nasdaq (/NQ): Support 25,350 | Resistance 25,700

📈 NVDA: Bull Case $200 | Bear Case $186

📉 AAPL: Bull Case $286 | Bear Case $258

⚡ TSLA: Bull Case $479 | Bear Case $445

Watch the 10-year yield at 4.18%. A spike here could turn tech breakouts into liquidity traps. Stay agile.

The Monday session closed mixed as a violent sector rotation overshadowed the Dow’s fresh all-time high. Investors are fading the "CES hype" in tech and piling into energy and financials as macro data signals a cooling industrial sector.

🔔 THE SCOREBOARD

🚀 WINNERS: Energy (SLB +11%, HAL +10%), Financials (JPM), and Utilities.

📉 LOSERS: Mega-cap Tech (NVDA, AMD) and the Nasdaq 100.

The #1 thing to watch tomorrow is the 5,950 "Gamma Wall" on the S&P 500. This is the line in the sand—if it breaks, expect a rapid move to the downside. Stay liquid and watch for Jensen Huang’s keynote to test the tech floor tonight.

Here is the trade setup for the Monday open. Markets are reacting to the geopolitical vacuum in Venezuela while bracing for the critical ISM Manufacturing report.

Stocks to Watch:

🚀 Chevron (CVX): Leading the energy security bid on supply shocks.

📉 Tesla (TSLA): Down 2.6% as sales decline tests the growth narrative.

🚀 Baidu (BIDU): AI chip spin-off driving massive pre-market volume.

🚀 Marathon Digital (MARA): Crypto emerging as the primary geopolitical hedge.

The Levels:

🔔 S&P 500 (/ES): Support 6,882 | Resistance 6,915.

🔔 Nasdaq 100 (/NQ): Support 24,850 | Resistance 25,180.

🔔 10-Year Yield: A breach of 4.20% triggers aggressive sector rotation.

Watch the 10:00 AM data release to confirm the trend for the first full week of 2026.

📉 The weekly candle closed with a Weak Rejection as the S&P 500 hit a wall of profit-taking at the 7,000 resistance level.

🚨 Red Folder Events: •

Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Growth Health)

Wednesday: ISM Services & JOLTS (Inflation Check)

Friday: December Nonfarm Payrolls (The Macro Heavyweight).

🔔 The Game Plan:

Markets are in technical purgatory. Watch the 4.20% pivot on the 10Y Yield—it’s the 'Duration Trap' for tech. We are trading the 'Productivity Paradox' where bad news for workers might be Goldilocks news for equity multiples. Stay agile as leveraged shorts face a potential squeeze.

The market closed mixed in a high-volume tug-of-war to start the year. Here is why conviction is offline.

🚀 Winners: Energy (+1.4%) led on renewed supply-side jitters.

📉 Losers: Tech (-0.9%) as leaders like NVDA and AAPL hit a distribution wall.

📊 Scoreboard: S&P 500 +0.12%, Nasdaq -0.08%, Dow +0.15%.

Today saw institutional mandate deployment meeting a wall of sell-side supply. While the headline index notched a technical high, a bearish divergence in equal-weight stocks suggests the foundation is cracked.

The #1 thing to watch Monday: The 6,850 Gamma Wall on the SPX. We are tracking a major rotation into Semis ($MU, $SNDK) while fading consumer-facing laggards. Don't chase the gap; wait for the retest.

Here is the trade setup for the open. Stocks to Watch: 🚀 NVIDIA (NVDA): Citing the Blackwell-Ultra and Rubin cycle as the primary liquidity magnet.

📉 TESLA (TSLA): Bracing for a soft Q4 delivery report despite Cybercab production news.

🛡️ CIGNA GROUP (CI): A high-volume breakout from its falling channel as institutional flow rotates to value. The Levels:

🔔 S&P 500 (/ES): Support at 6,928.25 | Resistance at 6,953.50.

🔔 Nasdaq (/NQ): Support at 25,358 | Resistance at 25,511.

🔔 Macro: Watch the 10-Year Yield at 4.16%—a spike to 4.25% triggers the Maturity Wall pain trade.

The market closed RED to end 2025 as the Santa Claus Rally fizzled. Here is why "internal rot" and low-volume profit taking dominated the final tape of a historic year.

📊 THE SCOREBOARD

🚀 Winner: Energy (XLE) +0.8%

📉 Laggard: Tech (XLK) -0.3%

💎 Outlier: Silver (XAG) +7% V-Shape Bounce

🔮 THE LOOK AHEAD

The #1 thing to watch is the "January 2nd Jinx." We are tracking a 65% probability of a trend continuation to the downside. Keep a close eye on the 690 SPY Gamma Wall—if we lose the 688.20 pivot, the New Year could start with a high-volatility flush. 🔔

The final trading session of 2025 is here. We are breaking down the "Ghost Moves" and the massive technical divergence in the Magnificent Seven that retail traders are missing. Here is the trade setup for the open:

🚀 Stocks to Watch:

• Nike (NKE): CEO insider buy signals 2026 turnaround.

• Nvidia (NVDA): ByteDance $14B AI spend reinforces the capex thesis.

• Meta (META): AI acquisition keeps the arms race hot.

• FTAI Aviation (FTAI): High-volume re-rating in progress.

• Tarsus (TARS) & F&G (FG): Momentum and arbitrage setups.

📉 Key Levels to Watch:

• S&P 500 (/ES): 6,850 is the line in the sand. Resistance at 6,945.

• Nasdaq 100 (/NQ): Must hold 25,400 to avoid a bearish Q1 shift.

• 10-Year Yield: Watching 4.12% for any fiscal friction spikes.

🔔 Institutional desks are dark—tighten your stops and stay liquid into 2026.

The market closed as a choppy mess with the S&P 500 finishing flat and the Nasdaq slipping. Today’s low-conviction tape was driven by institutional profit-taking and holiday-thinned liquidity as traders square their books for 2025.

📊 THE SCOREBOARD

📈 Utilities: Leading as investors rotate into defensive yield.

📉 Technology: The primary laggard amid aggressive year-end selling.

📉 Silver (XAG): Plunged 13% after a massive social media bull trap.

📉 ABTC: A 50% reversal from its debut highs on retail exhaustion.

🔔 THE LOOK AHEAD

Tomorrow is the penultimate trading day of the year. Watch the 6,910 Gamma Wall on the SPX; if we don't break through in the first 90 minutes, expect a drift lower toward 6,860 as volume remains thin.

Here is the trade setup for the open. S&P futures are flat as institutions wait for the 2:00 PM FOMC minutes. Is the Santa Rally hitting a wall or ready for a 2026 breakout? 🚀 Stocks to Watch: 📈 META: AI acquisition of Manus 📈 HPK: Operational efficiency surge 📈 SMCI: Data center rebound 📈 FCX: Industrial metals floor 🔔 Key Levels: /ES Support: 6,936 | Resistance: 7,015 /NQ Support: 25,369 | Resistance: 25,830

The market closed red as investors locked in massive 2025 gains during a low-conviction, holiday-thinned session. Here is why the tape faded.

🚀 Energy (+1.0%): Geopolitical tensions and rising crude gave oil majors a late-year lift.

📉 Materials (-1.1%): A violent reversal in silver triggered a sharp pullback in mining equities.

🛑 Tech Fatigue: Nvidia and Tesla dragged the Nasdaq as valuation concerns took center stage.

The #1 thing to watch tomorrow: The 6900 Gamma Wall on the S&P 500 and the Fed Minutes to see if the 2026 rate pivot is reality or just holiday hope.

Here is the trade setup for the open.

🚀 Stocks to Watch:

• $PLTR: Tier-1 contract buzz; watching the $60 breakout for a gamma squeeze.

• $NVDA: Year-end "window dressing" target at the $150 level.

• $TSLA: Jittery sentiment ahead of Q4 delivery estimates; $300 floor.

• $DBRG: Institutional pivot into physical data center infrastructure.

• $CPNG: $1B settlement to clear the deck for 2026 growth.

🔔 The Levels:

• S&P 500 (/ES): Resistance 7,000 | Support 6,850.

• Nasdaq (/NQ): Resistance 26,000 | Support 25,000.

• 10Y Yield (US10Y): 4.14% is the anchor for tech valuation.

📉 Strategy Note:

Beware the Liquidity Trap. Volume is 50% below average. Institutions are painting the tape—trade the levels, not the headlines.

🕯️ Weekly Candle: Bullish Extension. The S&P 500 hit fresh all-time highs, but low holiday volume suggests a fragile trend as the Nasdaq stalls at key resistance. 📅 Red Folder Events: 🔔 Tuesday: FOMC Minutes Release 💼 Wednesday: JOLTS Job Openings 🏭 Friday: ISM Manufacturing PMI & Non-Farm Payrolls. 🎯 Game Plan: Trading the "Soft Landing Victory Lap." Watch the 4.10% yield mark and the 6,850 SPX pivot to see if the Santa Rally survives the New Year institutional rebalance.

The market closed slightly red for Friday, December 26. Here is why it was anything but a quiet holiday session:📉 Choppy, but High Conviction: Despite flat indices, massive volume suggests big money positioning, not passive drift.🚀 Sector Spotlight: Metals & Mining surged, while Industrials faced profit-taking.🔔 The BIG Warning: Weak breadth & a decade-low VIX signal extreme complacency. Get ready for a decisive move. We'll show you the asymmetric trades and 'Day 2' stocks to watch for Monday.