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MPC Markets Morning Call
MPC Markets
101 episodes
1 day ago
The MPC Markets Morning Call is hosted by Mark Gardner a daily update on financial markets before the open of the ASX. In the daily podcast we cover stock markets, commodities, interest rates and geopolitics
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Investing
Business
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All content for MPC Markets Morning Call is the property of MPC Markets and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
The MPC Markets Morning Call is hosted by Mark Gardner a daily update on financial markets before the open of the ASX. In the daily podcast we cover stock markets, commodities, interest rates and geopolitics
Show more...
Investing
Business
Episodes (20/101)
MPC Markets Morning Call
19th November 2025 – Sell off continues as investors worry about economic reality check

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the current market trends, focusing on major indices performance and the anticipated earnings report from Nvidia. He highlights the significant growth expected in Nvidia's revenue and earnings per share, particularly from its data center division, and expresses confidence in Nvidia's ability to exceed expectations.

takeaways

• Major indices have shown a significant decline recently.

• Nvidia's earnings report is highly anticipated.

• Consensus revenue estimates for Nvidia are around $54.8 billion.

• Year-on-year growth for Nvidia is projected at 56%.

• The data center division is crucial for Nvidia's revenue.

• EPS for Nvidia is expected to be around 124-125.

• Nvidia's growth is largely driven by its data center division.

• Mark expresses confidence that Nvidia will beat earnings expectations.

• The market is sensitive to earnings reports from major companies.

• Investors are closely watching the performance of major indices.


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1 day ago
18 minutes 57 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
18th November 2025 – AI sentiment continues to sour, driving stocks lower

The conversation discusses recent market movements, particularly focusing on Peter Thiel's sale of his NVIDIA stake and Warren Buffett's investment in Google, highlighting the changing dynamics in the investment landscape.

takeaways

• Peter Thiel sold his $100 million NVIDIA stake.

• Berkshire Hathaway revealed a new position in Google.

• Warren Buffett shows optimism in Google's long-term prospects.

• Market trends are influenced by key players like Thiel and Buffett.

• SoftBank's actions are also noteworthy in the current market.

• The investment landscape is shifting with new strategies emerging.

• NVIDIA's stock movements are significant for investors.

• Google remains a strong player in the tech market.

• Investor sentiment is crucial for market dynamics.

• Understanding these movements can guide future investment decisions.


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2 days ago
13 minutes 42 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
17th November 2025 – Stocks end mixed as Nvidia & Payrolls results loom large

In this morning's edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark Gardner discusses the mixed performance of US stocks, the upcoming Nvidia earnings report, and the significance of the US payroll numbers. He highlights the current market sentiment, technical indicators, and the potential impact of economic data on investment strategies. Mark emphasizes the importance of maintaining cash balances and being cautious in the current market environment, especially with the possibility of a significant pullback in the coming months.

takeaways

• Nvidia's earnings report is a key focus this week.

• US payroll numbers are expected to influence market reactions.

• Current market sentiment is mixed with no clear direction.

• Technical indicators suggest weakening momentum in the market.

• High cash balances are recommended for investors right now.

• There are concerns about consumer health and economic data.

• Recent geopolitical events have affected oil prices.

• Investors should be cautious about buying into temporary market bounces.

• A significant market pullback may occur in the next six months.

• Monitoring credit spreads and Fed meetings is essential.


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3 days ago
11 minutes 18 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
13th November 2025 – Defensive Switch continues as investors rotate out of Tech

In this morning's edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark Gardner discusses the recent shifts in market dynamics, highlighting a defensive switch as investors move away from tech stocks. He provides insights into sector performances, particularly in healthcare and commodities, and discusses the implications of rising bond yields and economic indicators on future market trends. The conversation also touches on the potential for silver and other precious metals, as well as upcoming economic data releases.

takeaways

• Investors are rotating out of tech stocks into defensive sectors.

• Healthcare stocks are currently undervalued based on historical PEs.

• Silver has shown significant price movement and potential for further gains.

• Rising bond yields are impacting market sentiment and stock valuations.

• The Australian market is experiencing a mixed performance with sector-specific trends.

• Economic indicators are expected to be released following the government shutdown in the US.

• Day trading patterns are emerging, with specific buying and selling times noted.

• The performance of commodities like copper and lithium is showing positive trends.

• Investors should be cautious with external economic calendars due to potential inconsistencies.

• Overall market sentiment is leaning towards a defensive strategy.


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1 week ago
14 minutes 44 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
12th November 2025 – Investors switch out of Tech on record valuations, depreciation red flags

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the transformative impact of AI on technology, comparing its significance to historical innovations like the motor vehicle and electricity. He expresses concerns about the current valuation of AI, drawing parallels to the dot-com boom, where many companies lacked revenue and profit. Mark emphasizes the importance of understanding these market dynamics as AI continues to evolve.

takeaways

• AI is a genuine long-term thematic.

• AI is one of the most significant technology jumps since the motor vehicle.

• The current valuation of AI deserves attention.

• There are red flags in the market regarding AI valuations.

• The dot-com boom serves as a cautionary tale.

• Many companies during the dot-com boom had no revenue or profit.

• AI's impact is comparable to the introduction of electricity.

• Valuation concerns are valid in today's market.

• Understanding market trends is crucial for investors.

• The significance of AI cannot be understated.


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1 week ago
14 minutes

MPC Markets Morning Call
11th November 2025 – Investors rejoice as longest shutdown in US history ends (Maybe)

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the implications of the government shutdown on the market, highlighting the confusion surrounding back pay for government employees and contractors. He emphasizes the significant impact this situation has on market dynamics and investor sentiment.

takeaways

• Today's discussion focuses on the government shutdown's market implications.

• The headline about the government shutdown ending is misleading.

• Only 35% of government employees will receive back pay.

• Contractors are significantly affected by the shutdown.

• The market reaction to government shutdowns can be unpredictable.

• Understanding back pay dynamics is crucial for investors.

• Government payouts are split between employees and contractors.

• The economic analysis of government actions is essential for market forecasting.

• Investor sentiment can be swayed by government decisions.

• This situation exemplifies the complexities of government financial policies.


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1 week ago
9 minutes 59 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
10th November 2025 - Tech lead markets lower as investors take profits in the AI rally

Stocks staged a dramatic mid-session rebound after Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer signaled Democrats could rapidly reopen the government if Republicans meet their conditions. President Trump also hinted at a deal next week. Yet the U.S. is still enduring a record-length shutdown, with airspace restrictions now hitting the travel sector hard ahead of Thanksgiving.Key highlights:Michigan Consumer Sentiment plunged to its lowest since June 2022 amid inflation fears and job-security worries tied to government dysfunction.Private-sector layoffs hit near-record highs in October.Economists are split on further Fed rate cuts as critical data flows are disrupted.Technical momentum—the only real driver of the recent rally—has flipped to SELL signals on S&P, NASDAQ, and Russell; STRONG SELL on the ASX.Trump’s proposed $2,000 “tariff dividend” added brief stimulus hopes but risks blowing out the federal budget, especially with a Supreme Court tariff ruling months away.Sector moves:Financials and non-Mag7 stocks led the late recovery.Tesla dipped on key-risk concerns after its compensation plan passed.Semis eased as post-earnings froth fades.Affirm smashed expectations (a red flag for consumer debt).Take-Two delayed GTA VI again—shares -8%.DraftKings and Peloton surged on earnings beats.Commodities quiet: Gold/silver flat, uranium +1.4%, copper -3%, Bitcoin +4% intraday but -5% for the week.Outlook: With fundamentals deteriorating and technicals rolling over, we’re moving back to cash. Sharp, fast pullbacks create the best buying opportunities—don’t miss them by staying fully invested at record highs. Time to build your watchlist and lock in three years of extraordinary gains.General advice only—consult a licensed financial adviser before making investment decisions.👉 Subscribe for daily market updates | Like if you’re reviewing your portfolio today! 🔔#StockMarket #Investing #USEconomy #GovernmentShutdown #TechnicalAnalysis #FinanceNews

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1 week ago
10 minutes 52 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
7th November 2025 – Tech leads market lower as Investors take profits in the AI rally

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the current state of the market, emphasizing the importance of momentum over traditional fundamentals. He suggests a strategic shift towards cash and a reduction in overall exposure, particularly in gold miners, reflecting a cautious approach to investment.

takeaways

• We've had 25 different reasons for this thing to go down.

• The best thing you can watch is the momentum.

• Getting back to cash with 30 to 50 percent.

• Probably closer to 50 percent in cash allocation.

• Still holding gold miners while reducing exposure overall.

• Fundamentals have the least amount of influence on the market.

• Market momentum is key to understanding trends.

• Investors should be cautious and strategic.

• Reducing overall exposure is a prudent approach.

• Monitoring indicators is crucial for investment decisions.


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1 week ago
15 minutes 1 second

MPC Markets Morning Call
6th November 2025 – “Buy the Dip” Tech stocks default market back to the trend

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the current state of the market, emphasizing the importance of momentum over traditional fundamentals. He suggests a strategic shift towards cash and a reduction in overall exposure, particularly in gold miners, reflecting a cautious approach to investment.

takeaways

  • We've had 25 different reasons for this thing to go down.
  • The best thing you can watch is the momentum.
  • Getting back to cash with 30 to 50 percent.
  • Probably closer to 50 percent in cash allocation.
  • Still holding gold miners while reducing exposure overall.
  • Fundamentals have the least amount of influence on the market.
  • Market momentum is key to understanding trends.
  • Investors should be cautious and strategic.
  • Reducing overall exposure is a prudent approach.
  • Monitoring indicators is crucial for investment decisions.

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2 weeks ago
12 minutes 17 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
5th November 2025 – Tech stocks lower as Wall St CEO’s warn on valuations

Key Points

  • Wall Street CEOs (Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs) warn of potential overvaluation in tech, especially AI stocks, suggesting a possible 10-15% market correction is not a sign of deep economic issues but a valuation reset.
  • U.S. markets experienced notable declines: NASDAQ down 2%, Russell down 1.7%, and Dow down 0.5%, primarily impacting tech-heavy indexes.
  • Defensive and healthcare sectors outperformed, while major tech names (Palantir, AMD, Nvidia, Oracle) saw significant selloffs despite strong earnings results.
  • ISM Manufacturing Index showed continued contraction (8th consecutive month), contributing to economic slowdown concerns.
  • U.S. government shutdown is causing mounting economic costs (especially in airlines) and adding uncertainty to market outlooks.
  • Recent rate cut by the Federal Reserve may be the last for 2025; RBA's Michelle Bullock signals future rate hikes are possible if inflation persists.
  • Commodities and risk assets (gold, silver, uranium, lithium, bitcoin) all showed weakness after strong prior rallies.
  • General advice: prudent risk management encouraged after multi-year market rally and current high valuations.

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2 weeks ago
12 minutes 13 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
4th November 2025 – AI rally continues as AWS joins the OpenAI “pass the parcel”

  • Global equities were mixed, as the AI rally kept Nvidia and Amazon rising while Meta and some indices fell; AWS signed a major deal with OpenAI and Tesla unveiled a new chip.​

  • The ASX eked out small gains, but Australian tech’s role was minimal and there was frustration over lack of strong local market rallies.​

  • The RBA is set to hold rates steady after inflation data, with commentary on cycles and asset prices at record highs.​

  • Commodities: Bitcoin and metals fell, coal rose, and iron ore held at resistance.​

  • The host spotlighted AI-based Melbourne Cup picks and promoted the final stock market webinar for the year.​

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2 weeks ago
12 minutes 54 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
3rd November 2025 – AWS continues to drive the AI thematic, while breadth of rally narrows

In this morning's edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark discusses the current state of the market, focusing on the AI thematic driven by recent earnings reports. He highlights concerns about the narrowing breadth of the rally, particularly among AI stocks, and explains the implications of the Hindenburg Omen. Mark also shares insights on investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of being cautious while identifying potential buying opportunities in the market.

Takeaways

  • The AI thematic is driving the current market trends.
  • Concerns are rising about the narrowing breadth of the rally.
  • The Hindenburg Omen indicates potential market corrections.
  • Market breadth is crucial for understanding overall market health.
  • Investors should be cautious but look for buying opportunities.
  • 30-40% of the time, no major correction follows the Hindenburg Omen.
  • Iron ore prices are showing signs of a rally.
  • The market is mixed, with some stocks performing better than others.
  • Recent earnings reports have influenced market sentiment.
  • It's important to analyze data critically and not fall for hype.

 

 

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2 weeks ago
11 minutes 21 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
31st October 2025 – Amazon soars on cloud demand

The conversation delves into the recent performance of major tech companies, particularly Google and Amazon, and the broader implications for the market. It highlights the ongoing challenges in US-China relations, including tariff discussions and the impact of a potential government shutdown on economic stability.

takeaways

  • Two decent results from Google and Amazon.
  • Heat started to come out of those chip stocks.
  • We're no better off than we were in March.
  • It's important for the US and China to have a relationship.
  • Government will hit the 34-day mark.
  • We've tar-coded out of another one of these deadlines.
  • Essentially saying it was a great and amazing meeting.
  • Ordinary results from the rest of them.
  • Longest shutdown the US government ever.
  • We're worse off than before.

 

 

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2 weeks ago
14 minutes 43 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
30th October 2025 – Google smashes earnings while Microsoft and Meta disappoint

In this conversation, Mark from MPC Markets discusses the recent price actions of major tech stocks like Meta and Microsoft, indicating potential caution in the market. He highlights the importance of reviewing investment portfolios in light of these trends, especially with the volatility surrounding Nvidia and the broader market conditions.

takeaways

  • The price action in Meta and Microsoft signals caution.
  • There may be a potential top in the market.
  • Caution is warranted in current market conditions.
  • Investors should review their portfolios regularly.
  • Market dynamics can change rapidly.
  • Tech stocks are showing signs of volatility.
  • Understanding price action is crucial for investors.
  • Risk management is essential in investment strategy.
  • Stay informed about market trends to make better decisions.

 

 

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3 weeks ago
19 minutes 25 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
29th October 2025 – Wall St feels like “Groundhog Day” as Stocks hit another record

The conversation explores the current market sentiment, highlighting the repetitive nature of market reports influenced by optimism surrounding China, US trade deals, and potential Fed rate cuts. It also discusses unexpected downturns in key ASX stocks, WiseTech and CSL, despite overall positive market expectations.

Takeaways

Market reports are often repetitive due to ongoing themes.

Optimism on China and US trade deals influences market sentiment.

Fed rate cuts are a significant factor in market expectations.

AI deals are becoming increasingly relevant in market discussions.

WiseTech and CSL faced unexpected downturns despite positive forecasts.

The ASX showed resilience but is affected by key stock performances.

Market sentiment can shift rapidly based on news and events.

Investors should be cautious of over-reliance on optimistic reports.

Understanding market darlings is crucial for investment strategies.

The influence of global events on local markets is profound.

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3 weeks ago
11 minutes 57 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
28th October 2025 – Investor optimism on …. everything, pushes stocks to fresh highs

In this edition of MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark discusses the current state of the market, highlighting investor optimism and record highs across various indices. He delves into the implications of AI on earnings, the trends in commodities, and the overall economic indicators. Mark emphasizes the importance of portfolio management in light of these developments and provides insights into future market expectations.

Takeaways

Investor optimism is driving stocks to record highs.

AI continues to be a focal point for earnings reports.

Commodities like copper are experiencing significant price movements.

Market sentiment is currently very positive, with strong buy signals.

The upcoming Fed decision could impact market dynamics.

Job cuts in major companies raise concerns about long-term economic effects.

Trade deals between the US and China are anticipated to boost markets.

Nvidia's ecosystem strategy is a key strength in the chip sector.

Reviewing portfolios is crucial during this market rally.

The current market rally is one of the best since the mid-90s.

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3 weeks ago
11 minutes 36 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
27th October 2025 –Investor optimism sky high on potential rate cuts & US/China Trade deal

In this morning's edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call,Mark Gardner discusses the current state of investor optimism driven by a potential US-China trade deal and expectations of rate cuts. He highlights the positive sentiment in the markets, the implications of CPI numbers, and theupcoming corporate earnings reports. However, he also cautions about the risks associated with high inflation and the potential for a government shutdown to impact the economy. The conversation wraps up with a brief overview ofcommodity performance and a cautious outlook for the markets.

Takeaways

Investor optimism is high due to trade deal progress.

CPI numbers are influencing market sentiment positively.

3% inflation is still a concern despite market optimism.

Trade deals typically take years to finalize.

Current market rally is one of the best seen in six months.

Upcoming corporate earnings will impact market direction.

Government shutdown could affect economic data and sentiment.

Commodities like copper are showing strong performance.

Bitcoin is making a comeback in the market.

Overall market sentiment is optimistic but requires caution.


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3 weeks ago
12 minutes 21 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
24th October 2025 – Stocks grind higher on US/China positivity

24th October 2025 – Stocks grind higher on US/Chinapositivity

In this morning's edition of MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark Gardner discusses the current market sentiment influenced by US-China relations, the implications of corporate earnings, and the potential of quantum computing technology. He highlights the ongoing government shutdown and its impact on the economy, while also providing insights into upcoming earnings reports from major companies. The conversationemphasizes the importance of understanding market dynamics and investor sentiment in navigating the financial landscape.

takeaways

Stocks are rising due to positive US-China relations.

The US debt has surpassed 38 trillion dollars.

Corporate earnings reports show solid performance despite challenges.

Tesla's future relies on innovations like optimists and cyber cabins.

Quantum computing represents a significant technological advancement.

Expect volatility in the market due to geopolitical tensions.

Investors should be cautious with quantum computing stocks.

Elon Musk is recognized for his engineering and business acumen.

The government shutdown continues to create uncertainty in the market.

Upcoming earnings reports will be crucial for market direction.


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3 weeks ago
15 minutes 37 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
23rd October 2025 – Precious metals dumped on US/China Optimism and profit taking

In this morning's edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark Gardner discusses the current market landscape, focusing on US-China tensions, recent earnings reports, and the performance of major companies like Tesla and Apple. He highlights the impact of geopolitical events on market sentiment and provides insights into credit spreads andeconomic concerns. Additionally, he reviews the state of commodities and precious metals, offering predictions for the upcoming trading day.

takeaways

US-China tensions are escalating with potential export bans.

Earnings reports from Netflix and Tesla show mixed results.

Apple's product strategy raises concerns about its future relevance.

Tesla's free cash flow significantly exceeded expectations.

Credit spreads are a concern, echoing warnings from 2008.

Gold and silver are experiencing pullbacks, but healthy for the market.

Managing risk is crucial in volatile market conditions.

The market is anticipating earnings from major companies next week.

Diplomatic relations with Russia are currently stalled.

AI and robotics sectors are expected to grow significantly.


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4 weeks ago
17 minutes 42 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
22nd October 2025 – Precious metals dumped on US/China Optimism and profit taking

In this edition of the MPC Markets Morning Call, Mark discusses the recent decline in precious metals,particularly gold, silver, and platinum, due to profit-taking and market dynamics influenced by US-China relations. He highlights the impact of corporate earnings, particularly in the tech sector, and the performance of companies like Amazon and Tesla. Mark also addresses the economic outlook, marketsentiment, and the importance of strategic portfolio management amidstfluctuating market conditions.

takeaways

Precious metals experienced a significant decline due to profit-taking.

US-China relations are influencing market optimism.

Corporate earnings reports are mixed, with some companies outperforming expectations.

Tesla's future growth is tied to AI innovations and robotics.

Market sentiment is cautious due to economic uncertainties.

Investors should review their portfolios after recent market movements.

Profit-taking is a normal part of market dynamics.

The healthcare sector may see improvements following recent upgrades.

Long-term investment strategies remain crucial despite short-term volatility.

Monitoring economic indicators is essential for future market predictions.


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4 weeks ago
17 minutes 49 seconds

MPC Markets Morning Call
The MPC Markets Morning Call is hosted by Mark Gardner a daily update on financial markets before the open of the ASX. In the daily podcast we cover stock markets, commodities, interest rates and geopolitics