In this episode of the Stewart Squared Podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with his father Stewart Alsop II for another fascinating father-son discussion about the tech industry. They dive into the Osborne effect - a business phenomenon from the early computer days where premature product announcements can destroy current sales - and explore how this dynamic is playing out in today's AI landscape. Their conversation covers OpenAI's recent strategic missteps, Google's competitive response with Gemini and TPUs, the circular revenue patterns between major tech companies, and why we might be witnessing fundamental shifts in the AI chip market. They also examine the current state of coding AI tools, the difference between LLMs and true AGI, and whether the tech industry's sophistication can prevent historical bubble patterns from repeating.
Timestamps
00:00 The Osborne Effect: A Historical Perspective
05:53 The Competitive Landscape of AI
12:03 Understanding the AI Bubble
21:00 The Value of AI in Coding and Everyday Tasks
28:47 The Limitations of AI: Creativity and Human Intuition
33:42 The Osborne Effect in AI Development
41:14 US vs China: The Global AI Landscape
Key Insights
1. The Osborne Effect remains highly relevant in today's AI landscape. Adam Osborne's company collapsed in the 1980s after announcing their next computer too early, killing current sales. This same strategic mistake is being repeated by AI companies like OpenAI, which announced multiple products prematurely and had to issue a "code red" to refocus on ChatGPT after Google's unified Gemini offering outcompeted their fragmented approach.
2. Google has executed a masterful strategic repositioning in AI. While companies like OpenAI scattered their efforts across multiple applications, Google unified everything into Gemini and developed TPUs (Tensor Processing Units) for inference and reasoning tasks, positioning themselves beyond just large language models toward true AI capabilities and forcing major companies like Anthropic, Meta, and even OpenAI to sign billion-dollar TPU deals.
3. The AI industry exhibits dangerous circular revenue patterns reminiscent of the dot-com bubble. Companies are signing binding multi-billion dollar contracts with each other - OpenAI contracts with Oracle for data centers, Oracle buys NVIDIA chips, NVIDIA does deals with OpenAI - creating an interconnected web where everyone knows it's a bubble, but the financial commitments are far more binding than simple stock investments.
4. Current AI capabilities represent powerful tools rather than AGI, despite the hype. As Yann LeCun correctly argues, Large Language Models that predict the next token based on existing data cannot achieve true artificial general intelligence. However, AI has become genuinely transformative for specific tasks like coding (where Claude dominates) and language translation, making certain professionals incredibly productive while eliminating barriers to prototyping.
5. Anthropic has captured the most valuable market segment by focusing on enterprise programmers. While Microsoft's Copilot failed to gain traction by being bolted onto Office, Anthropic strategically targeted IT departments and developers who have budget authority and real technical needs. This focus on coding and enterprise programming has made them a serious competitive threat to Microsoft's traditional enterprise dominance.
6. NVIDIA's massive valuation faces existential risk from the shift beyond LLMs. Trading at approximately 25x revenue compared to Google's 10x, NVIDIA's $4.6 trillion valuation depends entirely on GPU demand for training language models. Google's TPU strategy for inference and reasoning represents a fundamental architectural shift that could undermine NVIDIA's dominance, explaining recent stock volatility when major TPU deals were announced.
7. AI will excel at tasks humans don't want to do, while uniquely human capabilities remain irreplaceable. The future likely involves AI handling linguistic processing and routine tasks, physical AI managing robotic applications, and ontologies codifying business logic, but creativity, intuition, and imagination represent fundamentally human capacities that cannot be modeled or replicated through data processing, regardless of scale or sophistication.
In this episode of the podcast, host Stewart Alsop III engages in a wide-ranging conversation with Stewart Alsop II about data training, social media competition between X and Threads, and the broader technological landscape from semiconductors to AI. The discussion covers everything from Taiwan's dominance in chip manufacturing through TSMC, the evolution of supercomputers from Seymour Cray's innovations to modern GPU clusters, and the challenges facing early-stage companies trying to scale specialized technologies like advanced materials for semiconductor manufacturing. The conversation also touches on the complexities of cryptocurrency adoption, the changing nature of work in an increasingly specialized economy, and the implications of AI data centers on power consumption and infrastructure.
Timestamps
00:00 The Rise of Threads and Competition with X
03:01 The Semiconductor Landscape: TSMC vs. Intel
06:03 The Role of Supercomputers in Modern Science
09:00 AI and the Future of Data Centers
11:46 The Evolution of Computing: From Mainframes to Clusters
14:54 The Impact of Moore's Law on Semiconductor Technology
17:52 Heat Management in High-Performance Computing
31:01 Power and Cooling Challenges in AI Data Centers
33:42 Battery Technology and Mass Production Issues
35:33 The Importance of Specialized Jobs in the Economy
38:54 The Evolution of ARM and Its Impact on Microprocessors
42:49 The Shift in Software Development with AI
46:50 Trust and Data Privacy in the Cloud
49:45 The Democratization of Investing and Its Challenges
53:52 The Regulatory Landscape of Cryptocurrency
Key Insights
1. TSMC's foundry dominance stems from strategic focus, not outsourcing. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company became the global chip leader by specializing purely in manufacturing chips for other companies, while Intel failed because they couldn't effectively balance making their own chips with serving as a foundry for competitors. This wasn't about unions or cheap labor - it was about TSMC doing foundry work better than anyone else.
2. Scale economics have fundamentally transformed computing infrastructure. The shift from custom supercomputers like Seymour Cray's machines to clusters of networked mass-produced computers represents a broader principle: you can't compete against scale with handcrafted solutions. Today's "supercomputers" are essentially networks of standardized components communicating at extraordinary speeds through fiber optics.
3. AI infrastructure is creating massive resource bottlenecks. Sam Altman has cornered the market on DRAM memory essential for AI data centers, while power consumption and heat dissipation have become national security issues. The networking speed between processors, not the processors themselves, often becomes the limiting factor in these massive AI installations.
4. Trust is breaking down across institutions and platforms. From government competence to platform reliability, trust failures are driving major shifts. Companies like Carta are changing terms of service to use customer data for AI training, while social media platforms like Twitter/X are being used as training data farms, prompting migrations to alternatives like Threads.
5. Personal software development is becoming democratized while enterprise remains complex. Individuals can now build functional software for personal use through AI coding assistance, but scaling to commercial applications still requires traditional expertise in manufacturing, integration, and enterprise sales processes.
6. Cryptocurrency regulation is paradoxically centralizing a decentralized system. Trump's GENIUS Act forces stablecoin issuers to become banks subject to transaction censorship, while major Bitcoin holders like Michael Saylor introduce leverage risks that could trigger broader market instability.
7. User experience remains the critical barrier to technology adoption. Despite decades of development, cryptocurrency interfaces are still incomprehensible to normal users, requiring complex wallet addresses and multi-step processes that prevent mainstream adoption - highlighting how technical sophistication doesn't guarantee usability.
In this episode of Stewart Squared, host Stewart Alsop III talks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, covering a wide range of technology topics from their unique generational perspective where the father often introduces cutting-edge tech to his millennial son rather than the reverse. The conversation spans from their experiences with Meta's Threads platform and its competition with X (formerly Twitter), to the evolution of AI from 1980s symbolic AI through today's large language models, and Microsoft's strategic shifts from serving programmers to becoming an enterprise-focused company. They also explore the historical development of search technologies, ontologies, and how competing technologies can blind us to emerging possibilities, drawing connections between past computing paradigms and today's AI revolution. To learn about Stewart Alsop II’s firsthand experience with Threads, check out his Substack at salsop.substack.com.
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart III shares how his dad unusually introduces him to new tech like Threads, reversing typical millennial-parent dynamics
05:00 Discussion of Stewart's Chinese hardware purchase and Argentina's economic challenges with expensive imports and subsidies
10:00 Analyzing Twitter's transformation under Musk into a digital warlord platform versus Threads serving normal users
15:00 Threads algorithm differences from Facebook and Instagram, photographer adoption, surpassing Twitter's daily active users
20:00 Threads provides original Facebook experience without ads while competing directly with Twitter for users
25:00 Exploring how both Musk and Zuckerberg collect training data for AI through social platforms
30:00 Meta's neural tracking wristband and Ray-Ban glasses creating invisible user interfaces for future interaction
35:00 Reflecting on living in the technological future compared to 1980s symbolic AI research limitations
40:00 Discussing symbolic AI, ontologies, and how Yahoo and Amazon used tree-branch organization systems
45:00 Examining how Palantir uses ontologies and relational databases for labeling people, places, and things
50:00 Neuro-symbolic integration as solution to AI hallucination problems using knowledge graphs and validation layers
55:00 Google's strategic integration approach versus OpenAI's chat bot focus creating competitive pincer movement
Key Insights
1. Social Media Platform Evolution Through AI Strategy - The discussion reveals how Threads succeeded against Twitter/X by offering genuine engagement for ordinary users versus Twitter's "digital warlord" model that only amplifies large followings. Zuckerberg strategically created Threads as a clean alternative while abandoning Facebook to older users stuck in AI-generated loops, demonstrating how AI considerations now drive social platform design.
2. Historical AI Development Follows Absorption Patterns - The conversation traces symbolic AI from 1980s ontology-based systems through Yahoo's tree-branch search structure to modern neuro-symbolic integration. Nothing invented in computing disappears; instead, older technologies get absorbed into new systems. This pattern explains why current AI challenges like hallucinations might be solved by reviving symbolic AI approaches for provenance tracking.
3. Enterprise vs Consumer AI Strategies Create Competitive Advantages - Microsoft's transformation from a programmer-focused company under Gates to an enterprise company under Satya exemplifies strategic positioning. While OpenAI focuses on consumer subscriptions and faces declining signups, Anthropic's enterprise focus provides more stable revenue. The enterprise environment makes AI agents more viable because business requirements are more predictable than diverse consumer needs.
4. Integration Beats Best-of-Breed in Technology Competition - Google's recent AI comeback demonstrates the Microsoft Office strategy: integrating all AI capabilities into one platform rather than forcing users to choose between separate tools. This integration approach historically defeats specialized competitors, as seen when Microsoft Office eliminated WordPerfect and Lotus by bundling everything together rather than competing on individual features.
5. Technology Prediction Limitations and Pattern Recognition - The discussion highlights how humans consistently fail to predict technology developments beyond 2-3 years, while current developments within 12 months are predictable. This creates blind spots where dominant technologies (like transformers) capture all attention while other developments (like the metaverse) continue evolving unnoticed, requiring pattern recognition skills that current AI lacks due to reliance on historical data.
6. Network Effects Transformed Computing Fundamentally - The shift from isolated computers with small datasets in the 1980s to today's high-speed global networks created possibilities unimaginable to early AI researchers. This network transformation explains why symbolic AI failed initially but might succeed now, and why companies like Palantir can use ontologies effectively with massive connected datasets that weren't available during the 1980s AI bubble.
7. Professional Identity Boundaries Shape Technology Adoption - The distinction between hobbyist programmers seeking creative expression and IT professionals whose job is to "say no" and maintain standards reveals how professional roles influence technology adoption. This dynamic explains both historical patterns (like the Apple vs enterprise IT conflicts) and current challenges (like Microsoft Copilot adoption issues), showing how organizational structures affect technological progress beyond pure technical capabilities.
In this episode of Stewart Squared, hosts Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II explore the fascinating connections between 1960s counterculture and the birth of the PC industry, examining how figures like Nolan Bushnell bridged the gap between the Summer of Love and Silicon Valley innovation. The discussion traces the evolution from dedicated gaming computers like Atari's early machines to general-purpose personal computers, while diving into the cultural clash between counterculture creativity and corporate suits that defined the early tech industry. The conversation also covers the technical foundations of personal computing, from memory chips and bitmap displays to the emergence of desktop publishing, before fast-forwarding to current AI developments including Google's recent product releases like Gemini and the competitive dynamics between tech giants in the AI space.
Timestamps
00:00 Opening experiment with Twitter Spaces, revisiting Nolan Bushnell, Atari, and the gap between 1960s counterculture and early personal computing.
05:00 Arrival in Boston vs Silicon Valley, early computer journalism, clashes between East Coast discipline and West Coast counterculture in tech media.
10:00 Debate on general-purpose computers vs game consoles, cartridges, and why generalization matters for AI and AGI.
15:00 Deep dive into counterculture origins: Vietnam War, anti–military-industrial complex, hippies, creativity, and rejection of the corporate suit.
20:00 Atari + Warner Bros clash, chaos vs discipline, creative culture, hot tubs, waste, and why suits struggle managing innovation.
25:00 Intel, Apple, ARM, and chips: memory origins, foundries, TSMC, geopolitics, and why manufacturing strategy matters.
30:00 GPUs, gaming, and why graphics hardware became central to LLMs, NVIDIA’s rise, and unintended technological paths.
35:00 Microsoft vs Apple philosophies: programmers vs individuals, file systems vs databases, and Bill Gates’ unrealized visions.
40:00 Creativity inside big companies, efficiency as innovation, Satya Nadella’s turnaround, and customer-first thinking.
45:00 Government + AI: National Labs, data access, closed-loop science, risks of automation without humans in the loop.
50:00 OpenAI, Google, Anthropic strategy wars, compute, data, lawsuits, and why strategy + resources + conviction decide winners.
55:00 Gemini, Nano Banana, programmer tools, agentic IDEs, Google gaining developer mindshare, and the future AI battleground.
Key Insights
1. The birth of personal computing emerged from the counterculture's rejection of the military-industrial machine. Nolan Bushnell and others created dedicated game computers in the 1970s as part of a broader movement against corporate conformity. The counterculture represented a reaction to the post-WWII system where people were expected to work factory jobs, join unions, and live standardized middle-class lives - young people didn't want to "sign up for that."
2. Creative companies face inevitable tension between innovation and corporate discipline. When Warner Brothers bought Atari for $28 million and fired Nolan Bushnell, it demonstrated how traditional corporate management often kills creativity. Steve Jobs learned this lesson when he was ousted from Apple, went into "the darkness," and returned knowing how to balance creative chaos with business discipline - a rare achievement.
3. The distinction between dedicated and general-purpose computers was crucial for the PC revolution. Early game consoles used cartridges and weren't truly general-purpose computers. The breakthrough came with machines like the Apple II that could run any software, embodying the counterculture's individualistic vision of personal empowerment rather than corporate control.
4. Microsoft and Apple developed fundamentally different organizational philosophies that persist today. Microsoft thinks like programmers and serves IT administrators, while Apple thinks like individuals who want to use computers for personal purposes. This explains why Apple recently fired enterprise salespeople - they don't want to become a corporate-focused company like Microsoft.
5. The GPU revolution happened accidentally through gaming needs, not planned AI development. Graphics processing units were developed to put pixels on screens fast enough for games, but their parallel processing architecture turned out to be perfect for training large language models. This "orthogonal event" made NVIDIA worth trillions and demonstrates how technological breakthroughs often come from unexpected directions.
6. Google appears to be winning the current AI competition through strategic patience and superior resources. While OpenAI seems to be "throwing things against the wall" without clear coordination, Google's Sundar Pichai planned their AI strategy three years ago, marshaled their talent and cash resources, and is now executing systematically with products like their Cursor competitor and better integration of AI tools.
7. The Trump administration's Genesis mission represents a high-stakes bet on automated science. By giving OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic access to confidential data from 17 national laboratories to automate scientific research without humans in the loop, the government is either acknowledging superior AI capabilities we don't know about, or making a dangerous decision that ignores the current need for human verification in AI systems.
In this episode, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to unpack Google’s sudden return to the front of the AI race—touching on Gemini 3, Google’s Anti-Gravity IDE, the shifting outlook for OpenAI, Nvidia’s wobble, the strategic importance of TPUs, and the broader geopolitical currents shaping U.S.–China competition. Along the way, Stewart II reflects on leadership inside Google, the economics of AI infrastructure, SpaceX’s role in modern defense, and how new creative tools like Popcorn (https://popcorn.co) and Cuebric (https://cuebric.com) signal where digital production is heading.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart and Stewart Alsop II open with Starlink-powered air travel and how real connectivity reshapes work.
05:00 Conversation shifts to Google’s resurgence: Gemini 3, Anti-Gravity, Nano Banana, and Google’s new integration advantage.
10:00 Sundar Pichai as a quiet wartime CEO; Google unifying LLM, imaging, and code teams while OpenAI shows strain.
15:00 Deep dive into TPUs vs GPUs, ASICs, matrix multiplication, neural networks, and why Google’s hardware stack may matter post-LLM.
20:00 Nvidia’s volatile moment, bubble signals, and the ecosystem’s dependence on GPU supply.
25:00 U.S.–China dynamics, open-source advantage in China, Meta’s stumble, and whether AI is truly a national-security lever.
30:00 SpaceX, Gwynne Shotwell’s role with government, Starlink’s strategic impact, and how real power sits in hardware.
35:00 Cultural influence, AI content tools, Hollywood production economics, and emerging platforms like Popcorn and Kubrick.
40:00 Long-term bets: Google vs OpenAI by 2030, strategic leadership, Jensen Huang’s unseen worries, and competitive positioning.
Key Insights
In this episode of the Stewart Squared podcast, hosts Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III explore the evolution of Silicon Valley's regional dominance from the 1980s and 90s to today's AI-driven landscape. The conversation examines whether entrepreneurs still need to relocate to Silicon Valley to succeed, especially given that major AI companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity are all headquartered in San Francisco. Alsop discusses the essential components that made Silicon Valley successful - including educational infrastructure, risk-taking capital, and supporting services - while drawing parallels to other tech ecosystems like Israel's Unit 8200 military program and China's engineer-led approach to innovation. The discussion ranges from the unintended consequences of government research funding and corporate R&D to the current AI competition between established players and emerging threats from Google's upcoming Gemini 3 and China's open-source models, ultimately touching on space technology, geopolitics, and Alsop's methods for predicting technological trends through what he describes as a combination of intuition and informed hallucination.
Timestamps
00:00 Welcome to Stewart Squared podcast discussing live streaming advantages over traditional publishing, exploring regionality of Silicon Valley and AI's impact on geographic requirements for tech startups.
05:00 Deep dive into Silicon Valley ecosystem fundamentals: educational infrastructure like Stanford, risk capital availability, and essential support services including lawyers, consultants and recruiters.
10:00 Argentina's tech protectionism versus open markets under Milei, discussing Mercado Libre restrictions and Amazon's entry, plus conspiracy theories about international capital influence.
15:00 Examining randomness versus intent in tech ecosystems, from William Shockley's move to Menlo Park to Israel's Unit 8200 military training creating successful tech entrepreneurs.
20:00 Core elements for tech ecosystems: universities, risk-tolerant capital, service infrastructure, plus discussion of wealth creation incentives and tax policies like capital gains advantages.
25:00 Engineers as foundation of tech success, comparing US lawyer-dominated culture versus China's engineer-led governance, examining LLMs as personal tutors revolutionizing autodidactic learning.
30:00 LLM limitations in predicting future versus accessing existing knowledge, university system's role in developing critical thinking, discussing woke backlash and political reactions.
35:00 Historical parallels to current polarization, US-Soviet space cooperation despite Cold War tensions, strategic dependencies on Russian rocket engines and recent American innovations.
40:00 Space infrastructure challenges and SpaceX dominance, Starlink satellite network expansion, China's competitive response and Amazon's Project Kuiper lagging development.
45:00 Rocket development's counterintuitive physics, infrastructure requirements, high failure rates, and Musk's advantage in accepting iterative failures over NASA's guaranteed success approach.
50:00 Distinguishing hype from reality in deep tech investing, venture capital success rates, psychedelic-enhanced pattern recognition enabling technology trend prediction and investment insights.
55:00 Prediction methodology combining intuition with technical knowledge, smartphone satellite communication developments, Apple's GlobalStar partnership and potential Starlink integration creating ubiquitous connectivity.
Key Insights
1. Silicon Valley's success cannot be replicated by government intent alone. The ecosystem emerged from random factors like William Shockley moving to Menlo Park to be near his mother, combined with defense contractors like Raytheon, Stanford University, and early risk capital from investors like Arthur Rock. While countries try to create their own Silicon Valleys through massive investment, the organic nature of the original ecosystem - including tolerance for extreme wealth creation and failure - cannot be artificially manufactured.
2. AI is creating new possibilities for autodidactic learning that could reshape traditional education. Large Language Models now function as personal tutors, allowing anyone in Nigeria, Thailand, or Argentina to teach themselves complex technical skills without formal university training. This democratization of knowledge access could reduce the necessity of traditional higher education for technical competency, though universities still provide crucial networking and critical thinking development.
3. China's engineering-focused leadership gives them strategic advantages over America's lawyer-dominated system. Unlike the US political system dominated by legal professionals, China's leadership consists primarily of engineers who understand technology and infrastructure. This technical competency at the highest levels enables more informed decision-making about technological development and long-term strategic planning.
4. The current AI competition involves an unprecedented three-way dynamic between US companies, Google's resource advantage, and China's open-source strategy. Google possesses a 20-30% cost advantage through their TPUs and $110 billion in annual profit, while China is open-sourcing competitive models like Kimi. This creates a fundamentally different competitive landscape than previous technology cycles that were primarily US-dominated.
5. Space technology represents humanity's defiance of natural physics through brute force engineering. Rockets make no logical sense - overcoming gravity to launch heavy objects into space requires overwhelming power and infrastructure. The fact that SpaceX has normalized this "impossible" feat through repeated failures and iterations demonstrates how breakthrough technologies often require accepting seemingly irrational approaches.
6. Psychedelic experiences in youth can develop pattern recognition abilities crucial for technology prediction. The neuroplasticity changes from psychedelics, combined with deep technical knowledge, can create an ability to see future technology trends that others miss. This unconventional insight, when trusted despite being unpopular, has historically enabled accurate predictions about technology evolution.
7. Current economic conditions mirror historical cycles of technological disruption and social upheaval. The separation from traditional cultural grounding, combined with extreme wealth inequality and political polarization, echoes patterns from the 1920s and other periods of major transition. Understanding these historical parallels helps contextualize current technological and social changes.
In this episode, Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III sit down with Nolan Bushnell and Brent Bushnell for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from Atari’s countercultural roots to the realities of entrepreneurship, tinkering with hardware and AI, the rise of gamified education, and the creative traditions passed through families. Together they explore how curiosity, culture, and hands-on making shaped early Silicon Valley—and how those same forces are reshaping learning, work, and innovation today.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Nolan shares early entrepreneurship stories and the spark that eventually feeds into Atari’s innovation roots.
00:05 The group explores counterculture, Silicon Valley beginnings, and how meritocracy shaped Atari’s culture building.
00:10 Stories of Steve Jobs at Atari and the “work hard, play hard” maker mindset emerge with generational reflections.
00:15 Nolan introduces Exodexa and the power of gamified education, flow state, and creative learning.
00:20 The team discusses EdTech, homeschooling, and the shift toward parent-driven learning ecosystems.
00:25 Stewart III brings in hardware tinkering, AI assistants, and the new frontier of no-code making.
00:30 Nolan and Brent recall building interactive installations and early VR experiments, weaving tech with play.
00:35 Conversation shifts to campground games, Dream Park, and designing immersive, physical-digital experiences.
00:40 Nolan argues that anyone can be an entrepreneur, sharing stories of prisoners learning to build their own path.
00:45 The group explores selling skills, the one-page sell sheet, and how simplicity drives successful entrepreneurship.
00:50 Parenting, family traditions, and nurturing curiosity across generations bring the conversation home.
Key Insights
In this episode, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to explore a wide sweep of themes—from getting an ESP32 and Arduino IDE up and running, to the future of physical AI, real-time computing, Starlink’s mesh network ambitions, and how edge devices like Apple’s upcoming M-series gear could shift the balance between local and cloud intelligence. Along the way, the two compare today’s robotics hype with real constraints in autonomy, talk through the economics and power dynamics of OpenAI, Anthropic, Amazon, and Google, and reflect on how startups still occasionally crack through big-tech dominance.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart Alsop opens with Arduino, ESP32 setup, vibe-coding, and the excitement of making physical things.
05:00 Discussion shifts to robots, autonomy limits, real-world complexity, and why physical AI lags behind software.
10:00 They unpack BIOS, firmware, embedded systems, and how hardware and software blur together.
15:00 Talk moves to cars as computers, Rivian’s design, and rising vehicle autonomy with onboard intelligence.
20:00 Stewart demos Codex, highlighting slow API inference and questions about real-time computing.
25:00 They contrast true inference vs derivation, creativity, and doubts about AGI.
30:00 Conversation turns to Microsoft, Google, OpenAI integration, and why apps fail at real personal utility.
35:00 Exploration of on-device LLMs, Apple’s strategy, M-series chips, and edge computing.
40:00 Broader architecture: distributed vs centralized systems, device power vs cloud power.
45:00 Discussion of big tech dominance, coordination costs, and how startups like Tesla or Anduril break through.
50:00 OpenAI unit economics, tokens, APIs, and comparisons with Amazon, Uber, and WeWork.
55:00 Closing with mesh networks, Starlink’s satellite routing, low-Earth-orbit scaling, and space debris concerns.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation that connects the dots between streaming, AI, and the deeper history of how computers came to shape our world. Together they trace the path from the early days of Mosaic and Netscape to today’s agentic browsers like Atlas, Comet, and Gemini, exploring how Google, Apple, and Microsoft each built their empires from software, hardware, and the web. Along the way, they weigh dystopian fears of AI against its utopian potential, unpack the rise of ARM architecture and Raspberry Pi, and reflect on the cultural shifts linking the command line to modern creative tools.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Streaming takes center stage as Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II discuss the roots of live broadcasting and how early infrastructure shaped today’s media landscape.
05:00 The talk turns to dystopian versus utopian views of AI, with Stewart II describing the fear dominating creative industries and Stewart III seeing hope in agentic tools.
10:00 They unpack agentic browsers like Atlas, Comet, and Gemini, contrasting cultural fear with the promise of true digital assistants.
15:00 A deep dive into command line terminals reveals how humans first talked to machines and how vibe coding revives that direct power.
20:00 The evolution of browsers unfolds—from Mosaic and Netscape to Chrome—highlighting Marc Andreessen’s legacy and Google’s rise.
25:00 Apple’s UNIX roots and ARM integration illustrate the interplay between hardware, firmware, and software.
30:00 Web 2.0, RESTful APIs, and Tim O’Reilly’s insight frame the birth of social media.
35:00 The conversation shifts to IT systems, Google’s strategy, and Microsoft’s missteps.
40:00 They close with hardware curiosity, Raspberry Pi, sensors, and the future of the Internet of Things.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, hosts Stewart Alsop II and his son Stewart Alsop III, sits down with journalist and author Fred Vogelstein, known for his book Crazy Stupid Tech, to explore how technology, finance, and media are colliding in the age of AI. The conversation moves from Cloudflare’s emerging influence on AI web infrastructure and Google’s shifting search economy to the echoes of the 1999 tech bubble and the leverage risks in today’s crypto and private credit markets. Fred connects these financial dynamics to broader issues like middle-class decline, automation, and America’s uneasy economic balance with China. For more on Fred’s work, check out his book Crazy Stupid Tech and his reporting on Cloudflare and AI, and more subscribing to his innovation newsletter with Om Malik at CrazyStupidTech.com.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II welcome Fred Vogelstein to discuss Crazy Stupid Tech, Cloudflare, AI crawling, and Google’s dominance in search.
05:00 Vogelstein explains how Cloudflare’s control of 20% of web traffic gives publishers leverage against AI firms and Google’s search-to-AI transition.
10:00 The group compares today’s AI surge to the 1999 dot-com bubble, with parallels in hype, investment, and balance-sheet-driven spending.
15:00 They revisit the dual Internet and broadband bubbles and recall the 2000–2001 collapse that reshaped Silicon Valley.
20:00 Vogelstein questions assumptions about endless data-center growth and Transformer model efficiency, hinting at over-investment.
25:00 Discussion shifts to private credit, crypto leverage, and echoes of 1929’s systemic risk.
30:00 The hosts explore “too big to fail” thinking, national security, and global power shifts between the U.S. and China.
35:00 Debate over the dollar’s reserve status and potential yuan challenge connects to deflation and economic uncertainty.
40:00 Vogelstein argues AI could rebuild the American middle class by turning coding into a new industrial skill.
45:00 They reflect on generational divides, immigration, and historical memory shaping political polarization.
50:00 Conversation turns to Argentina’s scarcity economy and how chaos breeds innovation and resilience.
55:00 The trio concludes with optimism about AI as a personal tutor, onshoring, additive manufacturing, and the promise of renewed American industry.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III talks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, about Sam Altman’s $25 billion plan to build OpenAI data centers in Patagonia and how it connects to a broader U.S.–Argentina currency swap and the shifting landscape of AI geopolitics. Together, they unpack what this means for energy demand, chip supply, and U.S. influence abroad, drawing parallels to past tech overbuilds like the 1990s dark fiber boom. The conversation moves from the logistics of powering massive AI infrastructure to the rise of robotics and “physical AI,” including Stewart II’s hands-on look at the Unitree robot and his investment in Chef Robotics. For listeners interested in deeper coverage of these stories, check out Stewart Alsop III’s AI Whispers report mentioned in the show.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 – Stewart Alsop III opens with news of Sam Altman’s $25B OpenAI data center plan in Patagonia, tied to a U.S.–Argentina $20B currency swap and Trump’s backing of Milei.
05:00 – They unpack Argentina’s political turmoil, corruption scandals, and the U.S. effort to counter China’s influence over lithium and rare earths.
10:00 – Discussion turns to AI infrastructure logistics, how data centers need massive power, and Altman’s ties to U.S. energy interests, including solar, nuclear, and SMR reactors.
15:00 – Stewart II compares this boom to the 1990s dark fiber overbuild, warning of overcapacity and shifting ownership in infrastructure cycles.
20:00 – They analyze OpenAI’s 800M users, inference costs, and Sora’s energy demand, considering how infrastructure strain shapes AI access.
25:00 – The talk shifts to Unitree robots, physical AI, and Stewart II’s investment in Chef Robotics, linking automation to industrial change.
30:00 – Closing with reflections on distributed systems, uptime, Google’s architecture, and the evolution from AltaVista to TikTok as symbols of scalable intelligence.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a rich, cross-generational conversation about China’s technological ambitions and the shifting balance of global power in semiconductors, AI, and manufacturing. Together, they unpack how China achieved seven-nanometer chips without EUV, the dominance of TSMC and its partnership with Apple, the rise of Nvidia and the GPU revolution, and how decades of offshoring reshaped the U.S. industrial landscape. The conversation weaves through topics like robotics, ARM architecture, battery innovation, and the intertwined futures of hardware and software, offering a blend of history, strategy, and insight from two distinct perspectives shaped by time and technology.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart III opens with China’s semiconductor advances—7 nm chips without EUV—and its strategy to dominate manufacturing and robotics.
05:00 Stewart II explains TSMC’s two-nanometer lead, Apple’s tight partnership, and how GPUs differ from CPUs in AI.
10:00 The pair explore China’s robotics boom, humanoid robots, and demographic pressures alongside open-source AI and industrial scaling.
15:00 They shift to China’s political economy—local subsidies, Xi Jinping’s control, and the fragile balance of power in global manufacturing.
20:00 A deep dive into GPUs, TPUs, and ARM architecture; why Nvidia dominates and Intel missed the AI transition.
25:00 The conversation turns to TSMC’s origins, unions, and the offshoring of U.S. manufacturing.
30:00 They connect rare earths, EVs, and battery innovation to China’s industrial ecosystem.
35:00 Discussion of Ion Storage Systems and solid-state battery breakthroughs.
40:00 Reflections on TSMC’s fabs, Taiwan’s rise, and Stewart II’s early coverage of semiconductors.
45:00 They close with Raspberry Pi, embedded systems, and how hardware and software co-evolve.
Key Insights
In this episode, Stewart Alsop III speaks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, about Hong Kong’s transformation since the 1997 handover and what it reveals about power, identity, and control in the information age. Together, they trace the shifting relationship between surveillance and sovereignty, explore how technology and data have become new instruments of hard power, and question what autonomy means in a world increasingly defined by networks and algorithms.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 The Alsops open with reflections on Hong Kong’s post-handover identity and what sovereignty means in an era of shifting global power.
05:00 They trace how information has become hard power, comparing today’s data empires to Cold War intelligence networks.
10:00 Discussion turns to the surveillance state, censorship, and how both China and the West weaponize transparency.
15:00 Stewart II recalls the Beltway Bandits and RAND Corporation days, linking them to the new tech-industrial complex.
20:00 The two explore AI alliances like OpenAI and Oracle, and the risks of corporate control over digital sovereignty.
25:00 A debate unfolds around decentralization and whether blockchain or open networks can resist central authority.
30:00 They consider how capitalism, governance, and propaganda intertwine in the information economy.
35:00 The episode closes with reflections on autonomy, freedom, and what it means to stay human amid algorithmic rule.
Key Insights
In this episode, Stewart Alsop II, Stewart Alsop III, Brent Bushnell, and a brief appearance by Nolan Bushnell come together for a thoughtful exchange about the evolution of immersive entertainment, mixed reality, and playful learning. The conversation touches on creativity through technology, the merging of physical and digital worlds, and the Bushnell family’s legacy of innovation across art, engineering, and entrepreneurship.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 – Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III open the conversation with Brent Bushnell, setting the stage around creativity, play, and immersive experiences.
05:00 – Brent shares how 2 Bit Circus began as a playground for invention, merging art and engineering into hands-on storytelling.
10:00 – Discussion turns to Dream Park and the vision for mixed-reality spaces that blend digital wonder with real-world connection.
15:00 – The group reflects on the Bushnell legacy, with Nolan Bushnell briefly joining to speak about the spirit of curiosity and risk-taking in innovation.
20:00 – Brent and the Alsops explore democratization of fabrication and how accessible tools empower new creators.
25:00 – They consider education through play, where learning becomes experiential and technology acts as a creative partner.
30:00 – Closing thoughts emphasize community, imagination, and the future of interactive entertainment as a shared human experience.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from OpenAI’s massive semiconductor and Oracle deals, to the nature of money and the gold standard, to shifting dynamics in U.S.–China relations and modern warfare technologies like drones and cyber tools. They also trace the history of networking and video games—from LAN parties and Atari with Nolan Bushnell to immersive experiences like 2-Bit Circus and Meow Wolf—before circling back to how AI and robotics are beginning to reshape both business and reality itself.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 OpenAI’s $10B Broadcom inference chips deal and the $60B Oracle agreement raise questions about money, stock surges, and financial credibility.
05:00 The concept of “funny money,” Oracle’s cash reserves, quantitative easing, and the gold standard highlight how value and trust shape economies.
10:00 Gold, fiat currency, and banks like JP Morgan tie into larger concerns about trust in institutions, from Epstein to government credibility.
15:00 U.S.–China relations surface with Xi Jinping’s control, economic fraying, and the rise of a new Cold War alongside military innovation.
20:00 Drones in Ukraine, Israel, and Iran show shifting warfare, leading to thoughts on biological weapons, genocide accusations, and changing battlefields.
25:00 Broadcom’s roots in networking, Ethernet, LAN parties, and the rise of the internet illustrate the path to SaaS and global connectivity.
30:00 Atari, Nolan Bushnell, Chuck E. Cheese, Nintendo, PlayStation, and Xbox frame the evolution of gaming from cartridges to immersive experiences.
35:00 Immersive worlds like Meow Wolf and 2-Bit Circus tie into the idea of reality disturbance and AI’s role in reshaping digital and physical life.
40:00 AI, multimodality, robotics, Unitree’s IPO, and China’s economic system show competition, monopolies, and involution spirals.
45:00 IPO regulations, Hong Kong’s role, Chinese subsidies, and shifting global markets close with the Great Firewall hack and surveillance systems.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to talk about Cloudflare, its role as the “network administrator” of the internet, and how its business model connects to the larger shifts happening with AI, content, and regulation. The conversation moves through Cloudflare’s core services—CDN, DDoS protection, DNS, zero trust security, and more—before branching into AI’s impact on the open web, lawsuits over training data, Anthropic’s billion-dollar book settlement, and Google’s changing monopoly status. Along the way, they compare today’s uncertainty around AI to the early commercialization of the internet in the 1990s, touch on Al Gore’s “information superhighway,” the rise of special-interest magazines, and how advertising once worked as content.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart Alsop introduces Cloudflare and Stratechery, with Stewart Alsop II framing the idea of network administrators versus database administrators.
05:00 Discussion turns to Cloudflare’s distributed network, AI crawlers paying to scrape, and parallels with Apple’s App Store tolls.
10:00 Cloudflare’s core functions are outlined: CDN, DDoS protection, web application firewall, DNS, zero trust security, SSL/TLS, and load balancing.
15:00 The focus shifts to Perplexity, AI scraping practices, lawsuits against OpenAI, and Anthropic’s $3,000 per book settlement.
20:00 Google’s monopoly case, PageRank, and whether AI chat is true competition for search come into question.
25:00 They recall the 1990s internet commercialization, ARPANET roots, TCP/IP, and Al Gore’s role in the “information superhighway.”
30:00 The talk explores niche magazines, ads as content, early internet communities, and conferences as proto-networks.
35:00 Spam is compared to door-to-door sales and Tupperware parties, showing how unwanted commercial attention evolves.
40:00 Science fiction predictions like Dick Tracy’s watch, real-time translation, and the future of the internet’s business model.
45:00 The episode closes with reflections on space exploration, SpaceX, Starship, and how the internet may face its own existential shift.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to explore the financial and technical foundations shaping today’s AI and cloud economy, from the staggering scale of CapEx and depreciation schedules to the sustainability of investments by Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic. The conversation traces historical precedents like the fiber boom, Google’s rise, and the pivot from Justin.tv to Twitch, leading into a discussion of venture capital shifts, IPO trends, and the enduring importance of the “rule of 40.” They also examine Cloudflare’s emerging role in the open internet economy, the rise of agents and Amazon’s use of reinforcement learning gems, and pressing security challenges around AI scraping, ITAR data, and national infrastructure.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:05 Stewart Alsop introduces the theme of CapEx and depreciation, setting the stage with numbers on massive 2025 infrastructure spending.
00:10 Stewart Alsop II explains depreciation schedules, cash vs GAAP accounting, and how fast AI infrastructure like Nvidia chips and server farms lose value.
00:15 The discussion shifts to Microsoft’s Azure strategy, OpenAI’s spending, and comparisons to the 1999 fiber boom where dark fiber overbuilds reshaped the internet.
00:20 Meta’s dual front in VR/AR and AI is questioned for sustainability, as acquisitions and billion-dollar hiring sprees raise risks.
00:25 Historical precedents emerge: Google’s speed in search, Facebook’s real-time newsfeed infrastructure, and the rise of Twitch from Justin TV through Emmett Shear’s pivot.
00:30 Venture capital lessons are highlighted, from early struggles to explosive growth, with reflections on Series A–C shifts, ZIRP, growth equity vs private equity, and the rule of 40.
00:35 Tesla vs Rivian valuations anchor a risk discussion, then focus moves to Cloudflare, intermediaries, AI web crawling, and pay-by-crawl monetization.
00:40 The episode closes with agents, RLGems, universal verifiers, Amazon and Apple’s data advantages, security concerns with ITAR breaches, and the future of an open internet.
Key Insights
1. Depreciation shapes the economics of AI infrastructure.
Stewart Alsop II explains how massive CapEx spending—such as $392 billion in 2025—must be matched against depreciation schedules, which spread the cost of assets like Nvidia chips and server farms over years. The challenge is that AI hardware becomes obsolete much faster than traditional assets, making the schedule a judgment call that influences sustainability.
2. Microsoft’s position differs from AI-first labs.
Unlike OpenAI or Anthropic, Microsoft already had Azure and enterprise infrastructure in place, so their incremental AI spending built on existing investments. This makes their approach more sustainable and less risky than startups burning cash to compete.
3. Meta faces a “two-front war.”
Meta’s massive CapEx is split between VR/AR hardware bets and AI infrastructure, stretching resources and raising questions about whether its cash flows from social media can continue to fund both without weakening the core business.
4. Historical precedents highlight today’s risks.
The fiber boom of the late 1990s, Google’s breakthrough with fast search, and the pivot from Justin.tv to Twitch show how infrastructure-heavy investments can collapse or succeed depending on timing, user demand, and business model clarity.
5. Venture capital dynamics have shifted.
Seed rounds remain risky and contrarian, but later rounds resemble private equity with safer bets and higher valuations. The “rule of 40” has become a standard measure for balancing growth and profitability when evaluating public companies.
6. Cloudflare positions itself as a gatekeeper.
With 80% of AI companies crawling the web through its network, Cloudflare’s pay-by-crawl model could redefine how publishers monetize access to their content, creating a new intermediary in the AI-driven internet economy.
7. Agents and security are the next frontier.
Amazon’s RLGems and universal verifiers illustrate the push to give AI agents personalization and autonomy, but this shift also heightens security risks. Breaches like ITAR data leaks underscore that the AI-driven world may be even more insecure than today’s internet.
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III and Stewart Alsop II explore the mechanics of the preference stack in venture investing, the difference between economic and voting rights, why Delaware dominates incorporation, and how governance plays out through independent directors and board structures. The conversation ranges from startup financing and information asymmetry to the U.S. government’s new equity stake in Intel under the CHIPS Act, the precedent of the GM bailout, and the Defense Department’s secure enclave program. They trace the lineage from ARPA to DARPA, contrast research versus development, and examine how primes lost ground to companies like Anduril and Palantir, whose virtual border security and autonomous systems reflect lessons from Ukraine’s battlefield innovation. The discussion closes on how AI and autonomy may reshape great power competition with China and Russia.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II open by contrasting hype with durable principles in venture capital, setting up the idea of the preference stack.
05:00 They define preferences, economic rights versus voting rights, and why most startups incorporate in Delaware with bylaws shaping governance.
10:00 The discussion shifts to information asymmetry, insider trading, and Trump’s move for the government to buy 10% of Intel, raising questions of nationalization.
15:00 They trace precedents from the GM bailout, explain the CHIPS Act grants, Intel’s secure enclave program, and rumors of chip vulnerabilities.
20:00 Apple’s security updates, government use of secure devices, and Ukraine’s use of fiber-tethered drones illustrate the link between defense innovation and autonomy.
25:00 They revisit ARPA to DARPA, the role of Xerox PARC and IBM in research versus development, and how primes consolidated into a few big contractors.
30:00 Startups like Anduril and Palantir, backed by Peter Thiel, rise as Ukraine’s war shows drones and autonomy challenging exquisite systems.
35:00 The talk broadens to Trump’s personal investments, bonds, and using office for gain, before returning to global conflict and proxy wars.
40:00 Great power competition with China frames the future of war; AI, autonomous vehicles, and virtual border security become central to command and control.
45:00 They close with Anduril’s early contracts in virtual border security, international sales, and how AI shifts defense and governance models.
Key Insights
In this episode of Crazy Wisdom, I, Stewart Alsop III, talk with my father, Stewart Alsop II, about the surprising reception of ChatGPT, the role of AI as a modern chaos agent, and the ways disruptive forces echo both in technology and politics. Our conversation weaves through corporate rivalries, the scaling challenges that shape giants of industry, and the geopolitical pressures facing nations like Argentina and Brazil under the IMF. We also draw on history—from Rome and the Iroquois to the early internet and the Telecommunications Act—to explore cycles of rise and decline, before turning to the personal dimension of how we form emotional attachments to AI and the need for cognitive armor in adapting to new technology.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 The Alsops begin with the underwhelming reception of ChatGPT, noting how expectations clashed with everyday use.
00:05 They frame AI as a chaos agent, comparing its disruptive role to Trump in politics and how systems respond to disruption.
00:10 Corporate rivalries take center stage, exploring scaling challenges and the fragility of tech giants.
00:15 Attention shifts to Argentina, Brazil, and Iceland as examples of nations wrestling with IMF pressure and global finance.
00:20 They draw historical parallels to Rome and the Iroquois, examining federalism, cooperation, and inevitable cycles of decline.
00:25 The internet of the 1990s comes up, with the Telecommunications Act and Section 230 shaping today’s digital landscape.
00:30 The conversation turns personal, discussing emotional attachment to AI, the idea of cognitive armor, and the need for resilience in technology adoption.
Key Insights
In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation on the frustrations of modern UI/UX, Microsoft’s struggles with spam and AI adoption, Google’s approach to knowledge management, and the broader lessons of technological hype cycles from fiber optics to GPT-5. Together they explore how big companies evolve from serving programmers to serving enterprises, touch on the role of regulatory capture in shaping user experiences, and recall stories of early email, Hotmail, AOL, and long-distance calls in the 1960s. Along the way, they connect today’s debates on monopolies, Bitcoin, and satellite internet with personal anecdotes from their family history and reporting trips to Moscow.
Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation
Timestamps
00:00 UI/UX frustration, Microsoft spam vs Gmail; scam email triggers rant on filtering and usability.
05:00 Admin controls, external IT friction; Google Drive knowledge management and closed-by-default files.
10:00 Bitter lesson, compute at scale; GPT-5 hype, model consolidation, tokens and cost signals.
15:00 Consumer UI simplicity vs programmer leverage; Bitcoin early-adopter edge; Coinbase code alerts.
20:00 Regulatory capture thesis—Microsoft, Coinbase, Palantir; too big to fail, users sidelined, startup opening.
25:00 Monopoly talk: Netflix, Apple App Store; success metrics and venture-scale outcomes.
30:00 Microsoft arc: programmers → enterprise; MS Basic, MS-DOS/Seattle DOS, IBM; latency woes on the call.
35:00 Starlink Mini portability, power limits; satellite iPhone messaging; T-Mobile, Globalstar arrangements.
40:00 Email history: AOL, CompuServe, Hotmail/Yahoo; Gmail scale; Outlook/Office 365 vs Edge/Safari.
45:00 NEA standardizing on Windows, regrets; Riverside recording hiccups; early Gmail usernames, scale effects.
50:00 1963 operator calls, injury story; Moscow reporting trips; Khrushchev–Nixon Kitchen Debate context.
Key Insights