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Stewart Squared
Stewart Alsop II, Stewart Alsop III
70 episodes
1 week ago
Stewart Alsop III reviews a broad range of topics with his father Stewart Alsop II, who started his career in the personal computer industry and is still actively involved in investing in startup technology companies. Stewart Alsop III is fascinated by what his father was doing as SAIII was growing up in the Golden Age of Silicon Valley. Topics include: - How the personal computing revolution led to the internet, which led to the mobile revolution - Now we are covering the future of the internet and computing - How AI ties the personal computer, the smartphone and the internet together
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Technology
Business,
Entrepreneurship
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All content for Stewart Squared is the property of Stewart Alsop II, Stewart Alsop III and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
Stewart Alsop III reviews a broad range of topics with his father Stewart Alsop II, who started his career in the personal computer industry and is still actively involved in investing in startup technology companies. Stewart Alsop III is fascinated by what his father was doing as SAIII was growing up in the Golden Age of Silicon Valley. Topics include: - How the personal computing revolution led to the internet, which led to the mobile revolution - Now we are covering the future of the internet and computing - How AI ties the personal computer, the smartphone and the internet together
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Technology
Business,
Entrepreneurship
Episodes (20/70)
Stewart Squared
Episode #71: The AI Momentum Trap: When Venture Models Replace Business Models

In this episode of the Stewart Squared Podcast, host Stewart Alsop sits down with his father Stewart Alsop II for another fascinating father-son discussion about the tech industry. They dive into the Osborne effect - a business phenomenon from the early computer days where premature product announcements can destroy current sales - and explore how this dynamic is playing out in today's AI landscape. Their conversation covers OpenAI's recent strategic missteps, Google's competitive response with Gemini and TPUs, the circular revenue patterns between major tech companies, and why we might be witnessing fundamental shifts in the AI chip market. They also examine the current state of coding AI tools, the difference between LLMs and true AGI, and whether the tech industry's sophistication can prevent historical bubble patterns from repeating.

Timestamps

00:00 The Osborne Effect: A Historical Perspective
05:53 The Competitive Landscape of AI
12:03 Understanding the AI Bubble
21:00 The Value of AI in Coding and Everyday Tasks
28:47 The Limitations of AI: Creativity and Human Intuition
33:42 The Osborne Effect in AI Development
41:14 US vs China: The Global AI Landscape

Key Insights

1. The Osborne Effect remains highly relevant in today's AI landscape. Adam Osborne's company collapsed in the 1980s after announcing their next computer too early, killing current sales. This same strategic mistake is being repeated by AI companies like OpenAI, which announced multiple products prematurely and had to issue a "code red" to refocus on ChatGPT after Google's unified Gemini offering outcompeted their fragmented approach.
2. Google has executed a masterful strategic repositioning in AI. While companies like OpenAI scattered their efforts across multiple applications, Google unified everything into Gemini and developed TPUs (Tensor Processing Units) for inference and reasoning tasks, positioning themselves beyond just large language models toward true AI capabilities and forcing major companies like Anthropic, Meta, and even OpenAI to sign billion-dollar TPU deals.
3. The AI industry exhibits dangerous circular revenue patterns reminiscent of the dot-com bubble. Companies are signing binding multi-billion dollar contracts with each other - OpenAI contracts with Oracle for data centers, Oracle buys NVIDIA chips, NVIDIA does deals with OpenAI - creating an interconnected web where everyone knows it's a bubble, but the financial commitments are far more binding than simple stock investments.
4. Current AI capabilities represent powerful tools rather than AGI, despite the hype. As Yann LeCun correctly argues, Large Language Models that predict the next token based on existing data cannot achieve true artificial general intelligence. However, AI has become genuinely transformative for specific tasks like coding (where Claude dominates) and language translation, making certain professionals incredibly productive while eliminating barriers to prototyping.
5. Anthropic has captured the most valuable market segment by focusing on enterprise programmers. While Microsoft's Copilot failed to gain traction by being bolted onto Office, Anthropic strategically targeted IT departments and developers who have budget authority and real technical needs. This focus on coding and enterprise programming has made them a serious competitive threat to Microsoft's traditional enterprise dominance.
6. NVIDIA's massive valuation faces existential risk from the shift beyond LLMs. Trading at approximately 25x revenue compared to Google's 10x, NVIDIA's $4.6 trillion valuation depends entirely on GPU demand for training language models. Google's TPU strategy for inference and reasoning represents a fundamental architectural shift that could undermine NVIDIA's dominance, explaining recent stock volatility when major TPU deals were announced.
7. AI will excel at tasks humans don't want to do, while uniquely human capabilities remain irreplaceable. The future likely involves AI handling linguistic processing and routine tasks, physical AI managing robotic applications, and ontologies codifying business logic, but creativity, intuition, and imagination represent fundamentally human capacities that cannot be modeled or replicated through data processing, regardless of scale or sophistication.

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4 days ago
45 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #70: From Twitter to Threads: Escaping the Training Data Mines of Late Capitalism

In this episode of the podcast, host Stewart Alsop III engages in a wide-ranging conversation with Stewart Alsop II about data training, social media competition between X and Threads, and the broader technological landscape from semiconductors to AI. The discussion covers everything from Taiwan's dominance in chip manufacturing through TSMC, the evolution of supercomputers from Seymour Cray's innovations to modern GPU clusters, and the challenges facing early-stage companies trying to scale specialized technologies like advanced materials for semiconductor manufacturing. The conversation also touches on the complexities of cryptocurrency adoption, the changing nature of work in an increasingly specialized economy, and the implications of AI data centers on power consumption and infrastructure.

Timestamps

00:00 The Rise of Threads and Competition with X

03:01 The Semiconductor Landscape: TSMC vs. Intel

06:03 The Role of Supercomputers in Modern Science

09:00 AI and the Future of Data Centers

11:46 The Evolution of Computing: From Mainframes to Clusters

14:54 The Impact of Moore's Law on Semiconductor Technology

17:52 Heat Management in High-Performance Computing

31:01 Power and Cooling Challenges in AI Data Centers

33:42 Battery Technology and Mass Production Issues

35:33 The Importance of Specialized Jobs in the Economy

38:54 The Evolution of ARM and Its Impact on Microprocessors

42:49 The Shift in Software Development with AI

46:50 Trust and Data Privacy in the Cloud

49:45 The Democratization of Investing and Its Challenges

53:52 The Regulatory Landscape of Cryptocurrency


Key Insights

1. TSMC's foundry dominance stems from strategic focus, not outsourcing. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company became the global chip leader by specializing purely in manufacturing chips for other companies, while Intel failed because they couldn't effectively balance making their own chips with serving as a foundry for competitors. This wasn't about unions or cheap labor - it was about TSMC doing foundry work better than anyone else.
2. Scale economics have fundamentally transformed computing infrastructure. The shift from custom supercomputers like Seymour Cray's machines to clusters of networked mass-produced computers represents a broader principle: you can't compete against scale with handcrafted solutions. Today's "supercomputers" are essentially networks of standardized components communicating at extraordinary speeds through fiber optics.
3. AI infrastructure is creating massive resource bottlenecks. Sam Altman has cornered the market on DRAM memory essential for AI data centers, while power consumption and heat dissipation have become national security issues. The networking speed between processors, not the processors themselves, often becomes the limiting factor in these massive AI installations.
4. Trust is breaking down across institutions and platforms. From government competence to platform reliability, trust failures are driving major shifts. Companies like Carta are changing terms of service to use customer data for AI training, while social media platforms like Twitter/X are being used as training data farms, prompting migrations to alternatives like Threads.
5. Personal software development is becoming democratized while enterprise remains complex. Individuals can now build functional software for personal use through AI coding assistance, but scaling to commercial applications still requires traditional expertise in manufacturing, integration, and enterprise sales processes.
6. Cryptocurrency regulation is paradoxically centralizing a decentralized system. Trump's GENIUS Act forces stablecoin issuers to become banks subject to transaction censorship, while major Bitcoin holders like Michael Saylor introduce leverage risks that could trigger broader market instability.
7. User experience remains the critical barrier to technology adoption. Despite decades of development, cryptocurrency interfaces are still incomprehensible to normal users, requiring complex wallet addresses and multi-step processes that prevent mainstream adoption - highlighting how technical sophistication doesn't guarantee usability.

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1 week ago
1 hour 1 minute

Stewart Squared
Episode #69: From Floppy Disks to Claude Code: Riding the AI Dragon

In this episode of Stewart Squared, host Stewart Alsop III talks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, covering a wide range of technology topics from their unique generational perspective where the father often introduces cutting-edge tech to his millennial son rather than the reverse. The conversation spans from their experiences with Meta's Threads platform and its competition with X (formerly Twitter), to the evolution of AI from 1980s symbolic AI through today's large language models, and Microsoft's strategic shifts from serving programmers to becoming an enterprise-focused company. They also explore the historical development of search technologies, ontologies, and how competing technologies can blind us to emerging possibilities, drawing connections between past computing paradigms and today's AI revolution. To learn about Stewart Alsop II’s firsthand experience with Threads, check out his Substack at salsop.substack.com.

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart III shares how his dad unusually introduces him to new tech like Threads, reversing typical millennial-parent dynamics
05:00 Discussion of Stewart's Chinese hardware purchase and Argentina's economic challenges with expensive imports and subsidies
10:00 Analyzing Twitter's transformation under Musk into a digital warlord platform versus Threads serving normal users
15:00 Threads algorithm differences from Facebook and Instagram, photographer adoption, surpassing Twitter's daily active users
20:00 Threads provides original Facebook experience without ads while competing directly with Twitter for users
25:00 Exploring how both Musk and Zuckerberg collect training data for AI through social platforms
30:00 Meta's neural tracking wristband and Ray-Ban glasses creating invisible user interfaces for future interaction
35:00 Reflecting on living in the technological future compared to 1980s symbolic AI research limitations
40:00 Discussing symbolic AI, ontologies, and how Yahoo and Amazon used tree-branch organization systems
45:00 Examining how Palantir uses ontologies and relational databases for labeling people, places, and things
50:00 Neuro-symbolic integration as solution to AI hallucination problems using knowledge graphs and validation layers
55:00 Google's strategic integration approach versus OpenAI's chat bot focus creating competitive pincer movement


Key Insights

1. Social Media Platform Evolution Through AI Strategy - The discussion reveals how Threads succeeded against Twitter/X by offering genuine engagement for ordinary users versus Twitter's "digital warlord" model that only amplifies large followings. Zuckerberg strategically created Threads as a clean alternative while abandoning Facebook to older users stuck in AI-generated loops, demonstrating how AI considerations now drive social platform design.
2. Historical AI Development Follows Absorption Patterns - The conversation traces symbolic AI from 1980s ontology-based systems through Yahoo's tree-branch search structure to modern neuro-symbolic integration. Nothing invented in computing disappears; instead, older technologies get absorbed into new systems. This pattern explains why current AI challenges like hallucinations might be solved by reviving symbolic AI approaches for provenance tracking.
3. Enterprise vs Consumer AI Strategies Create Competitive Advantages - Microsoft's transformation from a programmer-focused company under Gates to an enterprise company under Satya exemplifies strategic positioning. While OpenAI focuses on consumer subscriptions and faces declining signups, Anthropic's enterprise focus provides more stable revenue. The enterprise environment makes AI agents more viable because business requirements are more predictable than diverse consumer needs.
4. Integration Beats Best-of-Breed in Technology Competition - Google's recent AI comeback demonstrates the Microsoft Office strategy: integrating all AI capabilities into one platform rather than forcing users to choose between separate tools. This integration approach historically defeats specialized competitors, as seen when Microsoft Office eliminated WordPerfect and Lotus by bundling everything together rather than competing on individual features.
5. Technology Prediction Limitations and Pattern Recognition - The discussion highlights how humans consistently fail to predict technology developments beyond 2-3 years, while current developments within 12 months are predictable. This creates blind spots where dominant technologies (like transformers) capture all attention while other developments (like the metaverse) continue evolving unnoticed, requiring pattern recognition skills that current AI lacks due to reliance on historical data.
6. Network Effects Transformed Computing Fundamentally - The shift from isolated computers with small datasets in the 1980s to today's high-speed global networks created possibilities unimaginable to early AI researchers. This network transformation explains why symbolic AI failed initially but might succeed now, and why companies like Palantir can use ontologies effectively with massive connected datasets that weren't available during the 1980s AI bubble.
7. Professional Identity Boundaries Shape Technology Adoption - The distinction between hobbyist programmers seeking creative expression and IT professionals whose job is to "say no" and maintain standards reveals how professional roles influence technology adoption. This dynamic explains both historical patterns (like the Apple vs enterprise IT conflicts) and current challenges (like Microsoft Copilot adoption issues), showing how organizational structures affect technological progress beyond pure technical capabilities.

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2 weeks ago
58 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #68: Hot Tubs, Suits, and Silicon Souls: When Counterculture Built Computers

In this episode of Stewart Squared, hosts Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II explore the fascinating connections between 1960s counterculture and the birth of the PC industry, examining how figures like Nolan Bushnell bridged the gap between the Summer of Love and Silicon Valley innovation. The discussion traces the evolution from dedicated gaming computers like Atari's early machines to general-purpose personal computers, while diving into the cultural clash between counterculture creativity and corporate suits that defined the early tech industry. The conversation also covers the technical foundations of personal computing, from memory chips and bitmap displays to the emergence of desktop publishing, before fast-forwarding to current AI developments including Google's recent product releases like Gemini and the competitive dynamics between tech giants in the AI space.


Timestamps

00:00 Opening experiment with Twitter Spaces, revisiting Nolan Bushnell, Atari, and the gap between 1960s counterculture and early personal computing.

05:00 Arrival in Boston vs Silicon Valley, early computer journalism, clashes between East Coast discipline and West Coast counterculture in tech media.

10:00 Debate on general-purpose computers vs game consoles, cartridges, and why generalization matters for AI and AGI.

15:00 Deep dive into counterculture origins: Vietnam War, anti–military-industrial complex, hippies, creativity, and rejection of the corporate suit.

20:00 Atari + Warner Bros clash, chaos vs discipline, creative culture, hot tubs, waste, and why suits struggle managing innovation.

25:00 Intel, Apple, ARM, and chips: memory origins, foundries, TSMC, geopolitics, and why manufacturing strategy matters.

30:00 GPUs, gaming, and why graphics hardware became central to LLMs, NVIDIA’s rise, and unintended technological paths.

35:00 Microsoft vs Apple philosophies: programmers vs individuals, file systems vs databases, and Bill Gates’ unrealized visions.

40:00 Creativity inside big companies, efficiency as innovation, Satya Nadella’s turnaround, and customer-first thinking.

45:00 Government + AI: National Labs, data access, closed-loop science, risks of automation without humans in the loop.

50:00 OpenAI, Google, Anthropic strategy wars, compute, data, lawsuits, and why strategy + resources + conviction decide winners.

55:00 Gemini, Nano Banana, programmer tools, agentic IDEs, Google gaining developer mindshare, and the future AI battleground.


Key Insights

1. The birth of personal computing emerged from the counterculture's rejection of the military-industrial machine. Nolan Bushnell and others created dedicated game computers in the 1970s as part of a broader movement against corporate conformity. The counterculture represented a reaction to the post-WWII system where people were expected to work factory jobs, join unions, and live standardized middle-class lives - young people didn't want to "sign up for that."
2. Creative companies face inevitable tension between innovation and corporate discipline. When Warner Brothers bought Atari for $28 million and fired Nolan Bushnell, it demonstrated how traditional corporate management often kills creativity. Steve Jobs learned this lesson when he was ousted from Apple, went into "the darkness," and returned knowing how to balance creative chaos with business discipline - a rare achievement.
3. The distinction between dedicated and general-purpose computers was crucial for the PC revolution. Early game consoles used cartridges and weren't truly general-purpose computers. The breakthrough came with machines like the Apple II that could run any software, embodying the counterculture's individualistic vision of personal empowerment rather than corporate control.
4. Microsoft and Apple developed fundamentally different organizational philosophies that persist today. Microsoft thinks like programmers and serves IT administrators, while Apple thinks like individuals who want to use computers for personal purposes. This explains why Apple recently fired enterprise salespeople - they don't want to become a corporate-focused company like Microsoft.
5. The GPU revolution happened accidentally through gaming needs, not planned AI development. Graphics processing units were developed to put pixels on screens fast enough for games, but their parallel processing architecture turned out to be perfect for training large language models. This "orthogonal event" made NVIDIA worth trillions and demonstrates how technological breakthroughs often come from unexpected directions.
6. Google appears to be winning the current AI competition through strategic patience and superior resources. While OpenAI seems to be "throwing things against the wall" without clear coordination, Google's Sundar Pichai planned their AI strategy three years ago, marshaled their talent and cash resources, and is now executing systematically with products like their Cursor competitor and better integration of AI tools.
7. The Trump administration's Genesis mission represents a high-stakes bet on automated science. By giving OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic access to confidential data from 17 national laboratories to automate scientific research without humans in the loop, the government is either acknowledging superior AI capabilities we don't know about, or making a dangerous decision that ignores the current need for human verification in AI systems.

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3 weeks ago
58 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #67: The Early Indicators: Will Google or OpenAI Dominate the Next Decade of AI?

In this episode, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to unpack Google’s sudden return to the front of the AI race—touching on Gemini 3, Google’s Anti-Gravity IDE, the shifting outlook for OpenAI, Nvidia’s wobble, the strategic importance of TPUs, and the broader geopolitical currents shaping U.S.–China competition. Along the way, Stewart II reflects on leadership inside Google, the economics of AI infrastructure, SpaceX’s role in modern defense, and how new creative tools like Popcorn (https://popcorn.co) and Cuebric (https://cuebric.com) signal where digital production is heading.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart and Stewart Alsop II open with Starlink-powered air travel and how real connectivity reshapes work.

05:00 Conversation shifts to Google’s resurgence: Gemini 3, Anti-Gravity, Nano Banana, and Google’s new integration advantage.

10:00 Sundar Pichai as a quiet wartime CEO; Google unifying LLM, imaging, and code teams while OpenAI shows strain.

15:00 Deep dive into TPUs vs GPUs, ASICs, matrix multiplication, neural networks, and why Google’s hardware stack may matter post-LLM.

20:00 Nvidia’s volatile moment, bubble signals, and the ecosystem’s dependence on GPU supply.

25:00 U.S.–China dynamics, open-source advantage in China, Meta’s stumble, and whether AI is truly a national-security lever.

30:00 SpaceX, Gwynne Shotwell’s role with government, Starlink’s strategic impact, and how real power sits in hardware.

35:00 Cultural influence, AI content tools, Hollywood production economics, and emerging platforms like Popcorn and Kubrick.

40:00 Long-term bets: Google vs OpenAI by 2030, strategic leadership, Jensen Huang’s unseen worries, and competitive positioning.


Key Insights

  1. Google’s reversal of fortune emerges as a central theme: after years of seeming sluggish, Google suddenly looks like the strongest strategic player in AI. Gemini 3, Anti-Gravity, and product-wide integration suggest not just a comeback but a consolidation of advantages OpenAI hasn’t matched.
  2. Sundar Pichai demonstrates wartime leadership, quietly unifying fragmented internal teams—LLM, imaging, coding—into a coordinated push. His earlier track record with Chrome and Android looks, in hindsight, like evidence of a CEO built for high-stakes inflection points.
  3. OpenAI faces structural and momentum risks as its valuation soars while adoption plateaus and organizational complexity slows integration. The episode frames Sam Altman as highly driven but unsure whether he sees the full strategic map needed to counter Google’s cohesion.
  4. Hardware becomes a decisive battleground: Google’s TPUs, optimized for neural network operations and real-time learning, may matter more in the post-LLM era. Nvidia’s GPU dominance is powerful but possibly fragile as markets signal bubble anxiety and competitors reposition.
  5. The geopolitical lens complicates AI narratives. The U.S.–China rivalry is not just about models but about open-source ecosystems, industrial capacity, and control over compute. China’s open-source strength pressures Meta, while U.S. companies remain unevenly aligned with government interests.
  6. SpaceX illustrates how real power flows through hardware and infrastructure, not just algorithms. With Starlink and Gwynne Shotwell managing government interfaces, Musk’s unique model shows how private actors can reshape national capabilities without being state-defined.
  7. AI’s cultural and creative impact remains early and messy, with most output still “slop,” but emerging tools like Popcorn and Kubrick hint at a shift in production economics. The hosts argue that value still accrues where humans meet content—technology accelerates creativity but doesn’t replace its center.
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1 month ago
48 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #66: The Randomness Engine: Why Silicon Valley Can't Be Cloned (And Why That Matters for AI)

In this episode of the Stewart Squared podcast, hosts Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III explore the evolution of Silicon Valley's regional dominance from the 1980s and 90s to today's AI-driven landscape. The conversation examines whether entrepreneurs still need to relocate to Silicon Valley to succeed, especially given that major AI companies like OpenAI, Anthropic, and Perplexity are all headquartered in San Francisco. Alsop discusses the essential components that made Silicon Valley successful - including educational infrastructure, risk-taking capital, and supporting services - while drawing parallels to other tech ecosystems like Israel's Unit 8200 military program and China's engineer-led approach to innovation. The discussion ranges from the unintended consequences of government research funding and corporate R&D to the current AI competition between established players and emerging threats from Google's upcoming Gemini 3 and China's open-source models, ultimately touching on space technology, geopolitics, and Alsop's methods for predicting technological trends through what he describes as a combination of intuition and informed hallucination.


Timestamps

00:00 Welcome to Stewart Squared podcast discussing live streaming advantages over traditional publishing, exploring regionality of Silicon Valley and AI's impact on geographic requirements for tech startups.
05:00 Deep dive into Silicon Valley ecosystem fundamentals: educational infrastructure like Stanford, risk capital availability, and essential support services including lawyers, consultants and recruiters.
10:00 Argentina's tech protectionism versus open markets under Milei, discussing Mercado Libre restrictions and Amazon's entry, plus conspiracy theories about international capital influence.
15:00 Examining randomness versus intent in tech ecosystems, from William Shockley's move to Menlo Park to Israel's Unit 8200 military training creating successful tech entrepreneurs.
20:00 Core elements for tech ecosystems: universities, risk-tolerant capital, service infrastructure, plus discussion of wealth creation incentives and tax policies like capital gains advantages.
25:00 Engineers as foundation of tech success, comparing US lawyer-dominated culture versus China's engineer-led governance, examining LLMs as personal tutors revolutionizing autodidactic learning.
30:00 LLM limitations in predicting future versus accessing existing knowledge, university system's role in developing critical thinking, discussing woke backlash and political reactions.
35:00 Historical parallels to current polarization, US-Soviet space cooperation despite Cold War tensions, strategic dependencies on Russian rocket engines and recent American innovations.
40:00 Space infrastructure challenges and SpaceX dominance, Starlink satellite network expansion, China's competitive response and Amazon's Project Kuiper lagging development.
45:00 Rocket development's counterintuitive physics, infrastructure requirements, high failure rates, and Musk's advantage in accepting iterative failures over NASA's guaranteed success approach.
50:00 Distinguishing hype from reality in deep tech investing, venture capital success rates, psychedelic-enhanced pattern recognition enabling technology trend prediction and investment insights.
55:00 Prediction methodology combining intuition with technical knowledge, smartphone satellite communication developments, Apple's GlobalStar partnership and potential Starlink integration creating ubiquitous connectivity.


Key Insights

1. Silicon Valley's success cannot be replicated by government intent alone. The ecosystem emerged from random factors like William Shockley moving to Menlo Park to be near his mother, combined with defense contractors like Raytheon, Stanford University, and early risk capital from investors like Arthur Rock. While countries try to create their own Silicon Valleys through massive investment, the organic nature of the original ecosystem - including tolerance for extreme wealth creation and failure - cannot be artificially manufactured.

2. AI is creating new possibilities for autodidactic learning that could reshape traditional education. Large Language Models now function as personal tutors, allowing anyone in Nigeria, Thailand, or Argentina to teach themselves complex technical skills without formal university training. This democratization of knowledge access could reduce the necessity of traditional higher education for technical competency, though universities still provide crucial networking and critical thinking development.

3. China's engineering-focused leadership gives them strategic advantages over America's lawyer-dominated system. Unlike the US political system dominated by legal professionals, China's leadership consists primarily of engineers who understand technology and infrastructure. This technical competency at the highest levels enables more informed decision-making about technological development and long-term strategic planning.

4. The current AI competition involves an unprecedented three-way dynamic between US companies, Google's resource advantage, and China's open-source strategy. Google possesses a 20-30% cost advantage through their TPUs and $110 billion in annual profit, while China is open-sourcing competitive models like Kimi. This creates a fundamentally different competitive landscape than previous technology cycles that were primarily US-dominated.

5. Space technology represents humanity's defiance of natural physics through brute force engineering. Rockets make no logical sense - overcoming gravity to launch heavy objects into space requires overwhelming power and infrastructure. The fact that SpaceX has normalized this "impossible" feat through repeated failures and iterations demonstrates how breakthrough technologies often require accepting seemingly irrational approaches.

6. Psychedelic experiences in youth can develop pattern recognition abilities crucial for technology prediction. The neuroplasticity changes from psychedelics, combined with deep technical knowledge, can create an ability to see future technology trends that others miss. This unconventional insight, when trusted despite being unpopular, has historically enabled accurate predictions about technology evolution.

7. Current economic conditions mirror historical cycles of technological disruption and social upheaval. The separation from traditional cultural grounding, combined with extreme wealth inequality and political polarization, echoes patterns from the 1920s and other periods of major transition. Understanding these historical parallels helps contextualize current technological and social changes.


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1 month ago
1 hour

Stewart Squared
Episode #65: From Strawberries to Silicon Valley: The Origin Story of Atari’s Mindset

In this episode, Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III sit down with Nolan Bushnell and Brent Bushnell for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from Atari’s countercultural roots to the realities of entrepreneurship, tinkering with hardware and AI, the rise of gamified education, and the creative traditions passed through families. Together they explore how curiosity, culture, and hands-on making shaped early Silicon Valley—and how those same forces are reshaping learning, work, and innovation today.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Nolan shares early entrepreneurship stories and the spark that eventually feeds into Atari’s innovation roots.
00:05 The group explores counterculture, Silicon Valley beginnings, and how meritocracy shaped Atari’s culture building.
00:10 Stories of Steve Jobs at Atari and the “work hard, play hard” maker mindset emerge with generational reflections.
00:15 Nolan introduces Exodexa and the power of gamified education, flow state, and creative learning.
00:20 The team discusses EdTech, homeschooling, and the shift toward parent-driven learning ecosystems.
00:25 Stewart III brings in hardware tinkering, AI assistants, and the new frontier of no-code making.
00:30 Nolan and Brent recall building interactive installations and early VR experiments, weaving tech with play.
00:35 Conversation shifts to campground games, Dream Park, and designing immersive, physical-digital experiences.
00:40 Nolan argues that anyone can be an entrepreneur, sharing stories of prisoners learning to build their own path.
00:45 The group explores selling skills, the one-page sell sheet, and how simplicity drives successful entrepreneurship.
00:50 Parenting, family traditions, and nurturing curiosity across generations bring the conversation home.

Key Insights

  1. Entrepreneurship often starts with a spark of agency, not a business plan. Nolan’s story about selling strawberries at age eight captures a deeper truth echoed throughout the episode: entrepreneurship is less about resources and more about noticing an opportunity, acting on curiosity, and realizing you can shape your own world. That mindset later fuels Atari, the coin-op arcade era, and the broader belief that anyone—even ex-prisoners—can create their own livelihood when shown a path.
  2. Counterculture shaped early Silicon Valley more than people remember. Nolan’s memories of arriving in 1968—Summer of Love, Haight-Ashbury weekends, rejecting dress codes—show how Atari’s meritocratic, playful culture emerged directly from that environment. The team emphasized that “work hard, play hard” wasn’t a slogan; it was a blueprint for attracting creative talent, including a young Steve Jobs.
  3. Gamified learning works because it aligns with how humans naturally absorb knowledge. Nolan explains that people remember 10% of what they see but 80% of what they do, and games force continuous decision-making in a flow state. Exodexa isn’t about bolting games onto education—it’s about designing learning around curiosity, story, and agency, using game dynamics as the core engine, not a veneer.
  4. Homeschooling and parent-driven education are rising because traditional systems are failing. The pandemic exposed inefficiencies and gaps that families could no longer ignore. Nolan points out that homeschoolers move faster, require less bureaucracy, and represent a powerful early market for innovative EdTech—especially products that blend autonomy with structured learning.
  5. AI is collapsing the barrier between hardware tinkering and software creation. Stewart III’s journey—connecting Raspberry Pis, ESP32s, and coding agents without writing code—signals a new era where making physical things becomes accessible to non-engineers. This democratization echoes the early personal-computer boom, but now with AI as the universal teacher.
  6. Designing physical-digital experiences requires blending creativity, environment, and simplicity. When Nolan and Brent describe campground games, VR mazes, and QR-based treasure hunts, they highlight a throughline: immersive experiences work best when grounded in a clear narrative, clever constraints, and playful interaction with the real world.
  7. Entrepreneurship is fundamentally about selling—and simplicity wins. Nolan’s one-page sell sheet rule—20-point type, seven words, a price, three features—embodies decades of building and shipping ideas. Throughout the episode, he emphasizes that complexity kills momentum, and that the shortest path from idea to “first cash” is the true test of whether something is viable.
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1 month ago
54 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #64: The Last Mile of Intelligence: Real-Time Systems and Hardware Leap

In this episode, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to explore a wide sweep of themes—from getting an ESP32 and Arduino IDE up and running, to the future of physical AI, real-time computing, Starlink’s mesh network ambitions, and how edge devices like Apple’s upcoming M-series gear could shift the balance between local and cloud intelligence. Along the way, the two compare today’s robotics hype with real constraints in autonomy, talk through the economics and power dynamics of OpenAI, Anthropic, Amazon, and Google, and reflect on how startups still occasionally crack through big-tech dominance.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart Alsop opens with Arduino, ESP32 setup, vibe-coding, and the excitement of making physical things.
05:00 Discussion shifts to robots, autonomy limits, real-world complexity, and why physical AI lags behind software.
10:00 They unpack BIOS, firmware, embedded systems, and how hardware and software blur together.
15:00 Talk moves to cars as computers, Rivian’s design, and rising vehicle autonomy with onboard intelligence.
20:00 Stewart demos Codex, highlighting slow API inference and questions about real-time computing.
25:00 They contrast true inference vs derivation, creativity, and doubts about AGI.
30:00 Conversation turns to Microsoft, Google, OpenAI integration, and why apps fail at real personal utility.
35:00 Exploration of on-device LLMs, Apple’s strategy, M-series chips, and edge computing.
40:00 Broader architecture: distributed vs centralized systems, device power vs cloud power.
45:00 Discussion of big tech dominance, coordination costs, and how startups like Tesla or Anduril break through.
50:00 OpenAI unit economics, tokens, APIs, and comparisons with Amazon, Uber, and WeWork.
55:00 Closing with mesh networks, Starlink’s satellite routing, low-Earth-orbit scaling, and space debris concerns.

Key Insights

  1. Hardware as a path to understanding reality: Stewart Alsop describes using Arduino, ESP32 boards, and a Raspberry Pi as a way to gain “intimacy with reality,” arguing that building physical systems teaches constraints and feedback loops that pure software often hides. His process—installing toolchains, debugging libraries, and interacting with sensors—highlights how hardware forces real-world learning that complements AI-driven coding assistance.
  2. Physical AI lags far behind software AI: The conversation emphasizes the gap between LLM-based software agents and embodied robotics. Despite flashy demos, most robots remain remote-controlled, brittle, or gimmicky. The real world’s variability—stairs, dirt roads, weather—makes autonomy extremely difficult, pushing truly capable physical AI far into the future.
  3. Everything is becoming a computer, including cars: They outline how EVs like Rivian and Tesla represent a shift where the computer is the primary design element and the vehicle is built around it. With autonomy features, sensor fusion, and operating systems more akin to smartphones, cars are evolving into mobile computation platforms with wheels.
  4. Real-time computing and the “Evernet” are the next frontier: Stewart Alsop II argues that the future hinges on synchronous, always-available, high-bandwidth connectivity. Starlink serves as a preview of a world where real-time, global, low-latency networking becomes the norm, enabling continuous context awareness and distributed intelligence across devices.
  5. Inference today is really derivation, not true reasoning: They distinguish between LLM “inference”—predicting tokens from prior data—and human inference, which creates new, orthogonal ideas. This raises doubts about AGI timelines, suggesting that creativity and genuine reasoning remain uniquely human for now.
  6. Edge computing will rival cloud-based AI: Apple’s focus on on-device LLMs, fueled by increasingly powerful M-series and A-series chips, points to a hybrid future. Local models will handle personal context and privacy, while cloud models tackle heavier tasks. This could rebalance power away from centralized AI infrastructure.
  7. Big tech dominance persists, but disruption remains possible: Although companies like Apple, Google, Amazon, and Meta have deep structural advantages—from chips to cloud to data—examples like Tesla, SpaceX, and Anduril show that startups can still break through. The key remains exceptional execution, timing, and identifying architectural gaps in the incumbents’ strategies.
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1 month ago
59 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #63: From Mosaic to Gemini: The Evolution of How We Connect

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation that connects the dots between streaming, AI, and the deeper history of how computers came to shape our world. Together they trace the path from the early days of Mosaic and Netscape to today’s agentic browsers like Atlas, Comet, and Gemini, exploring how Google, Apple, and Microsoft each built their empires from software, hardware, and the web. Along the way, they weigh dystopian fears of AI against its utopian potential, unpack the rise of ARM architecture and Raspberry Pi, and reflect on the cultural shifts linking the command line to modern creative tools.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Streaming takes center stage as Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II discuss the roots of live broadcasting and how early infrastructure shaped today’s media landscape.
05:00 The talk turns to dystopian versus utopian views of AI, with Stewart II describing the fear dominating creative industries and Stewart III seeing hope in agentic tools.
10:00 They unpack agentic browsers like Atlas, Comet, and Gemini, contrasting cultural fear with the promise of true digital assistants.
15:00 A deep dive into command line terminals reveals how humans first talked to machines and how vibe coding revives that direct power.
20:00 The evolution of browsers unfolds—from Mosaic and Netscape to Chrome—highlighting Marc Andreessen’s legacy and Google’s rise.
25:00 Apple’s UNIX roots and ARM integration illustrate the interplay between hardware, firmware, and software.
30:00 Web 2.0, RESTful APIs, and Tim O’Reilly’s insight frame the birth of social media.
35:00 The conversation shifts to IT systems, Google’s strategy, and Microsoft’s missteps.
40:00 They close with hardware curiosity, Raspberry Pi, sensors, and the future of the Internet of Things.

Key Insights

  1. Streaming as the New Infrastructure: The episode opens by framing streaming not just as a media tool but as the visible outcome of decades of infrastructure building. Stewart Alsop reminds us that before live video was simple, a complex network of servers, protocols, and standards had to emerge—what once powered Twitch now underlies our daily digital communication.
  2. The Dystopian vs. Utopian Split in AI: Stewart Alsop II captures the cultural divide surrounding AI—Hollywood and creative circles see it as a job killer, while technologists like his son see it as liberating. This tension reflects how innovation often feels like decline to those it disrupts, but empowerment to those who learn to wield it.
  3. Agentic Browsers as the Next Interface: A major theme is the rise of “agentic browsers” such as Atlas, Comet, and Gemini, which act on behalf of users rather than simply displaying pages. The Stewarts recognize this shift as the next evolution in how we interact with information—one where browsers become assistants, not just windows to the web.
  4. Command Line to Vibe Coding: Returning to computing’s roots, the conversation links modern coding with the earliest text-based interfaces. The command line, once reserved for experts, is now being reimagined through AI-assisted “vibe coding,” where natural language replaces syntax.
  5. From Mosaic to Chrome—The Browser Wars: Stewart II traces the lineage from Marc Andreessen’s Mosaic to Google’s Chrome, emphasizing how each innovation changed how people accessed the internet. The browser, they note, became both the battlefield and the gateway for dominance in the digital age.
  6. Apple’s Vertical Mastery vs. Microsoft’s Chaos: The episode contrasts Apple’s vertically integrated ecosystem—rooted in UNIX and ARM architecture—with Microsoft’s fragmented approach. Stewart II explains how owning the entire hardware–software stack made Apple’s systems more stable and secure, while Microsoft struggled with legacy dependencies.
  7. The Return to Hardware and Sensors: The closing discussion circles back to tangible technology—Raspberry Pi, Arduino, and ESP32 boards—as Stewart III explores building physical systems again. Together they suggest that the next frontier blends software’s flexibility with hardware’s presence, completing the loop from digital abstraction back to embodied experience.
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2 months ago
1 hour 7 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #62: From Cloudflare to Chaos: Mapping the Fault Lines of the AI Economy

In this episode of Stewart Squared, hosts Stewart Alsop II and his son Stewart Alsop III, sits down with journalist and author Fred Vogelstein, known for his book Crazy Stupid Tech, to explore how technology, finance, and media are colliding in the age of AI. The conversation moves from Cloudflare’s emerging influence on AI web infrastructure and Google’s shifting search economy to the echoes of the 1999 tech bubble and the leverage risks in today’s crypto and private credit markets. Fred connects these financial dynamics to broader issues like middle-class decline, automation, and America’s uneasy economic balance with China. For more on Fred’s work, check out his book Crazy Stupid Tech and his reporting on Cloudflare and AI, and more subscribing to his innovation newsletter with Om Malik at CrazyStupidTech.com.


Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II welcome Fred Vogelstein to discuss Crazy Stupid Tech, Cloudflare, AI crawling, and Google’s dominance in search.
05:00 Vogelstein explains how Cloudflare’s control of 20% of web traffic gives publishers leverage against AI firms and Google’s search-to-AI transition.
10:00 The group compares today’s AI surge to the 1999 dot-com bubble, with parallels in hype, investment, and balance-sheet-driven spending.
15:00 They revisit the dual Internet and broadband bubbles and recall the 2000–2001 collapse that reshaped Silicon Valley.
20:00 Vogelstein questions assumptions about endless data-center growth and Transformer model efficiency, hinting at over-investment.
25:00 Discussion shifts to private credit, crypto leverage, and echoes of 1929’s systemic risk.
30:00 The hosts explore “too big to fail” thinking, national security, and global power shifts between the U.S. and China.
35:00 Debate over the dollar’s reserve status and potential yuan challenge connects to deflation and economic uncertainty.
40:00 Vogelstein argues AI could rebuild the American middle class by turning coding into a new industrial skill.
45:00 They reflect on generational divides, immigration, and historical memory shaping political polarization.
50:00 Conversation turns to Argentina’s scarcity economy and how chaos breeds innovation and resilience.
55:00 The trio concludes with optimism about AI as a personal tutor, onshoring, additive manufacturing, and the promise of renewed American industry.

Key Insights

  1. Cloudflare’s strategic role in the AI ecosystem: Fred Vogelstein highlights how Cloudflare, led by Matthew Prince, occupies a pivotal position in managing AI web traffic, controlling around 20% of internet flows. This gives it unique leverage to force AI companies and publishers into negotiations over content usage and compensation—something Google has long resisted. Vogelstein sees this as a potential rebalancing of power between tech platforms and media creators.
  2. Google’s existential search dilemma: The conversation underscores Google’s dependence on search revenue, which still represents over 60% of its business. As users shift toward AI-driven interfaces like Gemini, even a partial decline in search use could threaten Google’s financial foundation—an “extinction-level event,” as Vogelstein puts it.
  3. Echoes of past bubbles: Drawing on his decades covering tech and finance, Vogelstein compares today’s AI boom to the 1999 Internet bubble, with enormous valuations and speculative enthusiasm. However, this time the money is coming from corporations with massive balance sheets rather than pure startups, creating a slower but potentially deeper form of risk.
  4. Hidden leverage in the financial system: The group explores how private credit and crypto markets—largely unregulated and opaque—mirror the risky leverage dynamics of 1929. Vogelstein warns that while tech companies appear stable, the real vulnerability may lie in the unseen parts of the financial system funding them.
  5. The geopolitics of AI and national security: The discussion broadens to how AI infrastructure investment has become a geopolitical contest between the U.S. and China. Data centers, chips, and compute capacity are now viewed as strategic assets, turning the tech race into a matter of state power and economic survival.
  6. AI’s potential to restore middle-class opportunity: Despite his caution about financial bubbles, Vogelstein remains hopeful that generative AI could democratize innovation—allowing ordinary workers to “code” and automate without elite training, perhaps rebuilding the middle class hollowed out by globalization.
  7. Cycles of disruption, renewal, and resilience: The episode closes on a philosophical note: every technological revolution disrupts before it rebuilds. From the offshoring of U.S. manufacturing to the rise of automation and scarcity economies like Argentina’s, the trio argues that chaos can spark renewal, and AI’s true promise may lie in that creative tension between collapse and reinvention.
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2 months ago
1 hour 10 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #61: Powering the Machine: Altman, Milei, and the Energy Behind AI’s Future

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III talks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, about Sam Altman’s $25 billion plan to build OpenAI data centers in Patagonia and how it connects to a broader U.S.–Argentina currency swap and the shifting landscape of AI geopolitics. Together, they unpack what this means for energy demand, chip supply, and U.S. influence abroad, drawing parallels to past tech overbuilds like the 1990s dark fiber boom. The conversation moves from the logistics of powering massive AI infrastructure to the rise of robotics and “physical AI,” including Stewart II’s hands-on look at the Unitree robot and his investment in Chef Robotics. For listeners interested in deeper coverage of these stories, check out Stewart Alsop III’s AI Whispers report mentioned in the show.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 – Stewart Alsop III opens with news of Sam Altman’s $25B OpenAI data center plan in Patagonia, tied to a U.S.–Argentina $20B currency swap and Trump’s backing of Milei.
05:00 – They unpack Argentina’s political turmoil, corruption scandals, and the U.S. effort to counter China’s influence over lithium and rare earths.
10:00 – Discussion turns to AI infrastructure logistics, how data centers need massive power, and Altman’s ties to U.S. energy interests, including solar, nuclear, and SMR reactors.
15:00 – Stewart II compares this boom to the 1990s dark fiber overbuild, warning of overcapacity and shifting ownership in infrastructure cycles.
20:00 – They analyze OpenAI’s 800M users, inference costs, and Sora’s energy demand, considering how infrastructure strain shapes AI access.
25:00 – The talk shifts to Unitree robots, physical AI, and Stewart II’s investment in Chef Robotics, linking automation to industrial change.
30:00 – Closing with reflections on distributed systems, uptime, Google’s architecture, and the evolution from AltaVista to TikTok as symbols of scalable intelligence.

Key Insights

  1. AI expansion is reshaping geopolitics. Stewart Alsop III and Stewart Alsop II frame Sam Altman’s $25 billion OpenAI data center project in Patagonia as more than a business move—it’s a geopolitical play. By pairing it with a U.S.–Argentina $20 billion currency swap, the initiative strengthens U.S. influence in South America while countering China’s earlier economic foothold through currency deals and lithium investments.
  2. Energy is the new frontier for AI infrastructure. The conversation underscores that AI growth isn’t limited by hardware alone but by power. Data centers require enormous, stable energy supplies, and Altman’s reported interest in solar, battery storage, and small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) reflects how energy independence has become central to national AI strategies.
  3. Overbuilding echoes the dot-com era. Stewart II draws parallels to the 1990s dark fiber boom, when telecom firms massively overbuilt capacity that sat unused for years. The hosts suggest today’s $400-billion-plus data center race—by OpenAI, Microsoft, Oracle, and others—may follow a similar arc, where hype precedes utility and ownership eventually shifts to new players.
  4. Chip scarcity defines the AI arms race. They emphasize how Nvidia’s limited GPU supply and OpenAI’s deal with AMD to secure more chips illustrate the bottlenecks in AI scalability. Control over advanced semiconductors now carries the same strategic weight as oil once did.
  5. Inference cost and access inequality. With OpenAI serving roughly 800 million users but only 20 million paid, the discussion highlights how computational costs shape user experience. Free users get constrained performance because inference—running models at scale—consumes vast, expensive compute power.
  6. Physical AI remains in its infancy. Stewart II’s firsthand experience with the Unitree robot shows how humanoid robotics are still more experimental than autonomous. Yet, his investment in Chef Robotics signals that real commercial progress is happening in less glamorous, industrial automation.
  7. Distributed systems are the hidden backbone of AI. The pair close by tracing the lineage from Google’s early distributed architecture to today’s global platforms like TikTok and Instagram. These systems represent decades of evolution toward high-availability computing—proof that scaling intelligence depends as much on resilient infrastructure as on smarter models.
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2 months ago
47 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #60: Manufacturing Intelligence: A Conversation on Apple, TSMC, and China’s Playbook

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a rich, cross-generational conversation about China’s technological ambitions and the shifting balance of global power in semiconductors, AI, and manufacturing. Together, they unpack how China achieved seven-nanometer chips without EUV, the dominance of TSMC and its partnership with Apple, the rise of Nvidia and the GPU revolution, and how decades of offshoring reshaped the U.S. industrial landscape. The conversation weaves through topics like robotics, ARM architecture, battery innovation, and the intertwined futures of hardware and software, offering a blend of history, strategy, and insight from two distinct perspectives shaped by time and technology.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart III opens with China’s semiconductor advances—7 nm chips without EUV—and its strategy to dominate manufacturing and robotics.
05:00 Stewart II explains TSMC’s two-nanometer lead, Apple’s tight partnership, and how GPUs differ from CPUs in AI.
10:00 The pair explore China’s robotics boom, humanoid robots, and demographic pressures alongside open-source AI and industrial scaling.
15:00 They shift to China’s political economy—local subsidies, Xi Jinping’s control, and the fragile balance of power in global manufacturing.
20:00 A deep dive into GPUs, TPUs, and ARM architecture; why Nvidia dominates and Intel missed the AI transition.
25:00 The conversation turns to TSMC’s origins, unions, and the offshoring of U.S. manufacturing.
30:00 They connect rare earths, EVs, and battery innovation to China’s industrial ecosystem.
35:00 Discussion of Ion Storage Systems and solid-state battery breakthroughs.
40:00 Reflections on TSMC’s fabs, Taiwan’s rise, and Stewart II’s early coverage of semiconductors.
45:00 They close with Raspberry Pi, embedded systems, and how hardware and software co-evolve.

Key Insights

  1. China’s Strategic Technological Ascent – The episode opens with Stewart Alsop III outlining China’s rapid progress in semiconductors and robotics, noting its ability to manufacture seven-nanometer chips without EUV lithography. Stewart Alsop II contextualizes this as impressive but technologically behind TSMC’s two-nanometer standard. Together, they frame China’s innovation strategy as one built on scaling, reverse-engineering, and mastering production at the intersection of AI, automation, and manufacturing.
  2. TSMC and Apple as the Core of the Semiconductor Ecosystem – Stewart II explains how Apple’s deep partnership with TSMC created an unbreakable bond between U.S. innovation and Taiwan’s fabrication prowess. TSMC’s role as the world’s premier chipmaker places it at the center of global supply chains and geopolitical tension. China’s SMIC, by contrast, lags in both process sophistication and accumulated expertise.
  3. The GPU Revolution and Nvidia’s Moat – The Alsops trace how GPUs evolved from graphics engines to AI accelerators. Stewart II describes how Nvidia’s architectural foresight—optimizing GPUs for parallel data processing—made it indispensable for AI model training. Nvidia’s dominance stems not from revenue but from its early, irreplicable integration of software and silicon.
  4. The Decline of Intel and the Shifting Silicon Hierarchy – Once synonymous with computing power, Intel failed to transition beyond CPUs into mobile or AI hardware. Stewart II recalls its early arrogance and missed opportunities, contrasting it with the rise of ARM architecture and specialized chips like Google’s TPUs and Amazon’s custom processors.
  5. Global Manufacturing and the Legacy of Offshoring – The discussion traces how unions, cost pressures, and the search for efficiency pushed U.S. companies to move production to Asia. TSMC’s rise and China’s manufacturing dominance were unintended outcomes of decades of U.S. corporate strategy. Trump’s reshoring rhetoric, they agree, reacts to this long-term structural shift rather than reversing it.
  6. China’s Localized Capitalism – Stewart II emphasizes that China’s industrial success depends not just on central planning but powerful local governments competing through subsidies. This decentralized competition creates both strength and instability, as overcapacity and internal price wars undermine growth.
  7. From Chips to Embedded Systems and Beyond – The episode ends on a generational hand-off: Stewart III’s fascination with Raspberry Pi and live coding meets Stewart II’s reflections on the layers of hardware, firmware, and software that defined his career. Their exchange becomes a metaphor for how technology knowledge evolves—stacked, like the chips themselves, from one era’s expertise to the next.
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2 months ago
51 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #59: When Information Became the New Empire

In this episode, Stewart Alsop III speaks with his father, Stewart Alsop II, about Hong Kong’s transformation since the 1997 handover and what it reveals about power, identity, and control in the information age. Together, they trace the shifting relationship between surveillance and sovereignty, explore how technology and data have become new instruments of hard power, and question what autonomy means in a world increasingly defined by networks and algorithms.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 The Alsops open with reflections on Hong Kong’s post-handover identity and what sovereignty means in an era of shifting global power.
05:00 They trace how information has become hard power, comparing today’s data empires to Cold War intelligence networks.
10:00 Discussion turns to the surveillance state, censorship, and how both China and the West weaponize transparency.
15:00 Stewart II recalls the Beltway Bandits and RAND Corporation days, linking them to the new tech-industrial complex.
20:00 The two explore AI alliances like OpenAI and Oracle, and the risks of corporate control over digital sovereignty.
25:00 A debate unfolds around decentralization and whether blockchain or open networks can resist central authority.
30:00 They consider how capitalism, governance, and propaganda intertwine in the information economy.
35:00 The episode closes with reflections on autonomy, freedom, and what it means to stay human amid algorithmic rule.

Key Insights

  1. Information has replaced territory as the new frontier of power. The Alsops argue that control over data, algorithms, and narrative now matters more than borders or armies. They frame Hong Kong’s post-handover story as a lens for understanding how information has become both a weapon and a resource, shaping global hierarchies through who owns, processes, and protects it.
  2. Sovereignty is increasingly digital. Where sovereignty once meant control of land and people, it now extends to networks and code. Stewart Alsop II recalls the Cold War’s geopolitical logic, while Stewart Alsop III contrasts it with today’s world where national power depends on cloud infrastructure, encryption standards, and data flows.
  3. Surveillance is a shared language of governance. Both East and West are seen as practicing versions of the surveillance state—China through social control, the U.S. through corporate data collection. The conversation suggests that privacy is not only eroding but being redefined as a privilege rather than a right.
  4. Technology companies have become the new Beltway Bandits. The elder Alsop connects his experience with RAND and Washington contractors to modern tech giants like Oracle and OpenAI. What used to be military-industrial has evolved into a tech-intelligence complex where innovation and influence are deeply entangled.
  5. Decentralization remains an unfulfilled promise. While blockchain and open networks are often hailed as tools of resistance, the Alsops note that true decentralization is rare; power tends to recentralize around those who control computation and capital.
  6. Identity and autonomy are being rewritten by algorithms. The father-son dialogue touches on how social media and AI reshape individual agency, subtly dictating what people see, believe, and desire. Autonomy, once a political ideal, has become a question of code design and data ownership.
  7. Freedom in the information age requires vigilance and balance. The episode ends on a reflective note: maintaining freedom is no longer just about political institutions but about the ethics of technology itself. The Alsops suggest that reclaiming human judgment—amid the noise of automation and surveillance—is the most important act of sovereignty left.
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2 months ago
45 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #58: Inventing Wonder: A Conversation with the Bushnells

In this episode, Stewart Alsop II, Stewart Alsop III, Brent Bushnell, and a brief appearance by Nolan Bushnell come together for a thoughtful exchange about the evolution of immersive entertainment, mixed reality, and playful learning. The conversation touches on creativity through technology, the merging of physical and digital worlds, and the Bushnell family’s legacy of innovation across art, engineering, and entrepreneurship.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 – Stewart Alsop II and Stewart Alsop III open the conversation with Brent Bushnell, setting the stage around creativity, play, and immersive experiences.
05:00 – Brent shares how 2 Bit Circus began as a playground for invention, merging art and engineering into hands-on storytelling.
10:00 – Discussion turns to Dream Park and the vision for mixed-reality spaces that blend digital wonder with real-world connection.
15:00 – The group reflects on the Bushnell legacy, with Nolan Bushnell briefly joining to speak about the spirit of curiosity and risk-taking in innovation.
20:00 – Brent and the Alsops explore democratization of fabrication and how accessible tools empower new creators.
25:00 – They consider education through play, where learning becomes experiential and technology acts as a creative partner.
30:00 – Closing thoughts emphasize community, imagination, and the future of interactive entertainment as a shared human experience.

Key Insights

  1. Play as a foundation for creativity – Brent Bushnell emphasizes that play isn’t just entertainment; it’s a vital pathway to discovery. He describes how curiosity-driven environments, like those at 2 Bit Circus, help people reconnect with the instinct to explore and experiment without fear of failure.
  2. Immersive entertainment as human connection – The conversation highlights how mixed-reality experiences can draw people closer together, blurring the lines between audience and performer. Brent sees this not as escapism but as a way to make interaction itself an art form.
  3. The merging of art and engineering – Brent and the Alsops reflect on how innovation flourishes where technical precision meets creative imagination. This intersection—what Brent calls the “maker mindset”—turns technology into a storytelling medium rather than a barrier to emotion.
  4. Legacy and learning from Nolan Bushnell – Nolan’s brief appearance reinforces the family’s tradition of bold experimentation. His reflections remind listeners that innovation requires both mischief and persistence, and that failure, properly embraced, becomes a teacher.
  5. Democratization of fabrication – Brent discusses how access to affordable tools and rapid prototyping empowers anyone to build something meaningful. This shift mirrors the open spirit of the early computing era, inviting more people into the act of creation.
  6. Education through experience – The group explores how learning can be transformed when it feels like play. Brent imagines classrooms where technology amplifies curiosity, blending entertainment and education to inspire lifelong engagement.
  7. The evolving nature of community spaces – The episode closes with a reflection on the social power of interactive venues. For Brent, the future of entertainment lies in shared, tangible experiences that remind people that innovation, at its best, is a collective act of wonder.
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3 months ago
51 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #57: Silicon, Sovereignty, and Speculation: The Stakes of AI’s Next Phase

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation that moves from OpenAI’s massive semiconductor and Oracle deals, to the nature of money and the gold standard, to shifting dynamics in U.S.–China relations and modern warfare technologies like drones and cyber tools. They also trace the history of networking and video games—from LAN parties and Atari with Nolan Bushnell to immersive experiences like 2-Bit Circus and Meow Wolf—before circling back to how AI and robotics are beginning to reshape both business and reality itself.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 OpenAI’s $10B Broadcom inference chips deal and the $60B Oracle agreement raise questions about money, stock surges, and financial credibility.
05:00 The concept of “funny money,” Oracle’s cash reserves, quantitative easing, and the gold standard highlight how value and trust shape economies.
10:00 Gold, fiat currency, and banks like JP Morgan tie into larger concerns about trust in institutions, from Epstein to government credibility.
15:00 U.S.–China relations surface with Xi Jinping’s control, economic fraying, and the rise of a new Cold War alongside military innovation.
20:00 Drones in Ukraine, Israel, and Iran show shifting warfare, leading to thoughts on biological weapons, genocide accusations, and changing battlefields.
25:00 Broadcom’s roots in networking, Ethernet, LAN parties, and the rise of the internet illustrate the path to SaaS and global connectivity.
30:00 Atari, Nolan Bushnell, Chuck E. Cheese, Nintendo, PlayStation, and Xbox frame the evolution of gaming from cartridges to immersive experiences.
35:00 Immersive worlds like Meow Wolf and 2-Bit Circus tie into the idea of reality disturbance and AI’s role in reshaping digital and physical life.
40:00 AI, multimodality, robotics, Unitree’s IPO, and China’s economic system show competition, monopolies, and involution spirals.
45:00 IPO regulations, Hong Kong’s role, Chinese subsidies, and shifting global markets close with the Great Firewall hack and surveillance systems.

Key Insights

  1. The episode opens with OpenAI’s massive semiconductor push, including a $10 billion deal with Broadcom for inference chips and a $60 billion agreement with Oracle. These announcements triggered huge stock surges but also raised skepticism about how much of the money is “real” versus headline figures designed to impress investors. The Stewarts frame this as a story about business credibility, financial imagination, and the blurred line between commitments and speculation.
  2. Money itself becomes a central theme. From quantitative easing in 2008 to the abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, the conversation highlights that all money is “made up,” a shared trust system that can inflate or collapse. This sparks questions about fiat currency, the role of gold as a store of value, and whether today’s trillion-dollar deals mirror earlier cycles of financial storytelling.
  3. The U.S.–China relationship emerges as a new Cold War. Xi Jinping’s centralized control has propelled China’s economic rise but now risks overregulation and excessive competition. Meanwhile, the U.S. response has been to fuel entrepreneurship in defense technologies, leading to a flood of startups chasing military funding. Both powers appear locked in a long-term contest, each capable of surviving independently while worrying about the other’s strengths.
  4. Modern warfare is shifting rapidly, with drones as a central tool. Ukraine’s drone strikes on Russian bombers, Israel’s targeted operations inside Iran, and debates over biological warfare illustrate how the battlefield now mixes precision targeting with the threat of indiscriminate devastation. This marks a move away from the older notion of “honor in war” and underscores the erosion of distinctions between combatants and civilians.
  5. Technology history provides perspective, from Broadcom’s early role in networking and LAN parties to the rise of the internet and SaaS. These stepping stones enabled today’s hyperconnected world and help explain how companies like Broadcom can resurface as key players in the AI era.
  6. The evolution of gaming is traced through Atari, Nolan Bushnell, and Chuck E. Cheese, through Nintendo, PlayStation, and Xbox, and into mobile gaming with Zynga. Consoles once defined the industry, but immersive experiences like Meow Wolf and 2-Bit Circus now show how games blur into physical, communal, and artistic environments.
  7. Finally, the episode circles back to AI as a force of “reality disturbance.” Large language models are becoming multimodal, robots are gaining touch and sensory capabilities, and companies like Unitree Robotics show China’s intense push into automation. The Stewarts note the risk of involutionary spirals—too much competition cannibalizing itself—but also see AI as an inevitable layer that every business must integrate, whether as infrastructure, interface, or imagination.
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3 months ago
59 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #56: The Internet’s Business Model Is Cracking..What Comes Next?

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to talk about Cloudflare, its role as the “network administrator” of the internet, and how its business model connects to the larger shifts happening with AI, content, and regulation. The conversation moves through Cloudflare’s core services—CDN, DDoS protection, DNS, zero trust security, and more—before branching into AI’s impact on the open web, lawsuits over training data, Anthropic’s billion-dollar book settlement, and Google’s changing monopoly status. Along the way, they compare today’s uncertainty around AI to the early commercialization of the internet in the 1990s, touch on Al Gore’s “information superhighway,” the rise of special-interest magazines, and how advertising once worked as content.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 Stewart Alsop introduces Cloudflare and Stratechery, with Stewart Alsop II framing the idea of network administrators versus database administrators.
05:00 Discussion turns to Cloudflare’s distributed network, AI crawlers paying to scrape, and parallels with Apple’s App Store tolls.
10:00 Cloudflare’s core functions are outlined: CDN, DDoS protection, web application firewall, DNS, zero trust security, SSL/TLS, and load balancing.
15:00 The focus shifts to Perplexity, AI scraping practices, lawsuits against OpenAI, and Anthropic’s $3,000 per book settlement.
20:00 Google’s monopoly case, PageRank, and whether AI chat is true competition for search come into question.
25:00 They recall the 1990s internet commercialization, ARPANET roots, TCP/IP, and Al Gore’s role in the “information superhighway.”
30:00 The talk explores niche magazines, ads as content, early internet communities, and conferences as proto-networks.
35:00 Spam is compared to door-to-door sales and Tupperware parties, showing how unwanted commercial attention evolves.
40:00 Science fiction predictions like Dick Tracy’s watch, real-time translation, and the future of the internet’s business model.
45:00 The episode closes with reflections on space exploration, SpaceX, Starship, and how the internet may face its own existential shift.

Key Insights

  1. A central theme of the conversation is Cloudflare’s positioning as the “network administrator” of the internet, contrasting with the role of “database administrators.” Stewart Alsop II highlights how this mindset—focusing on distributed connectivity rather than centralized data—has shaped Cloudflare’s growth into a foundational layer of the web, handling massive portions of global traffic and AI queries.
  2. Cloudflare’s business model is rooted in offering free protection and performance services, including CDN, DDoS mitigation, DNS, web application firewalls, and zero trust security. Over time, this freemium model has scaled into large enterprise contracts, echoing how companies like GitHub monetize advanced features while keeping entry-level services widely accessible.
  3. The discussion emphasizes Cloudflare’s novel approach to AI crawlers: charging for access to content instead of allowing free scraping. This mirrors Apple’s App Store toll model, raising questions about whether such control could eventually be seen as monopolistic if Cloudflare becomes the default gateway for AI training data.
  4. Broader AI tensions surface in the critique of Perplexity’s scraping methods and in the legal battles over copyrighted content. Anthropic’s billion-dollar settlement to compensate authors shows how companies are willing to spend heavily to avoid legal precedents that might restrict data access, signaling how unsettled the rules of AI training remain.
  5. Google’s position is examined in light of DOJ scrutiny and the shifting competitive landscape. The conversation contrasts search’s reliance on PageRank and links with AI chat’s direct answers, suggesting that Google’s architecture is optimized for one model of information retrieval while AI points toward another, potentially disruptive future.
  6. Historical parallels add depth: the commercialization of the internet in the 1990s, Al Gore’s support of the “information superhighway,” and the role of niche magazines and ads-as-content. These examples highlight how new communication technologies have always disrupted business models, with AI and the internet facing a similar inflection point now.
  7. The episode closes by looking forward, drawing on science fiction’s role in shaping expectations—from Dick Tracy’s smartwatch to real-time language translation. Yet unlike sci-fi’s optimistic visions, the internet’s future feels uncertain, with questions around monetization, spam, trust, and even the existential sustainability of the current web business model.
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3 months ago
43 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #55: From Justin.tv to Claude Hacks: Lessons in Tech, Money, and Security

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III sits down with Stewart Alsop II to explore the financial and technical foundations shaping today’s AI and cloud economy, from the staggering scale of CapEx and depreciation schedules to the sustainability of investments by Microsoft, Meta, OpenAI, and Anthropic. The conversation traces historical precedents like the fiber boom, Google’s rise, and the pivot from Justin.tv to Twitch, leading into a discussion of venture capital shifts, IPO trends, and the enduring importance of the “rule of 40.” They also examine Cloudflare’s emerging role in the open internet economy, the rise of agents and Amazon’s use of reinforcement learning gems, and pressing security challenges around AI scraping, ITAR data, and national infrastructure.

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Timestamps

00:05 Stewart Alsop introduces the theme of CapEx and depreciation, setting the stage with numbers on massive 2025 infrastructure spending.
00:10 Stewart Alsop II explains depreciation schedules, cash vs GAAP accounting, and how fast AI infrastructure like Nvidia chips and server farms lose value.
00:15 The discussion shifts to Microsoft’s Azure strategy, OpenAI’s spending, and comparisons to the 1999 fiber boom where dark fiber overbuilds reshaped the internet.
00:20 Meta’s dual front in VR/AR and AI is questioned for sustainability, as acquisitions and billion-dollar hiring sprees raise risks.
00:25 Historical precedents emerge: Google’s speed in search, Facebook’s real-time newsfeed infrastructure, and the rise of Twitch from Justin TV through Emmett Shear’s pivot.
00:30 Venture capital lessons are highlighted, from early struggles to explosive growth, with reflections on Series A–C shifts, ZIRP, growth equity vs private equity, and the rule of 40.
00:35 Tesla vs Rivian valuations anchor a risk discussion, then focus moves to Cloudflare, intermediaries, AI web crawling, and pay-by-crawl monetization.
00:40 The episode closes with agents, RLGems, universal verifiers, Amazon and Apple’s data advantages, security concerns with ITAR breaches, and the future of an open internet.

Key Insights

1. Depreciation shapes the economics of AI infrastructure.
Stewart Alsop II explains how massive CapEx spending—such as $392 billion in 2025—must be matched against depreciation schedules, which spread the cost of assets like Nvidia chips and server farms over years. The challenge is that AI hardware becomes obsolete much faster than traditional assets, making the schedule a judgment call that influences sustainability.

2. Microsoft’s position differs from AI-first labs.
Unlike OpenAI or Anthropic, Microsoft already had Azure and enterprise infrastructure in place, so their incremental AI spending built on existing investments. This makes their approach more sustainable and less risky than startups burning cash to compete.

3. Meta faces a “two-front war.”
Meta’s massive CapEx is split between VR/AR hardware bets and AI infrastructure, stretching resources and raising questions about whether its cash flows from social media can continue to fund both without weakening the core business.

4. Historical precedents highlight today’s risks.
The fiber boom of the late 1990s, Google’s breakthrough with fast search, and the pivot from Justin.tv to Twitch show how infrastructure-heavy investments can collapse or succeed depending on timing, user demand, and business model clarity.

5. Venture capital dynamics have shifted.
Seed rounds remain risky and contrarian, but later rounds resemble private equity with safer bets and higher valuations. The “rule of 40” has become a standard measure for balancing growth and profitability when evaluating public companies.

6. Cloudflare positions itself as a gatekeeper.
With 80% of AI companies crawling the web through its network, Cloudflare’s pay-by-crawl model could redefine how publishers monetize access to their content, creating a new intermediary in the AI-driven internet economy.

7. Agents and security are the next frontier.
Amazon’s RLGems and universal verifiers illustrate the push to give AI agents personalization and autonomy, but this shift also heightens security risks. Breaches like ITAR data leaks underscore that the AI-driven world may be even more insecure than today’s internet.

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3 months ago
57 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #54: Preference Stacks, Power Games, and the Future of War

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop III and Stewart Alsop II explore the mechanics of the preference stack in venture investing, the difference between economic and voting rights, why Delaware dominates incorporation, and how governance plays out through independent directors and board structures. The conversation ranges from startup financing and information asymmetry to the U.S. government’s new equity stake in Intel under the CHIPS Act, the precedent of the GM bailout, and the Defense Department’s secure enclave program. They trace the lineage from ARPA to DARPA, contrast research versus development, and examine how primes lost ground to companies like Anduril and Palantir, whose virtual border security and autonomous systems reflect lessons from Ukraine’s battlefield innovation. The discussion closes on how AI and autonomy may reshape great power competition with China and Russia.

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Timestamps

00:00 Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II open by contrasting hype with durable principles in venture capital, setting up the idea of the preference stack.
05:00 They define preferences, economic rights versus voting rights, and why most startups incorporate in Delaware with bylaws shaping governance.
10:00 The discussion shifts to information asymmetry, insider trading, and Trump’s move for the government to buy 10% of Intel, raising questions of nationalization.
15:00 They trace precedents from the GM bailout, explain the CHIPS Act grants, Intel’s secure enclave program, and rumors of chip vulnerabilities.
20:00 Apple’s security updates, government use of secure devices, and Ukraine’s use of fiber-tethered drones illustrate the link between defense innovation and autonomy.
25:00 They revisit ARPA to DARPA, the role of Xerox PARC and IBM in research versus development, and how primes consolidated into a few big contractors.
30:00 Startups like Anduril and Palantir, backed by Peter Thiel, rise as Ukraine’s war shows drones and autonomy challenging exquisite systems.
35:00 The talk broadens to Trump’s personal investments, bonds, and using office for gain, before returning to global conflict and proxy wars.
40:00 Great power competition with China frames the future of war; AI, autonomous vehicles, and virtual border security become central to command and control.
45:00 They close with Anduril’s early contracts in virtual border security, international sales, and how AI shifts defense and governance models.

Key Insights

  1. The preference stack is central to understanding venture finance. Each new funding round can create senior preferences that give later investors priority in recovering their money. Founders often underestimate how these layers accumulate, and by the time a company reaches Series C or beyond, preferences can make exit outcomes far more favorable to investors than to the team.
  2. Economic rights and voting rights are distinct, and this split shapes governance. Economic rights determine who gets paid and in what order, while voting rights determine who directs the company. Most governance authority sits with the board, where independent directors and a lead independent director (LID) are intended to balance management and shareholder interests.
  3. Incorporation choices matter. Delaware dominates because of its business courts and clear governance rules, protecting both investors and shareholders. Alternative states like Nevada and Texas are discussed, with Musk, Andreessen Horowitz, and Dropbox using them for different reasons. Still, Delaware remains the norm.
  4. The U.S. government’s equity stake in Intel marks a rare and significant move. Historically, the government avoided ownership, except during crises like the GM bailout. By converting CHIPS Act grants into a 9.9% equity position, the government now acts as an investor, though without direct governance rights, setting a new precedent for public-private industrial policy.
  5. Secure enclaves and vulnerabilities highlight the tension between privacy, national security, and trust in hardware. While conspiracy theories about universal back doors in CPUs are dismissed, the reality of constant patching, Apple’s security posture, and defense demand for trusted systems show how critical secure chips are for both consumers and the military.
  6. The Ukraine war demonstrates that small, cheap, and rapidly iterated systems like drones can rival or even surpass expensive “exquisite systems” built by primes. Fiber-tethered drones and battlefield improvisation show how autonomy and adaptability redefine effectiveness in conflict.
  7. The future of defense innovation is shifting to startups like Anduril and Palantir, funded by venture capital, that apply AI and autonomy to military needs. From virtual border security to autonomous vehicles, these firms challenge primes and reshape how nations prepare for great power competition with China and Russia, where AI-driven command and control may prove decisive.
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4 months ago
44 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #53: Cycles of Scaling: How AI and Politics Break Systems

In this episode of Crazy Wisdom, I, Stewart Alsop III, talk with my father, Stewart Alsop II, about the surprising reception of ChatGPT, the role of AI as a modern chaos agent, and the ways disruptive forces echo both in technology and politics. Our conversation weaves through corporate rivalries, the scaling challenges that shape giants of industry, and the geopolitical pressures facing nations like Argentina and Brazil under the IMF. We also draw on history—from Rome and the Iroquois to the early internet and the Telecommunications Act—to explore cycles of rise and decline, before turning to the personal dimension of how we form emotional attachments to AI and the need for cognitive armor in adapting to new technology.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 The Alsops begin with the underwhelming reception of ChatGPT, noting how expectations clashed with everyday use.
00:05 They frame AI as a chaos agent, comparing its disruptive role to Trump in politics and how systems respond to disruption.
00:10 Corporate rivalries take center stage, exploring scaling challenges and the fragility of tech giants.
00:15 Attention shifts to Argentina, Brazil, and Iceland as examples of nations wrestling with IMF pressure and global finance.
00:20 They draw historical parallels to Rome and the Iroquois, examining federalism, cooperation, and inevitable cycles of decline.
00:25 The internet of the 1990s comes up, with the Telecommunications Act and Section 230 shaping today’s digital landscape.
00:30 The conversation turns personal, discussing emotional attachment to AI, the idea of cognitive armor, and the need for resilience in technology adoption.

Key Insights

  1. Stewart Alsop begins by pointing out how the arrival of ChatGPT was both overwhelming and underwhelming at the same time. People expected a science fiction breakthrough, but the reality was a tool that seemed limited until you really worked with it. That mismatch between expectation and practice is central to understanding how humans adapt to new technologies.
  2. A strong metaphor runs through the conversation: AI as a chaos agent, much like Trump in politics. Both disrupt predictable systems and expose fragility in the structures we rely on. Stewart emphasizes that chaos is not always destructive—it can be generative, forcing reorganization and adaptation in unexpected ways.
  3. When discussing corporate rivalries, the guest and Stewart trace how scaling is both the dream and the downfall of big companies. Success creates its own inertia, and this mirrors how technology itself often outpaces the organizations that try to contain it. The conversation highlights that size brings vulnerability as much as it brings power.
  4. Geopolitics is explored through Argentina, Iceland, Brazil, China, and Russia in relation to the IMF. These cases serve as reminders that nations, like companies, exist in webs of dependency and negotiation. Financial institutions can both stabilize and destabilize, much like algorithms can both structure and unsettle our digital lives.
  5. Stewart draws historical parallels to Rome and the Iroquois, noting that both federal systems and empires rise through cooperation but eventually strain under the weight of their own success. The insight is that cycles of rise and decline are built into human organization, no matter how advanced the tools or governance.
  6. The internet of the 1990s surfaces as a key precedent, where the Telecommunications Act and Section 230 created the framework for today’s platforms. This legislative scaffolding made the early internet a chaotic but fertile ground, and Stewart suggests AI is at a similar moment of possibility and risk.
  7. The discussion closes on the deeply personal dimension of technology, with Stewart Alsop III and his father reflecting on the emotional pull of AI. They emphasize the idea of “cognitive armor” as a way to protect ourselves from over-identifying with machines, recognizing that while AI mirrors human thought, it does not replace human judgment. For them, the challenge of technology adoption lies not just in mastering the tool, but in learning how to remain grounded and human while living alongside it.
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4 months ago
54 minutes

Stewart Squared
Episode #52: The Illusion of Choice in Big Tech

In this episode of Stewart Squared, Stewart Alsop sits down with his father, Stewart Alsop II, for a wide-ranging conversation on the frustrations of modern UI/UX, Microsoft’s struggles with spam and AI adoption, Google’s approach to knowledge management, and the broader lessons of technological hype cycles from fiber optics to GPT-5. Together they explore how big companies evolve from serving programmers to serving enterprises, touch on the role of regulatory capture in shaping user experiences, and recall stories of early email, Hotmail, AOL, and long-distance calls in the 1960s. Along the way, they connect today’s debates on monopolies, Bitcoin, and satellite internet with personal anecdotes from their family history and reporting trips to Moscow.

Check out this GPT we trained on the conversation

Timestamps

00:00 UI/UX frustration, Microsoft spam vs Gmail; scam email triggers rant on filtering and usability.
05:00 Admin controls, external IT friction; Google Drive knowledge management and closed-by-default files.
10:00 Bitter lesson, compute at scale; GPT-5 hype, model consolidation, tokens and cost signals.
15:00 Consumer UI simplicity vs programmer leverage; Bitcoin early-adopter edge; Coinbase code alerts.
20:00 Regulatory capture thesis—Microsoft, Coinbase, Palantir; too big to fail, users sidelined, startup opening.
25:00 Monopoly talk: Netflix, Apple App Store; success metrics and venture-scale outcomes.
30:00 Microsoft arc: programmers → enterprise; MS Basic, MS-DOS/Seattle DOS, IBM; latency woes on the call.
35:00 Starlink Mini portability, power limits; satellite iPhone messaging; T-Mobile, Globalstar arrangements.
40:00 Email history: AOL, CompuServe, Hotmail/Yahoo; Gmail scale; Outlook/Office 365 vs Edge/Safari.
45:00 NEA standardizing on Windows, regrets; Riverside recording hiccups; early Gmail usernames, scale effects.
50:00 1963 operator calls, injury story; Moscow reporting trips; Khrushchev–Nixon Kitchen Debate context.

Key Insights

  1. Stewart Alsop and Stewart Alsop II opened with frustrations around UI/UX and how even industry leaders like Microsoft fail to implement effective AI for basic tasks like spam filtering. Gmail adapts instantly to user feedback, while Microsoft’s Exchange requires convoluted admin settings, leaving everyday users powerless.
  2. Their discussion shifted to Google’s knowledge management problems, highlighting how file access defaults in Google Drive create needless barriers. Both observed that corporate bureaucracy shapes user experience more than technology itself, reflecting how large firms prioritize control over usability.
  3. The “bitter lesson” by Richard Sutton framed the conversation on AI. The Stewarts compared today’s trillion-dollar GPU investments to the fiber optic overbuilding of the 1990s—misguided methods that still laid crucial foundations. They questioned whether GPT-5’s consolidation into one model was a sign of efficiency or hype masking economic strain.
  4. A key theme was programmer leverage. They noted that programmers who mastered Bitcoin early became “post-economic,” while non-programmers remained locked out. This reinforced their point that tech often empowers a small, technically literate class while excluding ordinary users.
  5. They critiqued regulatory capture, suggesting Microsoft, Coinbase, and Palantir thrive not by delighting users but by embedding themselves with governments. Once companies become too big to fail, their true customers shift from individuals to institutions, and user needs fade from priority.
  6. The episode revisited Microsoft’s history, from buying Seattle DOS to serving programmers and then enterprises. They argued that companies inevitably drift away from their original users, though some, like Microsoft through its OpenAI partnership, manage to stay relevant despite this drift.
  7. Finally, they wove in communications history—from AOL and Hotmail to Gmail’s dominance, and even back to 1960s operator calls when family news was relayed across continents with constant dropped connections. These stories framed the present as just one phase in a longer evolution of technology mediating human connection.
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4 months ago
52 minutes

Stewart Squared
Stewart Alsop III reviews a broad range of topics with his father Stewart Alsop II, who started his career in the personal computer industry and is still actively involved in investing in startup technology companies. Stewart Alsop III is fascinated by what his father was doing as SAIII was growing up in the Golden Age of Silicon Valley. Topics include: - How the personal computing revolution led to the internet, which led to the mobile revolution - Now we are covering the future of the internet and computing - How AI ties the personal computer, the smartphone and the internet together