The podcast covers the ideas captured by Fooled By Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed Of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin In The Game and much of the work Nassim has dedicated time to outside of these books.
But this podcast is but a side quest...
The main show is 'A Curious Worldview Podcast' - link to the show here - https://open.spotify.com/show/61wcpA8fkOQCAGrOfHgkig - and the accompanying newsletter here: https://curiousworldview.beehiiv.com/subscribe
The podcast covers the ideas captured by Fooled By Randomness, The Black Swan, The Bed Of Procrustes, Antifragile, Skin In The Game and much of the work Nassim has dedicated time to outside of these books.
But this podcast is but a side quest...
The main show is 'A Curious Worldview Podcast' - link to the show here - https://open.spotify.com/show/61wcpA8fkOQCAGrOfHgkig - and the accompanying newsletter here: https://curiousworldview.beehiiv.com/subscribe
The Curious Worldview Podcast Spotify
The Curious Worldview Podcast Apple
✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
I am stoked to welcome back one of the most out there and interesting writers, thinkers and speakers, Rory Sutherland.
He founded the behavioural science team at the Ogilvy group, he is one of Europe’s most powerful advertising executives and author many many books and articles, his most recent book, Alchemy, coming highly recommended and is a treatise on how great marketing ideas are built around the profoundly irrational… Rory appeared once before on this podcast in episode 115.
And today, for his second appearance I was lucky enough to do this with Rory in person, I got the train out of London to Rory’s hometown and we settled up in the courtyard of a beautiful little cafe in the sun. And so, you get the ambience of birds and wind to frame the conversation.
There are no timestamps on this podcast today, because with Rory’s erudition there is unseen flow from one thought to another that makes a narrow subject timestamp non suitable, rather, consume this one in full, we open with Salman Rushdie and his days as a copywriter to Rory reflecting on his recent notoriety, a powerful insight that the best marketing is in fact fat tailed, behind the scenes of his Rick Rubin interview all the way to me asking Rory whether he’s ever done a floaty.
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...
Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter - the ultimate compliment to the podcast...
Other episode of the podcast that suit this episode...
Follow me on Instagram – @ryanfhogg
Everything Is Predictable – Tom Chivers
Tom Chivers is a prolific science writer whose written for Buzzfeed, The Telegraph, Unherd, published books, written for loads of other publications as well and now writes for Semafor’s daily flagship email (something I read everyday)… but here Tom is today to discuss his book about Bayes called… EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE: How Bayes’ Remarkable Theorem Explains the World and, the lead is not buried in this case, it is a book about Bayes Throerom which to put it simply… is an equation to calculate probability.
Now, my Talebian listeners will recognise a contradiction to our worldview in the title here… everything is predictable? how often has Taleb’s quotes, how can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based off a finite experience of the past appeared on this podcast? We get into Chivers differences with that Talebian worldview, but as well, there is top to bottom what is Bayes theorem, why does it matter, the role of this theorem at the foundation of all of these LLM’s and therefore much of AI. a neat little anecdote of Chivers family member, Sir John Maynard Keynes and plenty more as well!
Apple - Brian Klaas (Full Episode) Curious Worldview Podcast
Spotify - Brian Klaas (Full Episode) Curious Worldview Podcast
✍︎: The Curious Worldview Newsletter https://curiousworldview.beehiiv.com/subscribe
https://atlasgeographica.com/brian-klaas/
Brian Klaas is an associate professor in global politics at University College London, author of several books, host of a really good podcast, creator of a huge substack and someone who has created a life for himself for which I wish to emulate many parts…
We recorded this in person!… Brian and I sat down together in his Winchester kitchen and spoke about randomness, chance, Nassim Taleb, Flukes and why all these things are worth thinking about…
If you like Taleb, then Brian’s new book, Fluke which just came out… is right up your alley. Brian’s research is wonderful.
Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
The following is with the debut Italian on this podcast, the one and only Luca Dellanna.
Luca is the extremely successful author of 9 books, and he writes these alongside his day job, as an independent consultant advising businesses across the world at the intersection of risk and behavioural psychology
This makes him the best communicator of the subject of todays conversation, which funnily enough is the very same title of most recent book... Ergodicity.
Time Stamps For Luca Dellanna
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/russ-roberts/
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
Russ Roberts ladies and gentlemen.
One of the true OG’s of podcasting and in fact so OG, that Russ is one of the mediums earliest adopters, Russ has been at this racket for nearly 20 years now since he debuted EconTalk in 2006.
And although economics is literally in the title, the show expands well beyond the narrow domain of theoretical economics – it is much broader and has transformed over the years into one of the most authentic reflections of a hosts shifting curiosities.
And with guests the likes of Milton Friedman, Thomas Pikety, Christopher Hitchens, Michael Lewis and even the great and elusive Nassim Taleb, you can see why EconTalk is one of the most appraised shows out there.
Time Stamps For Russ Roberts
🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/the-incerto-nassim-taleb-podcast/
Taleb & Mandelbrot paper - https://users.math.yale.edu/~bbm3/web_pdfs/mildvswild.pdf
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
🎙️: A Curious Worldview Podcast - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/scott-patterson/
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
Scott Patterson writes for the WSJ and is author of The Quants, DarkPools and Chaos Kings.
Anyone who has listened to this podcast for a while will be familiar with how influential Nassim Taleb has been on shaping my worldview…
Just a few of the characters profiled in this book include Bill Ackman, who runs the famous Pershing Square hedge fund, and made one of the greatest trades in recorded history at the beginning of Covid, Nassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel who together have made billions via their unusual hedge fund, Universa and as well, Didier Sornet, a fascinatingly interesting french mathematician and academic who believes opposite to Taleb, that Black Swans can be predicted.
In this podcast with Scott Patterson, you can expect to hear about the core of the chaos kings worldview, a lot about Nassim Taleb, serendipity and as well anecdotes for days that give you a deep insight into Scott as both a journalist and author.
🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
Curious Things Mentioned During The Episode
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/the-incerto-nassim-taleb-podcast/
Sophie Gray recently published this profile - https://thespectator.com/topic/nassim-nicholas-taleb-anti-confidence-man-bitcoin-ftx/ - of Nassim Taleb in the spectator.
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/the-incerto-nassim-taleb-podcast/
Sophie Gray recently published this profile - https://thespectator.com/topic/nassim-nicholas-taleb-anti-confidence-man-bitcoin-ftx/ - of Nassim Taleb in the spectator.
Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/ryanfhogg/
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
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Sophie Gray recently published this profile - https://thespectator.com/topic/nassim-nicholas-taleb-anti-confidence-man-bitcoin-ftx/ - of Nassim Taleb in the spectator.
This podcast is about the process of interviewing Taleb and putting together this piece.
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
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🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/rory-sutherland/
🍻☕: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/ryanhogg
The following is a conversation with Rory Sutherland.
He founded the behavioural science team within the Ogilvy group and is one of Europe’s most powerful advertising executives.
00:00 – Introduction.
02:02 – How Nassim Taleb Has Influenced Rory Sutherland’s Worldview.
33:07 – C Elegans Worm Analogy & Covid.
42:27 – Banality In Social Media.
47:46 – What Is Taleb Like As A Bloke? + Interesting Questions About Social Engineering.
59:02 – System Design Complimenting Marketing & Advertising.
1:05:12 – Why It’s Important To Believe In Alchemy (Complexity) + Thinking About Nepotism.
1:15:19 – Signalling.
1:22:04 – Serendipity In Rory’s Life.
1:25:34 – Country Rory Sutherland Is Bullish On.
1:29:02 – Conversation Between Any Two People Of History.
1:31:39 – Afterthoughts & Ambitions For The Podcast.
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @ryannfhogg
A Curious Worldview Podcast (My Interview Podcast) - https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
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I was recently privileged with the task of presenting the work and key ideas of Nassim Taleb to The Miltton Consultancy Firm here in Stockholm. This podcast is a redacted version of the live talk + Q&A that was given.
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @ryannfhogg
🎙️: A Curious Worldview Podcast - Search, Subscribe 5-Stars! https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
✍️: https://atlasgeographica.com/michael-hilliard/
This was recorded at 1000 on the 26th of February.
Michael Hilliard is the host of what is both Australia’s best and my personal favourite geopolitical podcast. The Red Line.
Michael is a journalist reporting from countries including Iran, Russia, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan, and also has extensive experience operating throughout central Asia and former Soviet States. He works with sources from the White House to the Taliban and also serves on various committees and councils for the Australian Government.
In This Podcast, We Speak About…
Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe
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Episodes Of The Curious Worldview Podcast Similar To This!
Links To Michael Hilliard
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview
🎙️: https://atlasgeographica.com/vijay-vaitheeswaran/
Vijay Vaitheeswaran on why energy is at the heart of the Russian/Ukrainian flare-up.
Vijay Vaitheeswaran has led a life of journalism. He is the Global Climate & Energy Innovation Editor at the Economist, the man who opened the Economist’s first regional bureau in Latin America, The the Chairman of the Economist’s Innovation Summit, a multiple times author, and has served on the Economist’s editorial staff since 1992.
In this conversation, Vijay explains from the back to the front the multiple energy variables at play in the ongoing Ukraine/Russia standoff. It is an education in the moment and furthermore an interesting snapshot of Europe’s current geopolitical calculation.
In this podcast, you should expect to hear the following…
Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe
Feel Free To Peruse My 📷 Instagram & Twitter 🐦 Mates!
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - (this is the one I speak about at the end) https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
The difference between understanding the components of something versus how that same thing works can be everything.
It’s clearly not a universal rule. By understanding the components of a bike, and then how each component behaves with the other we can confidently claim to know how a bike works. I know that cycling the sturdy pedal will pull the chain that will then turn the wheels.
Everything else around that core functioning is just aesthetic or qualitative detail.
But by mapping out all the organic components of a human body, from organs to bones and everything in between – does our understanding of each component then inform to confidently assert how it all works? I am not sure.
Just because you can map out a system does not mean you understand how it behaves.
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/complexity-the-brain-of-the-c-elegans-worm/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
Regression towards the mean attempts to dampen our hyperbolic reaction to both outliers and those significant but rare exceptions.
A classic example of regression towards the mean is a very familiar one to my countrymen of Australia. How regression towards the mean applies to those who are ‘good‘ at pokies (slots, for my dear international reader).
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/regression-towards-the-mean/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/christian-busch-serendipity/
Life can be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards.
How can we predict a future of infinite possibilities based on a finite experience of the past?
Along the lines of Taleb's fooled by randomness metaphor - we all cross the busy street every day - and although some fools will occasionally make it to the other side, blindfolded to the world while others who meticulously path their way will still be wiped out - noticing the serendipity, noticing the infinite potential of divergent paths, at least this returns to you the liberty of control and hopefully, if your lucky, an exposure to serendipity that can change your life precisely the way you dreamt it would.
There is much to this podcast, in it, you can expect to learn about...
Jump In On My Newsletter 📋 🔑 - https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe
Feel Free To Peruse My 📷 Instagram & Twitter 🐦 Mates!
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00:00 - Introduction
06:10 - Distinction Between Randomness & Serendipity
10:30 - Hayek On Serendipity
18:00 - Great Anecdotes Of Serendipity From History
19:00 - The Opportunity Cost Of Always Optimising For Serendipity
26:05 - How Serendipity Is Understood Across Different Cultures
36:40 - On Cultivating Serendipity
41:10 - Introducing Nassim Taleb, The Birthday Paradox & Exponential Functions
50:22 - Optimising Serendipity For A Hypothetical Person
60:16 - Afterthoughts
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
Perhaps I am reaching beyond my grasp, but here is ergodicity simply explained.
In the most basic terms I can manage. An ergodic scenario, whose phenomenon extracted would then be explained as ergodicity – is when the average outcome of a group is the same as the average outcome of an individual, over time.
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/ergodicity-simply-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
99% of the things we do in our daily lives are based on the precautionary principle. Since many of the decisions we make, the risks (no matter how inconsequential) are typically not understood until after the decision has been made.
The precautionary principle is an instinctual survival mechanism that protects us from the ultimate risk. The risk of ruin. The risk of blowing up. The risk of death.
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/the-precautionary-principle-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos
Flagship Interview Podcast: 🎙️ A Curious Worldview https://curiousworldview.buzzsprout.com/1485736
The Minority Rule Explained - straight out of Skin in The Game. This is how an inflexible minority (4%) can overcome, overwhelm and overtake a flexible majority (96%)
Article Attached To This Podcast! - https://atlasgeographica.com/the-minority-rule-explained/
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Also my interview podcasts - 🎙️ A Curious Worldview - has had and will continue to have some of the most interesting voices in the world on to speak about whatever the extension of our mutual interests are at the time - https://atlasgeographica.com/a-curious-worldview/
My new Geopolitics & Power Podcast - Interesting tidbits from around the world documenting major geopolitical moves or projects you might have missed. Share this with one smart friend!
🎙️The Geopolitics & Power Podcast: https://geopoloticsandpowerpodcast.buzzsprout.com/
AND finally.... join thousands of over people and sign up to my monthly newsletter 'A Curious Worldview' https://atlasgeographica.com/subscribe/
NOW pump your juice into the algorithm and leave a review for this podcast! 5 stars and a comment would be magnificent :) Thanks for listening mate :)
Contact me 🐦 for feedback and also for recommendations on what future episodes should be! Twitter @faulkos