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The SPY Trader
Manoj Sharma
525 episodes
1 day ago
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Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
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All content for The SPY Trader is the property of Manoj Sharma and is served directly from their servers with no modification, redirects, or rehosting. The podcast is not affiliated with or endorsed by Podjoint in any way.
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Investing
Business,
News,
Business News
Episodes (20/525)
The SPY Trader
Tech Jitters and the Fed Divide: The 3Step Market Playbook
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1475. The market starts the year with cautious optimism, though momentum faces headwinds from Fed divisions on rate cuts and the upcoming CPI release. Recent sector performance shows former leaders Technology and Consumer Discretionary weakening due to 'AI bubble' fears, while Energy gains strength. Analysts favor Tech, Energy, and Defense for the year. Traders should maintain core growth (QQQ), introduce defense (XLV/AGG) against inflation risks, and capitalize on cyclical shifts like Energy (XLE).
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1 day ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Closing the Books: 2025’s Stellar Finish
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1474. The final session of 2025 saw modest profittaking after a stellar year where the Nasdaq climbed over 20%. We analyze the market consolidation, key movers like Nvidia and Tesla, and how the Fed's recent rate cuts set the stage for 2026.
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2 days ago
2 minutes

The SPY Trader
Fed Caution Sparks Sector Rotation
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1473. The market is pulling back slightly as Fed minutes dampen ratecut hopes, citing strong 4.3% GDP growth and inflation concerns. This shift is driving sector rotation out of highflying tech and into cyclicals like Energy and Financials. We recommend buying the dip in core tech (QQQ) for longterm exposure while strategically adding to XLE and XLF to capture value in the robust economy.
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3 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
AI Dominance: Trading the Wall of Worry at AllTime Highs
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1472. The S&P 500 closes 2025 near alltime highs, driven by spectacular AIled growth despite sticky inflation and geopolitical tensions. Learn the recommended latestage expansion strategy focusing on core market exposure, technology (XLK, Micron), and defensive hedges (GLD, VNQ, BND).
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4 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The 7,000 Rally and Your 2026 Playbook
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1471. The S&P 500 nears 7,000, powered by a spectacular year of Fed rate cuts and AI gains. We analyze the market's resilience against the 'Wall of Worry' and provide four core strategies for 2026: diversify away from megacaps, overweight defensive sectors like Healthcare, focus on quality tech, and add fixed income for stability.
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5 days ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Santa Rally Stalls: Tech vs. Cyclicals
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1470. As the year winds down, market volume is light, magnifying volatility and stalling the "Santa Rally." This episode outlines positioning for Q1 2026, recommending long exposure to strong technology ETFs (QQQ) with strict stoplosses due to thin trading. Conversely, shorting lagging cyclical sectors like energy (XLE) is suggested as a yearend hedge against broad market swings and institutional rebalancing pressure.
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6 days ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
AI Euphoria and the Commodity Breakout
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1469. The market ended the holidayshortened week strongly, confirming a 'soft landing' narrative backed by robust 4.3% GDP growth and cooling 2.7% inflation. The Santa Claus Rally pushed indices to new highs, driven primarily by a massive 5.0% surge in Information Technology (XLK) fueled by AI euphoria (Nvidia). The market structure is 'riskon,' with growth names expected to lead. Additionally, materials and precious metals, especially silver, saw a significant breakout, suggesting tactical hedges against potential future dollar weakness. Investors are advised to maintain core tech exposure (QQQ/XLK) and consider adding commodities (GLD) for diversification.
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1 week ago
5 minutes

The SPY Trader
AI, Record Highs, and the Smart Money Rotation
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1468. The Santa Claus Rally is in full swing as the S&P 500 and Dow hit record highs, fueled primarily by intense enthusiasm for AI infrastructure and semiconductor stocks like Micron. We analyze the strong 4.3% GDP growth that is tempering Fed rate cut hopes, alongside the fivemonth streak of falling consumer confidence. Discover the sectors leading the charge—Technology, Health Care, and Communication Services—and learn our threepronged strategy for trading this historic rally: maintaining broad exposure (VOO), targeting growth leaders (QQQ/NVDA), and chasing rotation into upgraded sectors (XLV). We also discuss portfolio stability with gold and bonds.
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Goldilocks Rally: New Records and AI Dominance
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1467. The S&P 500 and Dow hit alltime highs driven by a robust 'Goldilocks' economy, featuring 4.3% GDP growth and cooled 2.7% CPI inflation. The AI Supercycle remains the primary engine, with Technology (XLK) leading gains, though the rally is broadening into Industrials (XLI). We discuss the surge in precious metals, signaling risk concerns, and provide trade recommendations focused on core growth (QQQ, NVDA) and cyclical exposure (XLI), balanced with hedges like Gold (GLD) and Bonds (BND).
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1 week ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
AI and Wegovy Power Record Christmas Eve Rally
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1466. The market heads into Christmas Eve on a strong foursession winning streak, hitting fresh record highs driven by the 'Goldilocks' combination of robust growth and cooling inflation expectations. Tech remains the primary leader, fueled by AI stocks like NVIDIA and significant news like Novo Nordisk's Wegovy approval. We analyze the sticky inflation data and upward GDP revision (4.3%) and discuss how to position portfolios using XLK for tactical growth and BND for hedging potential 2026 Fed easing.
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1 week ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
Soft Landing Locked In: Rate Cuts Power the Holiday Rally
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1465. The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, cementing the soft landing outlook and driving extreme market optimism ahead of the holiday week. The S&P 500 is nearing an alltime high, fueled by continued AI strength (Micron, Nvidia) and a key rotation into cyclical sectors like Financials and Industrials. This episode details specific trades to capture both core growth (QQQ, MU) and the broadening rally (XLF, XLI).
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1 week ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The Goldilocks Rally: Tech Surge and the Unemployment Warning
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1464. The market is reaching new highs driven by the Santa Claus Rally, strong AI momentum in tech giants like NVIDIA and Micron, and three interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, creating a Goldilocks scenario. We recommend maintaining AI exposure, rotating into ratesensitive real estate (REITs), and adding defensive positions like Consumer Staples due to rising unemployment (4.6%).
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1 week ago
5 minutes

The SPY Trader
Santa’s Rally: Trading the Shortened Holiday Week
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1463. The episode discusses the outlook for the final, holidayshortened trading week of the year, focusing on the potential for a 'Santa Claus Rally.' A moderate to mildly bullish outlook is driven by a 'Goldilocks' environment, created by the Fed's third rate cut and coolerthanexpected inflation data (2.7%). Key risks include a longterm 'sell signal' triggered by Bank of America's Bull and Bear Indicator. The trading week is backloaded with critical data on Tuesday, including Q3 GDP and Consumer Confidence. The recommended strategy is mildly bullish, maintaining exposure to the broad market (VOO) and tech momentum (QQQ), while adding tactical buys in Industrials (XLI) and maintaining a small gold hedge (GLD) against lowvolume volatility.
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1 week ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
Inflation Eases, Tech Soars
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1462. The market staged a powerful latesession reversal, driven primarily by the November CPI report showing core inflation easing to 2.6%, fueling hopes for future Fed rate cuts. This dovish outlook spurred a narrow, riskon rally concentrated in Technology, led by strong earnings from Micron, though companyspecific risks were evident as Nike projected a sales decline.
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2 weeks ago
3 minutes

The SPY Trader
Goldilocks Market: The Tech Trade Reignites
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1461. Indices snap losing streak as CPI softens, fueling 2026 rate cut hopes. We analyze the massive AI surge led by Micron, the danger of the 40 Shiller P/E, and tactical trades in QQQ, SCHD, and TLT.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Market on a Knife’s Edge: Tech Sells Off, Defensives Rally
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1460. The S&P 500 hits a threeweek low as tech stocks plunge, led by Oracle financing fears, triggering a violent sector rotation out of growth and into value and defense. We break down the Nasdaq's rout, why Eli Lilly and Energy stocks rallied, and how investors should hedge risk and position portfolios defensively ahead of today’s crucial CPI report. Plus, tactical advice for buying the dip in AI infrastructure plays.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Oil Crushed, Tesla Soars: The Stagflation Lite Warning
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1459. The market is grappling with high volatility and mixed economic signals. While Tesla surged on AI growth news, the Energy sector was crushed as crude oil dropped to multiyear lows. We break down the complex macro picture, including the Fed's third rate cut, unexpected cooling in the labor market (4.6% unemployment), and lingering sticky inflation, raising concerns about 'stagflation lite.' We also discuss painful corporate pivots like Ford cutting EV production. Finally, we provide tactical advice for diversification, recommending core ETFs (VOO, VTI), fixed income (AGG, TLT), and rotational plays into Financials and Health Care while remaining cautious on Energy.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
The Great Rotation: Moving Beyond Big Tech
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1458. The market is experiencing a significant rotation, shifting leadership away from the 'Magnificent Seven' megacap tech stocks toward smallcap and cyclical sectors like Financials and Industrials. As AI stocks face margin pressure and the Fed signals potential rate cuts, this episode outlines a tactical playbook: broaden exposure (VTI), overweight cyclicals (XLI, XLF), and hedge volatility with defensive fixed income (AGG, BND).
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2 weeks ago
5 minutes

The SPY Trader
Tech Pain, Fed Gain: Navigating the Market Rotation
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1457. US stocks face a massive capital rotation driven by a deep shakeout in highvaluation tech and a dovish Fed signaling more rate cuts. We analyze why weak labor data is bullish and provide trades to pivot into small caps, financials, defensive stocks, and longduration bonds to capitalize on falling rates.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader
Rate Cut Reality Check: Inflation and the Rotation Trade
Fresh news and strategies for traders. SPY Trader episode #1456. The market continues its aggressive rotation from Growth to Value and Cyclicals following the Federal Reserve's dovish rate cut. However, the week ahead presents high volatility with critical economic releases, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales, and the pivotal CPI report, which will determine if the rally continues. Analysts recommend prioritizing Value sectors like Financials and Industrials (XLI, IVE) while hedging against inflation risk by reducing exposure to highvaluation Technology stocks (QQQ) ahead of the CPI data.
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes

The SPY Trader