What's Next For Markets

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What's Next For Markets

Michael Kantrowitz

50 episodes

1 week ago

In this discussion, we are joined by Jordy Visser to delve into how exponential innovation, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), is reshaping traditional business cycles. The conversation covers the potential of AI to drive earnings, enhance productivity, and impact labor markets, suggesting that the forthcoming PMI cycle could be one of the most significant in decades. We explore why AI isn't merely a bubble and its role in the evolving market dynamics. Additionally, the discussion tou...

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In this discussion, we are joined by Jordy Visser to delve into how exponential innovation, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), is reshaping traditional business cycles. The conversation covers the potential of AI to drive earnings, enhance productivity, and impact labor markets, suggesting that the forthcoming PMI cycle could be one of the most significant in decades. We explore why AI isn't merely a bubble and its role in the evolving market dynamics. Additionally, the discussion tou...

Show more...

Episodes (20/50)

What's Next For Markets

The Year-End Setup: Trade Opportunities with Danny Kirsch

In this episode, we’re joined by Danny Kirsch, Head of Options Strategy and the Trading Team at Piper Sandler. We recap the year’s market activity, discuss notable trading strategies, and look ahead to year-end and early-2025 positioning. Topics include key market catalysts, a standout options trade involving retail and the financial sector as optimistic bets for next year, and the potential impact of Fed rate cuts. We also cover shifting sentiment around AI and big tech, the influence of upc...

6 days ago

22 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Thankful for H.O.P.E.

In this episode, we discuss the market outlook and the economic cycle through Michael’s HOPE framework. We outline the four pillars—Housing, Orders, Profits, and Employment—and examine current themes, including an “E-shaped” economy. The conversation explores leading indicators that may signal improvement in 2026, trends in the housing market, and the broader impact of employment dynamics on growth. Michael remains optimistic about a gradual economic recovery and a steady improvement across k...

1 week ago

25 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Bitcoin, Beta & Breadth

In this episode, we recap our recent travels across Europe and the U.S., highlighting what we heard from clients and how market sentiment is shifting on both sides of the Atlantic. We break down the evolving investor outlook—especially growing concerns around interest rates, wage pressures, and unemployment trends. We also explore Bitcoin’s position as a high-beta asset increasingly tied to broader risk sentiment, and assess how a potential Fed rate cut in December could shape market dynamics...

2 weeks ago

20 minutes

What's Next For Markets

What is Outperforming? Navigating Markets in the Era of the Mag Seven

In this episode, we talk with Emily Needell Deputy Chief Investment Strategist at Piper Sandler, to discuss the dominance of 'The Mag Seven’. We delve into the unprecedented returns of these companies, over the past decade. The conversation covers the implications of these outsized returns on the market dynamics, the distortion they create, and the shifting definitions of what it means to outperform the market. They also explore the impact of passive funds on these mega-cap stocks and debate ...

1 month ago

17 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Talking Technicals With Craig Johnson, Piper's Chief Technician

In this episode of What’s Next for Markets?, Michael Kantrowitz sits down with Craig Johnson, Chief Market Technician at Piper Sandler, to break down the latest trends driving equity markets. From the technical setup across major indices to the underlying sector leadership and sentiment shifts, Craig shares how his charts are framing the next phase of this market cycle. Together, they explore where investors might find opportunity — and what signals could mark the next big turn.

1 month ago

24 minutes

What's Next For Markets

What To Expect When You're Not Expecting Economic Data

In this week's podcast episode, we dive into the nuances of missing government data with Piper Sandler Economist Jake Oubina. He highlights the reliability of alternative data sources like the Adobe Digital Price Index and various private surveys. We discuss the accuracy concerns surrounding Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) reports and how private data could steer better insights. Additionally, we focus on recent inflation trends, particularly the impact of tariffs on margins, and delve into the data f...

1 month ago

27 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Thoughts From The Options Desk

In this episode we speak with Danny Kirsch, head of Piper Sandler's Options trading desk, about the recent market volatility and its implications. The discussion covers the spike in VIX and its impact on options trading, the state of regional banks following their earnings, and the effects of potential US-China trade agreements. Danny also provides insights into the differences between current market dynamics and those of the late 1990s, the influence of seasonality on market performance, and...

1 month ago

19 minutes

What's Next For Markets

MasterClass D.C. Update With Don Schneider

In this episode, Don Schneider provides a comprehensive update on the recent government shutdown developments and their potential duration. We delve into the political strategies of both parties, highlighting Schumer's decision and Trump's management tactics, which are softening the shutdown's impact. Don also explains the implications of the shutdown on data reporting and how it affects investors. Furthermore, we explore the recent news on Trump's threats to raise China tariffs and the admin...

2 months ago

22 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Post-Inflation Shock “Goldilocks”?

This week on What’s Next for Markets I’m sharing a short excerpt from my hour-long conversation with Adam Taggart (Thoughtful Money). We discuss why the current backdrop looks like a post-inflation-shock “Goldilocks” environment, why earnings breadth appears to be healing, and what a broader leadership profile could mean for small caps, cyclicals, housing, and manufacturing. Decide for yourself—does a slower, steadier expansion favor active over passive? To watch the full discussion with Ada...

2 months ago

13 minutes

What's Next For Markets

"The Enemy Of My Enemy Is My Friend"

In this episode, we discuss the uncommon, but not unprecedented, correlation between rising equity markets and increasing unemployment rates. We discuss the historical examples from the 1950s, 60s, 70s, 80s, and 90s to demonstrate how higher unemployment can actually be beneficial for stock prices in periods of inflation. The conversation covers the changing market dynamics post-2022's inflation shock and how current market behaviors differ from recent periods of rising unemployment. The epis...

2 months ago

18 minutes

What's Next For Markets

REIT All About It: A Conversation With Piper Sandler's Alex Goldfarb

In this episode, we welcome Alex Goldfarb to discuss the broad and complex world of real estate investment trusts (REITs) and the real estate industry. Alex sheds light on the transformation of real estate from a niche asset class to a mainstream investment option, highlighting the current trends and challenges in the sector. He delves into the dynamics of various real estate segments, including commercial offices, data centers, and warehousing, as well as the impact of interest rates and the...

2 months ago

37 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Rising Stocks, Soft Employment, And The National Anthem

In this episode, we discuss recent market trends and economic data. We dig into the upcoming flood of macroeconomic data and the implications of the Fed's upcoming actions. The discussion covers investor sentiment, the softening labor market, falling interest rates, and their influence on the markets, especially in housing and smaller companies. The episode discusses the importance of expectations in interpreting macro data and the broader economic context. Tune in for a comprehensive overvie...

3 months ago

25 minutes

What's Next For Markets

In this episode of What's Next for Markets, we discuss the market's performance as we enter September, a typically weak month for equities. Despite initial volatility, the markets have been performing well, led by higher beta and value names. The discussion delves into sectoral leadership, factor performance, and the influence of major stocks like the 'Mag seven' on the overall market. The episode covers the impact of inflation, employment data, and interest rates, highlighting how recent tre...

3 months ago

21 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Is Change Afoot?

In this episode, Stephen and Emily discuss the impressive recent performance in the equity markets, noting new all-time highs in the S&P 500 and significant gains since April. They explore the annualized returns, emphasizing the distinction between large growth and smaller cap stocks, and the effect of sustained higher interest rates on the latter. They delve into the anticipation of potential Fed rate cuts and discuss how these could impact small caps and the broader economy. The importa...

3 months ago

13 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Jim Bianco on Jackson Hole and the Fed’s Next Move

In this episode of What’s Next for Markets?, Michael Kantrowitz is joined by Jim Bianco, President and Macro Strategist at Bianco Research, for a wide-ranging conversation on the Fed, markets, and the bigger forces shaping the economy. Fresh off Jackson Hole, Michael and Jim dig into Jerome Powell’s latest message, the tension between inflation risks and a weakening labor market, and how immigration plays into the Fed’s calculus. They also tackle the bond market’s reaction, the rise of retail...

3 months ago

45 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Tech Is Printing More Money Than The Fed

In this episode, we dive into the complexities of the tech sector. The discussion highlights the significant growth and earnings performance of the tech industry, comparing today's landscape to the tech bubble of 2000. The episode also explore the relative performance of small caps and global tech, highlighting the importance of strong fundamentals over sector labels. The conversation touches on portfolio management strategies and the divergent performances of various market sectors, concludi...

3 months ago

25 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Inflation Tuesday

In this episode, we wrap up 2Q earnings and look ahead to key data to watch. We discuss the generally positive market sentiment, driven by factors such as the pricing out of tariff and inflation risks and anticipation of rate cuts. A key focus is the upcoming CPI report on August 12th and its potential impact on the market’s “Goldilocks” narrative. We also explore trends in small caps versus large caps, inflation indicators, and rate-sensitive equities. For full disclosure information visit...

4 months ago

15 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Deciphering The Fed's Next Move With Benson Durham

In this episode, We sit down with Benson Durham Head of Global Policy and Asset Allocation to discuss the dynamic landscape of financial markets amid key events and economic indicators. The conversation delves into the relationship between Chairman Powell and President Trump, market reactions to inflation and employment data, and the potential for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. They analyze the recent soft payroll report and its implications, discuss the influence of tariffs, and explore h...

4 months ago

35 minutes

What's Next For Markets

Goldilocks? Navigating Record Highs And Future Risk

In this episode, long-time colleagues Michael and Emily delve into the current state of the financial markets as they hit record highs. They discuss the impressive rebounds seen in meme stocks and high beta ETFs, along with the broader market's resilience despite underlying concerns. Key topics include the potential for continued bullish momentum, the impact of Federal Reserve policies on interest rates, and the influence of macroeconomic data on market trends. They also explore the unique ma...

4 months ago

30 minutes

What's Next For Markets

From Complacency to Potential Catalysts: Insights From Danny Kirsch Head Of Options Strategy At Piper Sandler

In this episode, we discuss with Danny Kirsch the parallels between current market complacency and pre-Liberation Day conditions. Danny explores the implications of extreme call buying, SPACs resurgence, and market liquidity. The episode covers the market dynamics, examining the Fed's pressure to cut rates and its impact on long-term yields, the role of volatility control strategies, and the influence of upcoming events like the August 1st market event. We delve into detailed analyses of cred...

4 months ago

34 minutes