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ITR Economics
ITR Economics
414 episodes
4 hours ago
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain breaks down why inflation is expected to accelerate into 2026 and what it means for business margins, pricing strategy, and profitability. Producer costs are rising, consumer inflation is picking up, and interest rate flexibility may be limited. What should leaders be watching now, and how can organizations prepare before cost pressures intensify?
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Business
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This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain breaks down why inflation is expected to accelerate into 2026 and what it means for business margins, pricing strategy, and profitability. Producer costs are rising, consumer inflation is picking up, and interest rate flexibility may be limited. What should leaders be watching now, and how can organizations prepare before cost pressures intensify?
Show more...
Business
Episodes (20/414)
ITR Economics
Inflation Outlook for 2026: Rising Costs, Pricing Pressure, and Margin Risk | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain breaks down why inflation is expected to accelerate into 2026 and what it means for business margins, pricing strategy, and profitability. Producer costs are rising, consumer inflation is picking up, and interest rate flexibility may be limited. What should leaders be watching now, and how can organizations prepare before cost pressures intensify?
Show more...
1 day ago
6 minutes 17 seconds

ITR Economics
Preparing for the 2030 Depression: Markets Positioned to Perform Better | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain shares a long-term economic outlook that every business leader should be planning for now. With strong GDP and Industrial Production growth expected through 2029, the real risk is not the next few years but how prepared your business will be when the downturn arrives around 2030. Learn which markets are positioned to outperform, why waiting to react is costly, and how today’s growth cycle creates rare opportunities for diversification, market share gains, and strategic acquisitions. Are you using the next four years wisely? Click here to buy our webinar, Strategic Shifts for Resiliency in the 2030s Great Depression, here → https://hubs.la/Q03VQwhz0
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1 week ago
4 minutes 35 seconds

ITR Economics
Jobs Data, Sticky Inflation, and What 2026 Could Mean for Your Business | Fed Watch
December 19, 2025 This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the latest U.S. jobs report and what softer headline growth is really signaling beneath the surface. She also examines why inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s target, what recent CPI data suggests about a turning point ahead, and how rising cost pressures could impact pricing strategies in 2026. Plus, Lauren looks ahead to GDP, business spending, and why uncertainty may finally be easing as we move into the new year. What should business leaders be preparing for now? Click here to buy our webinar, Strategic Shifts for Resiliency in the 2030s Great Depression, here → https://hubs.la/Q03VQwhz0
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1 week ago
6 minutes 9 seconds

ITR Economics
Rising Electricity Costs and the Data Center Boom | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain breaks down why electricity costs are rising and how data center expansion is reshaping the economic landscape heading into 2026. As inflation pressures build and power infrastructure strains intensify, electricity is emerging as a top input cost for many businesses. Where are the risks, and where are the opportunities for growth despite higher costs? Click here to buy our webinar, Strategic Shifts for Resiliency in the 2030s Great Depression, here → https://hubs.la/Q03VQwhz0
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes 34 seconds

ITR Economics
The Fed’s Split Decision and What It Signals | Fed Watch
December 12, 2025 This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker unpacks the Fed’s latest rate cut. Is the real story hiding between the lines? With committee views drifting apart and borrowing costs sticking higher than many expected, the outlook is anything but settled. Are the Fed’s inflation assumptions on track, or is the bond market seeing something they’re not? Tune in for our unbiased answers. Click here to buy our webinar, Strategic Shifts for Resiliency in the 2030s Great Depression, here → https://hubs.la/Q03VQwhz0
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2 weeks ago
4 minutes 14 seconds

ITR Economics
Consumer Spending Strengthens as 2026 Growth Approaches | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain assesses the health of the U.S. consumer and what the latest data means for companies preparing for 2026. Consumer spending continues to rise at a pace above inflation, delinquency rates remain below financial crisis levels, and a growing share of households are paying off full credit card balances.
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3 weeks ago
6 minutes 2 seconds

ITR Economics
Will the End of Quantitative Tightening BOOST the Economy? | Fed Watch
December 5, 2025 This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down a pivotal moment for monetary policy as markets price in a likely rate cut ahead of next week’s meeting. With government data delayed by the shutdown, businesses are left navigating uncertainty and relying on less-predictive private-sector indicators. Lauren also highlights major Federal Reserve data revisions that could reshape how leaders interpret historical trends, plus new political developments that may influence future Fed leadership and independence. If your business is interest rate sensitive, this episode offers timely context to help you prepare for rate-driven risks and opportunities. What change in policy would impact you most? Join us for our upcoming webinar to discover the essential tools and strategies you will need → https://hubs.la/Q03VQwhz0
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3 weeks ago
7 minutes 34 seconds

ITR Economics
Why 2026 Is Shaping Up To Be a Strong Growth Year | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Michael Feuz explains why 2026 is setting up to deliver more economic growth than 2025. He highlights the key “ingredients of growth” already in motion, from resilient consumer spending to rising B2B activity and expanding corporate cash levels. Michael also addresses a critical pain point for leaders: margin pressures that will intensify as growth accelerates. How should businesses prepare for this next phase? Tune in for guidance on capacity planning, efficiency, and protecting the bottom line. What steps are you taking to get ready?
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4 weeks ago
6 minutes 3 seconds

ITR Economics
What Leading Indicators Show for 2026 Commercial Construction | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain breaks down the latest data on US Private Nonresidential Construction and explains why the current downturn is expected to remain mild. Taylor highlights what the most reliable leading indicators are telling us and outlines when businesses should begin preparing for the next growth cycle in 2026.
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1 month ago
5 minutes 51 seconds

ITR Economics
September Jobs Report Reveals Strength Amid Shutdown Delays | Fed Watch
November 21, 2025 This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down the long-delayed September employment report and explains what the unexpected strength means for the labor market and the Fed’s December meeting. Discover where job losses are emerging, why certain sector gains matter for consumer momentum, and how unusual data collection conditions during the government shutdown affected the report’s quality.
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1 month ago
6 minutes 6 seconds

ITR Economics
US Housing Market Nears Bottom: Growth Ahead for 2026 and 2027 | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist and Speaker Taylor St. Germain shares an update on the US Single-Unit Housing market. While affordability remains a challenge, ITR Economics forecasts the housing market is approaching its low point in 2025, followed by growth in 2026 and 2027. Taylor breaks down where affordability is improving, which states are most affected, and why the data points to better years ahead for developers and suppliers. Are you ready for the next housing cycle?
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1 month ago
6 minutes 33 seconds

ITR Economics
Are We Overestimating AI’s Disruption? What the Fed Should Really Be Watching | Fed Watch
November 14, 2025 In this week’s episode of Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker breaks down how the end of the government shutdown restores critical economic data that the Federal Reserve needs before its December meeting. With mixed signals from policymakers and uncertainty around future rate cuts, how will this renewed data clarity shape monetary policy? Lauren also tackles one of today’s biggest economic questions: Is AI transforming the labor market as much as we think? She highlights new insights from a Yale study showing that while AI boosts productivity, its impact remains gradual — not revolutionary.
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1 month ago
6 minutes 7 seconds

ITR Economics
Economic Uncertainty and What It Means for 2026 Growth | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain provides an update on the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index. After record highs earlier this year, uncertainty has been cut in half, setting the stage for accelerating growth in both CAPEX and Industrial Production. Taylor explains why this shift supports ITR Economics’ positive outlook through 2026 and what it means for business leaders preparing for expansion. Are you ready to keep pace with growth?
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1 month ago
4 minutes 36 seconds

ITR Economics
Quantitative Tightening and Why the Fed’s Latest Move Matters for You | Fed Watch
November 7, 2025 This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Lauren Saidel-Baker discusses the Fed’s latest policy shift, ending quantitative tightening, and what it means for future rate cuts. She also discusses the ongoing government shutdown, now the longest in U.S. history, and its uneven impact on consumers and GDP. Plus, Lauren examines the Supreme Court’s review of Trump-era tariffs and what to watch as pricing effects unfold over time.
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1 month ago
4 minutes 53 seconds

ITR Economics
The Safest States for Business Growth During the 2030s Depression | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain revisits ITR Economics’ long-standing forecast of a 2030s depression and outlines how businesses can prepare today. Taylor reveals which U.S. states are best positioned for success and which face greater risk based on ten key economic and demographic factors. Learn where your organization may find opportunity as the next decade approaches.
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1 month ago
4 minutes 46 seconds

ITR Economics
Slight Slack in the Labor Market Before Tightening Returns | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics breaks down the current labor market conditions and what they mean for your business strategy. With just over one unemployed person per job opening, there’s slight slack in the market, but not for long. Find out why the next 6 to 9 months may be your best window for hiring before tightening conditions and wage pressures hit hard. Taylor also covers workforce demographics, rising labor costs, and how AI and automation can help offset the people problem.
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2 months ago
5 minutes 22 seconds

ITR Economics
Rising Energy Costs Could Threaten Business Growth | TrendsTalk
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain examines how soaring data center construction is fueling record-high electricity prices and what that means for your business. With U.S. electric power costs hitting new highs, companies face growing challenges tied to infrastructure strain and future energy policy changes.
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2 months ago
5 minutes 16 seconds

ITR Economics
How 2025 Tariffs Are Reshaping Global Investment
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain breaks down where US exports and imports are growing, which countries are losing ground, and why the EU has emerged as the clear trade “winner” in 2025. Despite these changes, the US remains the top destination for foreign direct investment, a key driver for onshoring, reshoring, and long-term industrial growth. What will this mean for manufacturers and business leaders heading into 2026?
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2 months ago
5 minutes 42 seconds

ITR Economics
Mild Industrial Growth Ahead with Sideways Indicators
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain from ITR Economics unpacks the latest leading indicators for the US Industrial Economy. While growth is still on the horizon for 2026, several key indicators are moving sideways, signaling a milder rise than previous recovery cycles. What does this mean for capacity planning and business strategy? Tune in to learn why understanding not just the direction but also the amplitude of growth is critical for accurate forecasting and planning.
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2 months ago
5 minutes 40 seconds

ITR Economics
Positive Manufacturing Outlook for 2026
This week on TrendsTalk, Taylor St. Germain reviews the latest data showing manufacturing’s growth rate accelerating after a tough 2024. While some sectors like heavy-duty trucks, medical equipment, and light vehicle production remain under pressure, the outlook points to recovery in 2025 and broad-based growth by 2026. Will your business be ready to keep up with the pace of expansion?
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3 months ago
4 minutes 18 seconds

ITR Economics
This week on TrendsTalk, ITR Economist Taylor St. Germain breaks down why inflation is expected to accelerate into 2026 and what it means for business margins, pricing strategy, and profitability. Producer costs are rising, consumer inflation is picking up, and interest rate flexibility may be limited. What should leaders be watching now, and how can organizations prepare before cost pressures intensify?