028 - 一年读五百本书,让你每天高潮迭起
Read 500 books a year, be excited everyday.
不管是个人还是公司,拥有多维度的虚拟化程度高的资产,相对于单一维度的实体资产,有巨大竞争优势,也更加反脆弱。
People and company who play an abstract, multi-dimensional game, enjoy a tremendous advantage over those who plays a one-dimensional, concrete game. And the latter is much more fragile too.
读书少的人,只依靠个人有限经验,有限视角。大量读书可以获得更全面的,长期的视角, 避免犯下重大的长期错误。本期节目引用二战期间日德苏美博弈的例子,总结了一些经验教训。
People who do not read extensively, can only rely on their limited experience and perspectives, are prone to make big long-term mistakes.
025 - 为什么摩尔定律一直没死,但人们还是预测摩尔定律要死
This episode explains the reason behind the paradox that people continue to predict the death of Moore's law despite its continued growth in the past 55 years.
出钱最多者的视角,才是上帝视角。分析公司,关键在于理解付费客户的决策视角和逻辑。
Whoever pays most has God's perspective. In analyzing companies it's super important to understand the perspective and logic of paying customers.
从阈值(临界值)的角度看决策机制 - 不思考成事所需代价的阈值而盲动,容易浪费资源而资金链断裂。
Decision making in the context of threshold value. One need to carefully evaluate the threshold of the work that needs to be done to achieve an objective, otherwise it is very easy to waste a tremendous amount of time and money.
关于长生不老的医学研究的现状和一些保健品药物如白藜芦醇和 NMN的点评.
This episode discussed current and historical perspectives on aging research, plus some comments on nutritional supplements such as resveratrol and NMN.
本期节目拆解了哈佛大学教授 David Sinclair 的关于增进健康长寿的三个操作方法:适度饥饿,寒冷和适量的高强度运动。
This episode explained three major health/longevity tips from Prof David Sinclair's book "Lifespan: why we age and why we don't have to".
解决问题的关键在于打造积累强大的工具。以研究积累工具为主业,自带竞争优势,路越走越宽。
People building start-ups or solving problems, should be tools-oriented. The kind of tools you have, determines the problems you can solve and the value you can create.
只有移动屁股才能改变脑袋。介绍了如何通过渐进式移动屁股的方法,学习研究投资,提前识别跟上新技术的范式转移。
This video describes a practical way to adjust your mental models to a developing paradigm shift. When a major tech revolution is under way that you cannot understand, by moving your butt and start with an initial small investment, you incentivize yourself to commit more time to study things from a new perspective.
沉没成本是阻碍人们跟上范式转移的重大障碍。沉没成本的体现在于:虚幻的自尊心让人逃避学习,不断削足适履来拖延时间,迟迟不愿放弃而损失越来越大。
2019年荐书系列之二: 选择的悖论;财富战争和智慧 ; 为什么进化隐藏了真相 ;汤和火花的战争。
本期视频挑选介绍了我在2019年阅读的二十一本英文书,包括齐亚诺转机,利奥*希拉德传记,跨美洲大陆铁路修建史, 去中心化组织的特点,操控力的悖论, 等等。
本期节目介绍了如何在范式转移的过程中处理信息过载: 1. 等待临界点 2. 等待发现越过鸿沟者。 3. 有错就改,仍有时间窗口获利
这期节目引用了徐弃郁的著作,介绍上外交政策上的一厢情愿导致的灾难性后果。 This video showed more examples of how post-Bismarck Germany, diplomats and politicians indulged in wishful thinking in diplomacy and policy making.
对世界的观察高度实事求是,放弃自我麻醉的一厢情愿,路才可越走越宽。一个例子是寻求帮助要诉诸对方利益,而非仁慈或者感激。第二个例子是,科技公司,创造价值和捕捉价值是两个不同的机制。 To be successful in our dealings with the outside world, one needs to "see clearly into that which is ", and be ready to adjust mental models to fit reality. One example is when seeking help, need to appeal to one's interest, not mercy or gratitude. Second example is those who create immense value may be different from who capture it.
识别范式转移的第三个障碍是无边无际的媒体操纵,断章取义,春秋笔法,做空股票,扰乱视听。拥有自己的独立原始的信息基础设施至关重要。介绍了若干媒体操纵传播各类股票的负面新闻的例子。 Media manipulation is rampant in reporting related to stock investment. Without information directly from the source, one is extremely vulnerable to media manipulation, and unable to recognize hitech-enabled paradigm shift.
硅谷王川:为什么要坚决拒绝大部分线下活动:人数少,耗时,无法重复使用,匹配度低,商业密度度 Offline activities such as meetups, conferences, etc. are mostly a waste of time, one need to focus on write/publish/produce things online that can be reused.
为什么人们很难抓住范式转移的机会,原因错综复杂。第一,范式转移需要时间的培育。第二,老范式和新范式没有可比性。 Why people can not recognize and adapt to paradigm shift. First, it takes a long time for paradigm shift to happen. Second, incommensurability between the old and new paradigm.
硅谷王川:为什么范式转移是最大的机会. 这个视频介绍什么是范式转移,为什么我就在硅谷,却完美错过苹果发起的移动互联网的范式转移。 On paradigm shift,why I missed the growth of Apple Inc in the first decade of the 21st century, the difficulty in overcoming one's mental biases.